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Friday Caps Clips

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non-draftees on Stanley Cup champions

I know it’s Olie Day and all, but I stumbled across this from mc79hockey:

it’s time to start getting back in the business of looking for hockey players in places other than the draft

Buy or sell?

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 7:11 AM EDT reply actions  

Buy.

If Sjogren’s a player (big if, of course), it’s a perfect example. Jay Beagle’s another.

You’re not going to find elite talent there (despite guys like Brunnstrom and Gustavsson being hyped as such), but if you can find organizational depth in places other than the draft, you can draft more aggressively (more high-risk/high-reward guys who are less likely to reach that higher potential, for example).

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 7:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

And now that I read Tyler’s piece (I followed Rink protocol in commenting then reading), that’s not exactly what he’s talking about, but I agree with the premise.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 7:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hold.

There are any number of ways to build a team. Boston couldn’t do it the “Pittsburgh” or “Chicago” way, because their top picks in drafts in the past decade didn’t end well, for the most part. Their first round picks…

2001: Shaone Morrisonn (19th overall)…part of trade to WSH for Sergei Gonchar (who played in 15 games for BOS)
2002: Hannu Toivonen (29th)…later traded to STL for Carl Soderberg (never played in Noth America)
2003: Mark Stuart (21st)…became part of trade that secured Rich Peverley
2004: none
2005: Matt Lashoff (22nd)…part of trade that secured Mark Recchi
2006: Phil Kessel (5th)…traded for Toronto’s 1st in 2010 (Tyler Seguin), another 1st coming in 2011
2007: Zach Hamill (8th)…43 points at Providence this season, his fourth year there
2008: Joe Colbourne (16th)…traded to Toronto for Tomas Kaberle
2009: Jordan Caron (25th)…split time between BOS (23 games) and Providence (47 games)
2010: Tyler Seguin (2nd)…74 games as a rookie in BOS

So, out of nine first round picks, they ended up with Rich Peverley, Mark Recchi, Tomas Kaberle, and Tyler Seguin, with Jordan Caron in the minors. Necessity was the mother of invention, and they invented another way to build a roster. But for any team, build via “the draft” or by “the big deal” or by “the checkbook” won’t work. Draft, trades, waivers, free agents all have to be a part of the mix, although intuitively, the draft should be the focus if you are to get value from good young players on their entry levels. But if your drafts blow up, you have to invent other means.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 8:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Damnit! I’ve been scooped!

I was working on something a lot like that article. For what it’s worth, I’m going to compare some teams Brian Burke had some hand in (the 2007 Ducks, the 2011 Canucks, and the current and future Leafs) against the Caps, and I call dibs on that.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 8:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

For all you “Drury to Washington” advocates. NY Post:

It appears as if the Rangers will be unable to buy out the final season of Chris Drury’s contract because of a degenerative condition in the captain’s left knee that apparently will render him medically unable to play next season, The Post has learned.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 7:36 AM EDT reply actions  

Sucks for Drury. Sucks for the rest of the hockey world in that it’s good for the Rangers.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 7:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Article says they have an incentive to overpay Brad Richards so they can get the full benefit of LTI.

But in order to gain the full value of the $7.05 million exemption, the Rangers would have to go that far over the cap. In other words, if the cap is $62.5 million (an estimation before it is officially established by June 30), the team would have to get to $69.5 million (including Drury) before the season-opener in Stockholm to reap the full LTI benefit.
At this stage, it seems implausible the Blueshirts would even approach $69.5 million . . . unless they simply give Brad Richards whatever he wants (if not more!) to sign as a free agent in order to inflate their cap.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Richards and Laich! Freeagentpalooza!

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 7:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

That doesn’t make sense, yeah, you can’t bank LTIR space, but that’s still real salary dollars going out the door.

This sig is brought to you by... Frungy, The Sport of Kings!

by apk3000 on Jun 17, 2011 8:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Does NYR (or their fans or media) care about real dollars? If they look at is “we want the full 62.5 million on the ice” then they would come to the conclusion that they need to use all the LTIR space.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

And I presume it’s not like they can’t afford it financially.

Don’t try to figure Sasha out. Just ride the wave.

by gfcaps fan on Jun 17, 2011 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d agree. They’ve never been known as a team that has to be careful where it spends its money. They’re more from the “spend your way out of mistakes” school of thought.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d have thought they could seek a medical exception rather than filing a grievance on the player. Oh well, TMYK.

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 7:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

Did the Rags file the grievance? I’d have thought it was the other way around. It makes sense with some of the other CBA terms (no sending injured players to the minors) in that it’s a protection against punishing an injured player.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

If I read it right they haven’t/aren’t.

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 8:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

“degenerative condition” aka, his meniscus is falling apart and he has arthritis.

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yo Peerless, the MP piece
Perreault got the Caps started on a comeback by bunting home a rebound from the left post 34 seconds into the second period. After Eric Fehr tied the game less than a minute after that, Perreault scored the game-winner at 6:55 of the second when he stuffed a loose puck in from almost the identical spot on the ice, just off the left post

Didn’t he score with 34 seconds in the FIRST period?

by Brainumbc on Jun 17, 2011 7:43 AM EDT reply actions  

No. (Do your homework before questioning Peerless!)

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 7:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ahh I read that wrong. I read it as “with 34 seconds left in the second period”.

I must be dyslexic :P

Or maybe the coffee hasn’t kicked in.

by Brainumbc on Jun 17, 2011 7:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Philosophical (or perhaps silly) question – if unlucky bounces or bad luck have been issues in the post season, why can’t the team adopt the philosophy that bad luck, unlucky bounces or other forms of adversity are inevitable, and the question is how (or whether) they overcome it?

Quand on change d'attitude ça change tout

by miseenjeu on Jun 17, 2011 7:57 AM EDT reply actions  

Two easy answers: increase mental toughness and play well enough to the point where a bad bounce (or call or whatever) doesn’t have as significant an impact. Obviously both are much easier said than done.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 8:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

They should already know that adversity is inevitable.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Absolutely. Every team goes into series thinking that talent + work most often equals a victory. But you can’t (and I don’t think the Caps have) blamed luck or bad bounces for their loss.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Looking back over the final, the only “luck” that seemed to be involved in a seven-game series was that Vancouver extended it that far. They won one game with 18 seconds left, another in overtime, aother with less than five minutes left. Otherwise, they were steamrolled. Boston played so much better that any preponderance of “luck” that fell Vancouver’s way didn’t matter in the end. They were better…a lot better.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 8:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

I guess it depends on whether you consider it luck to have Luongo collapse in Boston and not give Vancouver any sort of chance, whether you consider it luck that Hamhuis hurt himself on a hit early in the series, luck that Kesler was hurt and the Sedins pulled a disappearing act. And the ultimate luck a team can get, a balls hot goalie during the playoffs. If that’s Tim Thomas’ true skill level then we may as well put him in the HoF right now and pencil him in for the Vezina until he retires. Of course, BOS can point the other way and look at Horton getting injured, no Savard (though the roster implications of that are complicated), etc.

Boston was a lot better in 4 games. That’s all you need in a series, and a whole lot of that gulf came down to the men in the blue paint.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

You can't give up easy goals to start games....

Luongo did so in two games—giving up least two and maybe three soft goals to start game six. That ultimately killed Vancouver, which is not a big-time offensive team to begin with. Losing Hamhuis was also huge. Never thought boston would beat vancouver, but the nucks played a really bad series….Even when they were down 0-2 in game 7, they struggled to generate offensive pressure.

by slipperyice on Jun 17, 2011 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Since when is the team that leads the league in G/G and PP% not a big time offensive team?

I have planned my grand attacks; I will stand behind their backs. With my brand new battle-axe, they will taste my wrath. They will hear me say as the pavement whirls, "I hate California girls."

by Steckel Me Elmo on Jun 17, 2011 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Since their best 3 offensive players disappear, but yeah.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s perfectly legitimate to say their offense dried up. But to act like this is a team that was routinely starved for goals is factually inaccurate.

I have planned my grand attacks; I will stand behind their backs. With my brand new battle-axe, they will taste my wrath. They will hear me say as the pavement whirls, "I hate California girls."

by Steckel Me Elmo on Jun 17, 2011 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yup.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn’t say they failed to generate offensive pressure so much as Tim Thomas absolutely stoned them.

"Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful" George E.P. Box

by Knee high to a duck on Jun 17, 2011 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tim Thomas was great, but I think the Canucks struggled all serious getting sustained pressure. A lot of 1 and dones, a lot of stuff from the outside. The Boston D did a hell of a job protecting TT.

Release the Mackan!

by Killer_Carlson on Jun 17, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

He stoned them to their soul, in fact. Stoned them just like jelly roll.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not as much as that BC bud!

Sorry, just read the Eulogy. Couldn’t Sam Fels have gotten another 5 or 20 pot jokes in there?

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

F&B fail… it’s “Couldn’t Sam Fels have gotten another 4 or 20 pot jokes in there?”

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Damn, how did I miss that? I did like the line about smoking and elbows to the head. I guess I need to watch Reefer Madness again.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Because they don’t have a good enough coach to get them to see that.

Matt Bradley: He has sensitive skin, no?

by timmyv38 on Jun 17, 2011 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Party time.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 8:12 AM EDT reply actions  

In the Elfin piece, he says:

…maybe owner Ted Leonsis, general manager George McPhee and Boudreau would be smart not to tinker too much this summer.

That seems reasonable enough, but that sentence is immediately followed with:

Trade mercurial left wing Alexander Semin and/or defenseman Mike Green…

Those two sentences are inherently contradictory to me. Trading either Semin or Green is a substancial “tinker,” but trading both players is a an absolute shakeup. I am not sure how you could advocate a “steady as she goes” policy, and in the very next sentence suggest trading two of the highest paid, highest producing players on the team. And that says nothing of the logistics involved in trading such players; logistics that qualify as tinkering.

"I'm gon' get up in the mornin', I believe I'll dust my broom."

by Laich It Or Lump It on Jun 17, 2011 8:30 AM EDT reply actions   2 recs

Not only “Semin” and “Green,” but you have to be mindful that you will need a 2L and a first pair defenseman after you’ve moved them. How you fill those holes, either by what you bring back in a trade, who you sign as a free agent, or who you promote from within is the other side of that equation.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 8:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

You don’t really need a first pair D back for Green, but you need at least a top 4 and ideally a guy that can produce on the PP.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

then I hope there is more coming back than a one-for-one trade, just from a “horse-trading” point of view.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 8:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, we aren’t going to find a guy to replace Green if you are trading Green. I doubt it’d be a one-for-one move. You move Green, get back a couple elite assets (whatever position), and then use the money to go find a guy that can do what you need.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

don’t know about “elite,” but perhaps a second pair defenseman and a reliable third liner (one who checks, has some nastiness, can pot a goal here or there, kill penalties…not a 70-point scorer, but maybe a 40-point scorer who does a lot of other things the Caps don’t do enough of)

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 9:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

For Green? Or after the trade as replacement? If you move Green the minimum has to be two elite players. I’m starting with Tomas Kaberle bringing back a First and a former-First as a rental. Green is better than Kaberle, still on contract, and RFA when it expires. Even an identical deal to Kaberle’s is selling too low. I just doubt that any GM would want to give us too much more than that, so I don’t think Green is going anywhere.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nobody is going to give up two "elite" players.....

for Green. I don’t consider Green elite. I’d be happy to get two Laich-type players for him—solid, hard-working, in-their-prime productive players for him—and even that is probably a reach. The Caps need quality depth.

by slipperyice on Jun 17, 2011 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

This season aside, Green is an elite offensive talent from the blueline. And he’s not so bad on defense that he’s a liability in a manner that prevents him from being elite. If GMGM trades Green and doesn’t get at least equal return to the package Toronto got for Kaberle, he should be fired on the spot.

