WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 22: Alex Ovechkin #8 of the Washington Capitals celebrates after scoring a goal in the third period against the Boston Bruins in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2012 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Verizon Center on April 22, 2012 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
31 - Goals projected for Alex Ovechkin in 2012-13 based on a sampling of ten historically-similar player-seasons, per Rob Vollman's Snepsts67 project:
The method is reasonably simple: it searches post-expansion NHL history for players of a similar position and age whose era-adjusted statistics most closely match the target player, both for the current season, preceding season and previous career totals, in a 4:2:1 ratio.
Read more about the projections and see the results for other players here.