This Week In Corsi

by J.P. on Nov 30, 2008 12:36 PM EST Comment 4 comments

There was no TWIC last week, so this week we're looking at the entire fortnight past - seven games and a 3-4-0 record (and only ten players from the Opening Night roster were able to play in each of the seven games). We'll take a look at the two weeks that were, but first, here's the year-to-date Corsi Rating for each skater on the team on a per game, per sixty minutes of even strength ice time rate (excluding players who have played less than a quarter of the games):

Comparing this week's chart to the that of two weeks ago, you'll notice that Eric Fehr has gone from the second-worst rating on the team to the top half of the team, having turned a big negative number into a decent positive. Donald Brashear has also gone from barely negative to barely positive (which is itself barely positive).

In terms of raw numbers, Alex Ovechkin led the way (plus-23 in seven games), followed by Fehr (plus-20 in six), Nicklas Backstrom (plus-19 in seven), Tyler Sloan (plus-15 in seven) and Viktor Kozlov (plus-14 in seven) rounding out the top five.

On the other side of the ledger, David Steckel had a minus-14 rating in seven games, while Boyd Gordon (minus-13 in six games), Matt Bradley (minus-11 in seven), Jeff Schultz (minus-10 in four) and Chris Clark (minus-eight in four before succumbing to injury) bring up the rear. Also of note, Bradley and Brooks Laich are the only Caps to have negative ratings in each of the last three games (Ovechkin, Backstrom and Sloan have each had positive ratings in the past three matches).

A few more Corsi-related notes:

For the two week period, Jose Theodore had a plus-23 rating in four games, while Brent Johnson had a minus-five rating in three. I wouldn't read too much into that (i.e. "the team plays better in front of JT60"), though, as two of Johnny's starts were on the back end of back-to-backs (in fact, in the one game that wasn't, he had a plus-four CR, despite the Caps getting trounced by San Jose, 7-2).
If you're wondering how the call-ups are doing in terms of CR, Karl Alzner was plus-nine in his first game and minus-two in each of the past two, Sami Lepisto has gone -3/4/0, Bryan Helmer has been 2/-1, Chris Bourque -1/1/NR and Graham Mink was plus-four in his one game of action.
The Caps are now 8-2-1 when outshooting opponents at even strength and 4-6-2 when outshot (and 1-0-0 when ES shots are even). Again, this is why Corsi - the creation and prevention of even strength chances - matters.

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I'm generally sold on Corsi but not yet on Fehr

JP – Yes to Corsi as a meaningful stat. However, I’m really still feeling the jury is definately still out of Fehr…..

by markbona-capsfan99 on Nov 30, 2008 5:54 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

No question. Getting paired with Flash and Nylander has helped his Corsi Rating (and he’s played few enough games that a couple of good ones moves the needle quite a bit here), but he’s been doing some good things. I’d still love to see him go to the high traffic areas more often – he doesn’t have the skill to stay outside, and with his hands, he should be making his living inside.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Nov 30, 2008 5:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

JP,

I love stats, and I’m interested in Corsi, but I wouldn’t consider my support of it unwavering. Sometimes, to me, it just simply highlights who is offensively skilled and who is not. Nothing more, nothing less. Of course, I’m probably missing something in my low-level analysis. If you could sum up in a sentence or two what the true value in it is, I’d appreciate it.

by Cluster on Nov 30, 2008 10:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Sure – there’s a good discussion of it here and here, but, simply put, it measures the number of shots directed at net (at both ends of the ice) while a player was on the ice at even strength, excluding empty net situations.

For example, if Player A skates a shift in which he takes a shot that misses the net, his teammate then puts one on goal and another teammate blocks a shot at the other end before the end of Player A’s shift, Player A will have a +1 Corsi Rating for that shift. To put it in context, Henrik Zetterberg had the League’s best Corsi Rating a season ago (the Caps top line was also quite good), and a bunch of Thrashers were at the bottom. Basically it’s another tool in the analytical arsenal to guage a player’s even strength effectiveness, and it’s by no means just measuring offensive prowess.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Dec 1, 2008 6:29 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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Southeast Standings

	GP	W	L	OTL	PT
Washington Japers' Rink	23	13	5	5	31
Tampa Bay Raw Charge	20	8	5	7	23
Atlanta Bird Watchers Anonymous	19	10	7	2	22
Florida Litter Box Cats	21	10	9	2	22
Carolina Canes Country	22	5	12	5	15

(updated 11.22.2009 at 12:47 AM EST)

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