I have planned my grand attacks; I will stand behind their backs. With my brand new battle-axe, they will taste my wrath. They will hear me say as the pavement whirls, "I hate California girls."

by Steckel Me Elmo on Jun 17, 2011 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

(psst — Green is actually good on defense now. Let’s keep this our little secret)

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Don’t try and tell his detractors that.

I have planned my grand attacks; I will stand behind their backs. With my brand new battle-axe, they will taste my wrath. They will hear me say as the pavement whirls, "I hate California girls."

by Steckel Me Elmo on Jun 17, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

it wastes your time and annoys the detractor

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Arguing that Green isn’t a black hole on D is a battle I’ve long since given up.

I have planned my grand attacks; I will stand behind their backs. With my brand new battle-axe, they will taste my wrath. They will hear me say as the pavement whirls, "I hate California girls."

by Steckel Me Elmo on Jun 17, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d be furious if we only got 2 Laichs for Green. Furious.

I’m not saying elite players in their prime. I don’t think we get Suter or Keith or anything like that. I mean two elite assets, either first round picks or former first round pick prospects. That is entirely reasonable. Look at the Kaberle deal for comparison.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   3 recs

Agreed,and Green > Kaberle.

by SethB on Jun 17, 2011 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’d say moving either guy counts as more than tinkering on its own. By salary, skill, or role on the team, those are serious moves that change the core make up of the team.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 8:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Brophy:

You hear the phrase, “They should just blow it up,” like it is the obvious and simple solution to transforming an underachieving team into a winner.

It is not a solution. It is said out of mere frustration.

Doug Wilson should just “blow up” his San Jose Sharks. Get rid of Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau, Dany Heatley…and replace them with, uh, whom? George McPhee should just “blow up” his Washington Capitals. Get rid of Mike Green, Alexander Semin and any of the team’s three goalies…and bring in whom?

It doesn’t work that way. When their teams don’t meet expectations, general managers obviously need to make changes. But when you are as good as the Sharks and the Capitals, you tweak; you don’t make wholesale changes.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions   3 recs

I think that’s a good take on the situation. The Caps, even as playoff chokers, are one of the best teams in the league. You can think back to several teams in the past that probably had fans saying “blow it up” right before they reached greatness. That would sure be a shame.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not for nothing, but you can also probably think back to several teams in the past that probably had fans saying “fire the coach” right before they reached greatness. Like this year’s Bruins.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s true as well. When did Scotty Bowman come in to DET? I’m pretty sure Al Arbor was in NYI for the collapses as well as the Cups. Of course, CHI did fire their coach and then went on to playoff greatness (not sure it’s fair to say Savard couldn’t have done the same thing, though). Bylsma and Laviolette seemed like they sparked their teams toward SCF runs. Examples abound both ways, you can’t make a clear-cut one-size-fits-all rule. What we do know is that GMGM seems to be loyal to a fault, so we have to accept that BB is going to get at least one more run at the Cup with this team.

Unrelated, but I’m so happy that the Islanders traded away Gerry Hart before their Cup runs.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Came in ‘92-’93 I believe (the team went from 28 to 47 in the four years before he got there).

As to the other part, before Julien and Vigneault, I think the only other guy who had been around longer than 3 years, hadn’t been replaced and appeared in a Cup final was MacTavish.

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

28 to 47 wins, that is.

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

And is Claude Julien really a better coach than Bruce Boudreau? In eight seasons as a head coach, this was the first year any of the three teams he has coached (NJD, MTL, BOS) made it out of the second round, and he’s been fired twice.

It’s always a fair question to ask if a coach is right for his team or is getting the most he can out of his players, but that’s not the same as a reflexive “fire so-and-so” when the team doesn’t do well.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed, but as it applies to the local pucksters, I don’t think a belief that a change behind the bench is warranted after four-straight seasons of losing to lower seeds in the playoffs can be classified as “reflexive.”

