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The Noon Number: Simulation Theory

A look at how the last few days of the season are likely to play out

NHL: Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

91.9 - Percentage likelihood that the Capitals will win the Metropolitan Division after last night’s loss in Florida (and the Islanders’ loss to the Maple Leafs), per


The Caps’ magic number is down to two - any combination of two points they get (in home games against the Canadiens and Isles) or that the Islanders don’t get (at Florida and at the Caps) will result in Washington’s fourth-consecutive Metro Division title and an increasingly likely first-round match-up with the Columbus Blue Jackets for a second-straight year. Worked out alright last time...