The Noon Number: 1 – Number of non-shootout wins the Caps had this season against their four potential first-round opponents.
Here’s a quick look at how the Caps fared against the quartet, in order of the likelihood that they play them (per Sports Club Stats):
| Opponent | Odds | Caps’ Record | Caps’ GF | Caps’ GA | Caps’ SF | Caps’ SA |
| Islanders | 5.2% | 1-2-0 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 112 |
| Maple Leafs | 8.0% | 1-2-0 | 9 | 7 | 85 | 91 |
| Rangers | 39.6% | 1-2-0 | 4 | 8 | 81 | 102 |
| Senators | 47.2% | 0-3-0 | 4 | 8 | 72 | 106 |
| Total | – | 3*-9-0 | 22 | 32 | 306 | 411 |
* The wins over the Islanders and Rangers came in shootouts.