It’s a straightforward question with a seemingly straightforward answer: Which Washington Capitals team was the best the organization has ever put on the ice?
Well, they’ve been to the Finals exactly once, so there’s your answer, right?
Perhaps.
That 1997-98 squad was an overachieving, blue-collar (figuratively and, on many nights, literally) bunch that turned timely scoring and otherworldly goaltending into the deepest playoff run in franchise history. They also got some help along the way, as they were the only favored team in the East to make it out of the first round, setting up second- and third-round match-ups with the eighth-seeded Ottawa Senators and sixth-seeded Buffalo Sabres, respectively, after dispatching of the fifth-seeded Boston Bruins in Round 1.
But what if instead of the bottom of the Eastern Conference bracket, Ron Wilson‘s group had to go through Bruce Boudreau‘s 2008-09 Caps, Bryan Murray‘s 1985-86 squad and the Caps’ Presidents’ Trophy team to make it to the Finals? Suffice it to say, Olie Kolzig – who already led the ’98 playoffs in shots-faced by a wide margin – would’ve been even busier… and would’ve probably had to have been even better than his League-best .941 tourney save percentage would indicate he was.
Would he have been? Could he have been? That’s what we’re here to discuss as we endeavor to determine the best Caps team of all-time, not based on what actually happened, but based on what might have been – if the top sixteen regular season Caps teams played a bracket-style tournament, which incarnation would come out on top?
To determine our field of entrants, we listed each of the 37 Caps regular seasons by the teams’ points percentages, crudely leveling the ice by removing points “earned” in overtime losses and treating shootout results (wins and losses) as one-point ties. Additionally, for years in which there was a mid-season coaching change that resulted in a decent number of games for the replacement coach, we considered the new guy’s record only (welcome to the dance, Boudreau’s 2007-08 team; not quite good enough, Dale Hunter‘s 2011-12 crew… there will be no Braden Holtby heroics in this tournament).
What’s left is sixteen teams with an average of forty-four “real” wins and more than ninety-eight “real” standings points per eighty-two games… eleven first round playoff exits and a staggering one second-round series win. (Interestingly, there are as many teams with first-round wins that didn’t make the top-16 as teams that did – five… which perhaps says something about the predictive value of the regular season.)
The bracket is set, then, with the top seed facing the sixteenth seed, two vs. fifteen, and so on (rules of engagement: higher seed gets home-ice advantage and referees from their year). Below is a look at the first two first-round match-ups, with another pair revealed each of the next three days. Let us know with your votes and your comments who wins, and stay tuned for Round 2.
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For details on each team, click on the season; S – Seed, GP – Games Played, ROW – Regulation/OT Wins, ROL – Regulation/OT Losses, T/SO – Ties/Shootouts, Adj Pts – Adjusted Points (based on previous three columns), Pts % – Points Percentage (percentage of possible points gained based on adjusted points), GF -Goals For, GF Rk – Goals For Rank (rank/total teams), GA – Goals Against, GA Rk – Goals Against Rank (rank/total teams)
The tourney’s top seed is the 1985-86 team that won fifty games (without the benefit of the shootout, the only squad in club history to do so) on the strength of great defense and solid goaltending, evidenced by the League’s second-fewest goals-allowed. Lead by future Hall-of-Fame blueliners Rod Langway, Scott Stevens and Larry Murphy on the back-end and 30-goal scorers Dave Christian (41), Mike Gartner (35), Alan Haworth (34) and Craig Laughlin (30) as well as Bengt Gustafsson, Bobby Gould, Gaetan Duchesne and others up front, the team racked up 107 points, but finished second in the Patrick Division to the Flyers.
Fortune broke their way, however, as the Flyers were upset by the Rangers in the first round setting the Caps up for a second-round date with the Blueshirts after they’d swept the Isles. In fact, the Caps entered Round 2 with 20-plus regular season points on every team remaining in the Wales Conference, and 29 on the Blueshirts. Washington would drop Game 1 in overtime, then rebound with convincing 8-1 and 6-3 wins… before dropping three straight and hitting the links, which was particularly unfortunate given that the Caps had at least 18 regular season points on each team that ended up in the Campbell Conference Finals as well. The 1985-86 team was not only perhaps the Caps’ best, but that spring also likely represented the franchise’s clearest path to a championship. Alas…
The last team to make the tourney (edging out the 1986-87 bunch that followed up the disappointing spring of 1986 detailed above) is Jim Schoenfeld‘s lockout-shortened 1994-95 lot that featured the League’s leading goal-scorer in Peter Bondra (who can forget his two-goal performance in the season’s last game against Pittsburgh to break a tie with Jaromir Jagr?) and terrific regular season goaltending from All-Rookie netminder Jim Carey. That team faced the Pens in the first round and found itself in overtime in Game 5 with a three-to-one series lead… before dropping three straight and hitting the links.
So which team would win a best-of-seven, 1985-86 or 1994-95? In this alternate universe, which team would actually finish off its opponent?
This series may be the most interesting of all, and not just because it pits the two teams with the smallest difference in points percentage. No, this a particularly delightful thought exercise because it lines up Bruce Boudreau’s first and last Caps playoff teams, 2007-08 versus 2010-11.
After Boudreau took over behind the Caps bench on Thanksgiving in 2007, the Caps went on a near-miraculous run to the playoffs, clinching the Southeast Division with the season’s last game. Boudreau had unleashed Mike Green and Nicklas Backstrom, gotten the most out of Alex Ovechkin (who would win the Hart, Lindsay, Ross and Richard trophies), somehow coaxed an 11-2-0/1.63/.936 run out of Cristobal Huet in net, and turned Glen Hanlon‘s losing – and boring – team into one on a meteoric rise, with offense to spare. For that, Boudreau earned himself the Adams Trophy as Coach of the Year (though his job was certainly made easier when George McPhee went out and got Huet, Sergei Fedorov and Matt Cooke).
Winning the Division earned the Caps home-ice advantage against sixth-seeded Philly in the first round, despite the Flyers’ having earned one more point during the regular season. Unfortunately, Huet became human, and perhaps the emotional and physical toll of essentially playing near must-wins for a month before the playoffs even started wore the Caps down. They found themselves in a 3-1 hole before clawing their way back into the series, only to lose in overtime of Game 7 on Verizon Center ice.
Still, 2007-08 was a revelation and unlike anything Caps fans had ever seen before… but it had them dreaming that same dream, and feeling as if it was getting closer. Fast-forward through 2008-09 and 2009-10 – two seasons during which the team still seemed to be on the right track – to 2010-11. The crushing, embarrassing loss to Montreal to end early a season that some had expected to be a coronation had led Boudreau to change his focus a bit from run-and-gun to a more conservative approach, a pendulum which swung even further after a lengthy losing streak (which was televised on and off the ice) had Bruce Boudreau embracing – gasp! – the trap.
The season was highlighted by a New Year’s Night win outside in Pittsburgh and, yes, another Southeast Division title. The Caps dispatched of the Rangers in five games in the first round, but were swept out of Round 2 by Tampa Bay. Had the Caps learned the “right way” to play? It sure hadn’t seemed like it.
So which team would win a best-of-seven, 2007-08 or 2010-11? Were Bruce’s boys – Ovi, Nicky, Green, Semin and so on – getting better over time? Would McPhee’s roster tweaking pay dividends in a head-to-head match-up?
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Two series in, here’s a look at our bracket:
