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Alex Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals scores a power play goal against the Tampa Bay Lightning and is joined by Mike Green in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Semifinals.
Alex Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals scores a power play goal against the Tampa Bay Lightning and is joined by Mike Green in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Semifinals.

Which is more likely in 2011-12: the Caps power-play is better than 22% efficient or the penalty kill remains above 85%?

By way of background, here are some relevant numbers over the past four seasons (and you wonder why we talk about the "other" power-play problem so often):

Season PP Opp PPG PP% TS PPGA PK%
2010-11 263 46 17.5 299 43 85.6
2009-10 313 79 25.2 316 67 78.8
2008-09 337 85 25.2 387 75 80.6
2007-08 346 65 18.8 349 68 80.5