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The Noon Number: Great Expectations

16.8 – The difference between the Caps’ xGF% at five on five over the last five games (56.8%) and their actual GF% (40%). That’s the second-highest dropoff in the League over that span, behind only Boston’s whopping 20.2% differential (56.5 xGF% vs. 36.3 GF%).

In their last five games, the Caps have scored just six goals at five on five, second-fewest since 10/27 (again trailing only Boston), despite being top-five in five-on-five FF%, SF%, HDCF%, and HDSF% over that span.

Translation? They’re doing all the right things with the puck… except getting it in the net.

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