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2016-17 Rink Wrap: T.J. Oshie

From Alzner to Winnik, we're taking a look at and grading the 2016-17 season for every player who laced 'em up for the Caps for a significant number of games during the campaign, with an eye towards 2017-18. Next up, T.J. Oshie.

NHL: Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

Japers' Rink Player Card (click for a hi-res version; data via NHL.com, Corsica.hockey and Cap Friendly):

Oshie's Season, Game-by-Game (via HockeyViz, explained here):

Oshie and His Linemates (chart by @muneebalamcu):

Oshie's 5v5 Teammates and Competition (via HockeyViz, explained here):

Oshie's 5v5 Usage (chart by @muneebalamcu):

Oshie's With-or-Without You (via HockeyViz, explained here):

Oshie's Rolling Shot-Attempt (Corsi) -For Percentage (chart by @muneebalamcu):

Oshie's Nine Seasons (via Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com):

Oshie’s Goals Against Replacement (GAR) Components (chart by @ChartingHockey, data by @DTMAboutHeart, explained here, Tableau here):

Oshie's HERO Chart (via Own The Puck):

Key Stat: Oshie led the league in shooting percentage among players with at least 21 shots taken this season, scoring on 23.1 percent of his attempts. That’s nine percent more than his previous career high of 14.1 percent, set just last season.

Interesting Stat: Oshie led the Capitals in on-ice high danger shot attempts per 60 minutes of 5-on-5, with 11.78.

The Good: In nearly every every aspect of the stat sheet, it was a career year for Oshie. With 33 goals, Oshie set a new career high, despite the fact that his season was cut to 68 games due to two separate injury incidents. Had he been able to play all 82 games in the season, Oshie had a shot at reaching the 40 goal mark. However, this is the first time Oshie has managed to score 30 goals in a season.

The point total of 56 was equally impressive. Not only was it his second-highest total of his career, his .82 points per game were by far his career high.

Oshie’s production continued into the playoffs. With 12 points in 13 games, Oshie finished second on the team in points and led the team with eight assists.

The Bad: This isn’t necessarily bad for Oshie personally, but this season from Oshie may have been bad for the Capitals franchise as a whole.

If the Capitals opt to extend Oshie, who is set to become a free agent on July 1, the deal could potentially bite them.

Oshie’s point totals were phenomenal this year, and he clearly served as one of the most important forwards on the team this season. But it is extremely unlikely that Oshie matches his shooting success rate of 23.1 percent next season, unless you believe Oshie became a super elite shooter as soon as he turned 30.

If Oshie is on the team next season, and the Capitals are paying him to be a 30-goal scorer for the next few seasons, there is a decent chance he won’t be able to reach that total again, and the odds will continue to diminish with each growing year. That is bad.

The GIF/Video:

The Vote: Rate Oshie below on a scale of 1-10 (10 being the best) based on his performance relative to his potential and your expectations for the season - if he had the best year you could have imagined him having, give him a 10; if he more or less played as you expected he would, give him a 5 or a 6; if he had the worst year you could have imagined him having, give him a 1.

The Discussion: Should the Capitals re-sign Oshie? If so, at what price, or, more appropriately, to what term? What would it take for you to give him a "10" next year?

Poll

How do you rate T.J. Oshie’s 2016-17 season?

This poll is closed

  • 20%
    10
    (39 votes)
  • 45%
    9
    (87 votes)
  • 24%
    8
    (47 votes)
  • 6%
    7
    (13 votes)
  • 1%
    6
    (2 votes)
  • 0%
    5
    (1 vote)
  • 0%
    4
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    3
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    2
    (0 votes)
  • 1%
    1
    (2 votes)
191 votes total Vote Now