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I see your point, and I guess it is why this really is the year for Boudreau. Julien won on his fourth try in Boston. They go out in round one or two again, all other things being equal (like no crippling injury to a critical element), he’s fired before he gets to the locker room after the elimination game.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

As I’ve said numerous times, it’s almost as much about the players as it is about Bruce – if the problem isn’t Bruce, then it’s the players (which is a much bigger problem), but the only way you’re going to find that out is to see what another coach can or can’t do with the same core guys.

Of course, there’s a third option – that there’s no problem at all and the players are just growing into their experience/prime/whatever, in which case… patience. But for how long? One more year, I suppose.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

As probably the most vocal proponent of patience around here, I do not support that last paragraph by the way. I see serious coaching issues.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

eh. Coaches are hired to be fired. Had some other GM taken a flyer on Bruce eight seasons ago, I’m almost certain Bruce would have been fired at least once by now. Nature of the profession.

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve got a crowd-sourced request here. I’ve been looking for analyses of how hockey players age, and frankly, what I found sucks. Which I hope means I haven’t found the good stuff.

I found this behindethenet article. Hawerchuk seems to have been careful and systematic with it:
 


 

 
The peak age is just slightly more than 25. The peak age actually falls at approximately 25 for a wide range of NHL equivalencies for the minors. This is also roughly the same result as you get if you restrict your dataset solely to players with careers longer than 200 games and you look at the number of NHL games played at each age. Other methods don’t give substantially divergent results – even the most or least restrictive datasets result in peaks between age 24 and 26.
 

 
The big problem with this one is that it’s limited to regular season points, and there’s a whole lot more to hockey than that (though as usual, I also find it frustrating that he didn’t share his data because of how much was left unsaid. What were these “other methods?” What about ages 18-21 and 29-Chelios?). Everything else I’ve found is anecdotal and doesn’t look at a large group of players systematically.

Is anyone aware of any kind of study of the aging of hockey players that looks beyond just scoring ability? Anything that uses GVT or some other stat that is meant to cover the entire game? Anything that’s more relevant to defensemen and goalies than this one was? Anything that separates really good scorers from the pack, so we can see how stars age versus how schlubs age?

Thank you kindly in advance.
 

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 8:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Sorry, Gouldie, I’ve got nothing (other than the fact that I’m a schlub and not aging particularly well… but that’s anecdotal).

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

The GVT database for all years is available. The only challenge is it doesn’t have ages, but if you were industrious you could match the two and run your own.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Where is it available? I might just do that.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 9:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

All-time GVT by year

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 9:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Derp. I had just found that on google. Sorry for wasting you the 20 seconds it would have cost anyone to find that.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 9:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

No waste, I am interested in results.

I may have post lockout skaters already done and matched, but I’d have to look when I get home. If I do I can email to you.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, it seems like those results would be the most valuable, given the advancements in training and sports medicine that have undoubtedly happened over the past decade or so.

"Now wait a minute. This is just purely a social call. You know, just two adults getting a stew on, man."

by The Ghost of Bebop on Jun 17, 2011 9:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

For what I’m interested in, I very likely would have limited myself to post-lockout data (for one thing, it eliminates the problem of accounting for the lockout)

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Right. I imagine the rule changes as well as the year off would make things pretty difficult to parse.

"Now wait a minute. This is just purely a social call. You know, just two adults getting a stew on, man."

by The Ghost of Bebop on Jun 17, 2011 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Although it would be interesting to look at the lockout impact. You saw the old guys like Hull try to play and then very quickly realize the rules had made it an even younger man’s game. (Of course, Selanne is a freak and took the time to heal and came back better than he’d been in 5 years.) I’d kind of like to see that precipitous drop among some players.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

That would be an interesting piece. I sure hope someone writes it {grin}

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Won’t be me!

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I have the time, but my stats skills are too limited.

