Why DJ King Should Celebrate The News About Tom Poti
Expect to see more of this thanks to Tom Poti
The last few days have brought news about Tom Poti. No, not that his groin injury renders him unable to play -- that's hardly news. I'm talking about the news of how the team is going to handle his absence. And it looks like they've elected the LTIR route, which is probably the worst of the available options. One man, though, ought to celebrate the decision: DJ King.
Of course, nobody ever celebrates a teammate's injury. But the financial effects of Poti's injury and of how the team plans to deal with it may really benefit King. The reason has to do with the salary cap. This year, no team can spend more than $64,300,000 of salary cap dollars. There are a few exceptions to the rule, and one is the Long Term Injured Reserve rule, which permits a team to exceed the cap by the prorated salary cap dollars of any player put on LTIR. Assuming, as we all expect, that Poti will miss the whole season, that means the Caps can spend a maximum of up to $2,875,000 over the cap.
What it doesn't mean is that Poti doesn't count against the cap. There's a major distinction there versus being under the cap, and it's the fact that cap space above the cap limit cannot be banked. If you don't spend all of Poti's salary above the cap in a given day, you don't get to spend it later. LTIR relief is use-it-or-lose-it. No matter how far above the cap you are on any given day, the effect is the same -- you're treated as though you spent to the maximum of the cap.
And that brings me to King. If the Caps were under the salary cap, they would have a decision to make. King's cap hit is $637,500. They could carry King, or they could be an extra $637,500 under the cap. If they didn't carry him, then by the trade deadline 3/4 of the way through the season, they could use King's cap space to acquire about $2 Million in salary. (By the trade deadline, the team would have saved 3/4 of that $637,500, which is $478,125 extra dollars under the cap. A player with a $1,900,000 would have already been paid $1,425,000 by his original team by then, and would have about $475,000 to go, which could be paid for by the savings from not carrying King up to that point.)
You have to think that it'd be very tempting for McPhee to send King to the AHL and free up an extra $2,000,000 for late-season player acquisitions. But because of Poti, that won't be an option. The Caps won't be banking any salary cap space this year as long as Poti's on LTIR. So the only decision with respect to King will be whether the Caps want to be about $1,000,000 above the cap or $1,637,500 above the cap on any given day. And since LTIR is use-it-or-lose-it, there's no real reason to pick one versus the other. Might as well carry King.
So DJ King may have Tom Poti's brittle groin to thank for his job. The rest of us can blame Tom Poti's contract for the Caps' options being very limited come the trade deadline. I hope the team McPhee has put together this September is good enough, because there may not be much opportunity to upgrade as long as Tom Poti's on LTIR.
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Point well-taken, though it extends to guys like Perreault or Sjogren or Hanson or Eakin – any of those guys might as well be carried if the team’s already into LTIR. If the team thinks that keeping Perreault, for example, gives them a better team than keeping King does, there’s no reason King wouldn’t be waived and Perreault kept.
The Poti injury certainly helps King’s chances of sticking… but it helps other guys too (especially the non-waivers exempt fellas).
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Perreault’s situation is a little different because no matter what value you think that guy has, it certainly isn’t helped by sitting on the bench in the NHL and getting into just 10-15 games. But the team obviously doesn’t mind carrying King and not playing him. Other established AHL vets like Hanson would seem to me to be candidates for 13th or 14th forward.
I suppose Poti’s situation increases the odds that the team carries Perreault, plays him, and benches Beagle. But I sure hope they don’t carry Perreault on the bench most of the season. If he’s going to have any value in the future as a player to the Caps or as trade bait, he needs to play.
"Fais gros comme moi!" - Alex Ovechkin
by Gould Old Days on Sep 19, 2011 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions
Agreed (though I could envision – and have deja vu regarding – Laich sticking on the wing, Perreault getting 3C minutes and perhaps Chimera bumps down and Beagle out of the lineup). It just removes one “barrier to entry” for Perreault and the others, as it does for King. Obviously others still remain.
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
If Perreault earns that in camp, I’ll be thrilled. It would solve a whole lot of problems if Matty Perreault reached his potential this year and earned an NHL center slot.
"Fais gros comme moi!" - Alex Ovechkin
by Gould Old Days on Sep 19, 2011 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
by this logic, which i’m not disputing, you could say Sjogren should celebrate the news about Poti as well. His odds of sticking are now a lot greater than his odds of being sent down despite what Eakin does.
"If you want money, go to the bank. If you want bread, go to the bakery. If you want goals, go to the net." - Brooks Laich
Agreed – it helps any and all players who were on the bubble and might have been cut to save cap space rather than ride the pine in D.C. (though, as Gouldie rightly points out, a guy like Sjogren and especially Eakin isn’t likely to ride the pine here – they need playing time and are waiver-exempt).
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
What other options are there with Poti…other than LTIR?
Meaning what else could the team have done
never let the truth get in the way of a good story
See the link in the third sentence…
"Fais gros comme moi!" - Alex Ovechkin
by Gould Old Days on Sep 19, 2011 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions
I disagree that the Caps had any options here if Poti is in bad enough shape to not be cleared. The contract exists, you can’t force a player to retire and there would be plenty of issues involved with clearing a player who is not ready to be cleared.
I don’t think Gouldie meant to imply that the team had options once he failed his physical. I think he was referring to the different scenarios that could have potentially played out at the start of camp (which is what the post he linked to discusses).
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
It all comes down to the philosophical discussion we’ve been having about this all summer — what does it mean for a player to be “injured?” More specifically, if he reaches the point where he’s as good as he’ll ever be — where he’s fully “recovered” — but he still can’t cut it, then what is his status? Is he just permanently injured? Or at some point do you say he’s not “injured” anymore, that’s just his new level of physical capability, his new 100%, and call him “healthy.”
When he invoked Pothier, McPhee indicated that the Caps are telling Poti that they still hope he improves someday, and if he does he’d be a welcome addition to the team then. So the Caps’ are presumably not at the point where they’re willing to say this is as good as Poti’s groin will ever get again. But if they get to that point, then I think he ought to be able to come off LTIR.
"Fais gros comme moi!" - Alex Ovechkin
by Gould Old Days on Sep 20, 2011 8:55 AM EDT up reply actions
First to JP above, yes, I understood the reference to the link, but why comment was in response to Gould’s post and even the post I am now responding to (which obviously was not there last night.)
No, I don’t think a team can clear a player in this type situation. Practically speaking or philosophically speaking. As we have discussed, look at the Flyers history with players on LTIR, including a long term back injury for Rathje, IIRC.
Anyway, not a lot of time right now, but wanted to reply.
So, is GMGM electing to take the LTIR route because he thinks Poti can make a positive contribution to the big club later this season? Or because his hands are tied and he’s not allowed to send him down to the AHL? Or because he doesn’t want to man up and admit that signing an older, injury prone, mediocre player to a contract extension when he still had a year to go on his old deal was a colossal mistake?
I don’t know whether to be happy that GMGM is doing what he thinks is best for the team or concerned that he doesn’t think that contract extension was a huge mistake.
Can he be taken of LTIR at any time and then we can start banking cap?
If con is the opposite of pro, then what is the opposite of progress?
If he’s taken off LTIR, we have to first make moves to drop almost $3M in salary. The Caps are currently $890K over the cap, of which $2.875M is Poti’s contract – and that much would have to be freed. The only way he could come off LTIR and we could bank space is if he retired, I believe.
My mind is all twisted like a peanut.
Can’t we just send him down to the A?
If con is the opposite of pro, then what is the opposite of progress?
by Area 51 Forever on Oct 7, 2011 4:10 AM EDT up reply actions

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