"Now wait a minute. This is just purely a social call. You know, just two adults getting a stew on, man."

by The Ghost of Bebop on Jun 17, 2011 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, Sakic had two great years after the lockout too. It was interesting seeing whose playing styles translated to the new rules.

"Now wait a minute. This is just purely a social call. You know, just two adults getting a stew on, man."

by The Ghost of Bebop on Jun 17, 2011 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Eh. Hull was 41 when the lockout was over.

I think the year off had as much to do with the inability for older players to bounce back as the new style of play.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wow. I thought he was like 37. Why would the year off hurt? It gives them time to rest and heal. Sure, you could go the Tkachuk route and blow up, but even he was able to continue to play in the league.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Muscle memory, I suspect.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’m not buying it. They’ve spent thousands of hours on the ice and I’m sure they played during the lockout. I can buy a lot of rust early in the season, but the rule changes had more to do with why they couldn’t hang in an absolute sense.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you’re 26 and you take a year off, that’s fine. But if you’re 38, 39, 40 and you take a year off, you’re not fine.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

So Mark Recchi couldn’t have played this year if he’d taken 2009-10 off?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well, he could’ve played, but he wouldn’t have been very good.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

He’d have been markedly worse than he was this year?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

So you think they didn’t shoot any pucks or put on the skates the entire year? You don’t think they are so athletic and so well trained that they can’t recover from a year off? I’m selling. Do you have a specific guy in mind as an example of someone that lost the muscle memory?

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Skating and shooting pucks a few times throughout the year is not the same as actually preparing for and playing in a season.

Look at Michael Jordan. When he took that time off from basketball to play baseball, he still played basketball, but it wasn’t at the high level as before. His short season after he returned was terrible by his standards. A career .500% shooting percentage guy, he shot .417 in the regular season. He improved in the postseason and then got on track the next, but even at 31, he was hurting.

And don’t even get me started on his Wizards comeback debacle.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

So you’re saying he was rusty and was able to regain form after playing a few months at a high level.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

At 31. And after still being an athlete.

Rust doesn’t come off when you’re 41.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

So that’s why Chris Chelios retired after the lockout. Thanks for clearing things up.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, Chelios played during the lockout (25 games for the Motor City Mechanics of the UHL), so my argument is still valid.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

So 1/4 of a season is still substantially the same as an NHL season? It was the UHL, not even the AHL. I’d love to keep arguing the Chelios point, but I’ll save us both some time:

Gary Roberts.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m not saying that it happens for every player. There are obvious exceptions.

But, yes, 25 games of professional hockey is probably enough to keep a guy in enough shape to continue his career at a high enough level.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Steve Yzerman, Dave Andreychuk, Scott Niedermayer, Chris Pronger, Cory Stillman, Tim Taylor, Sergei Fedorov, Paul Kariya, Joe Sakic, Sergei Zubov, Scott Mellanby, Kris Draper, Kirk Maltby, Ed Belfour, Dominik Hasek, Chris Osgood…

Shall I continue?

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

During the post lockout year, Niedermayer was 32. Pronger was 30. Stillman was 31. Fedorov was 35. Kariya was 30. Sakic was 34. Draper was 33. Maltby was 33. Osgood was 32. Those guys wouldn’t have as much of a problem.

As far as older players go, yes, some could do it. I’m not saying that there weren’t exceptions. But a lot were unable to continue.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

For example…

And if you cited Jordan as a guy that had trouble at 31 then I don’t see the difference.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jeez…

I used that example to say that even the best players after a year tend to lose some of that muscle memory. They can get it back after practice. You can’t do that so easily when you’re older.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m pretty sure I have it then.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sweet! I’d be very interested.

Separately, I put in an email to Awad — we’ll see what he says, too.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe ask Gabe and Zona too. I’m sure they’d be more than willing to help you out.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

“If you could take the time to bother to read everything I’ve ever written all your questions would be answered. If you can’t bother to do your own research on stuff that’s out there I’m not gonna do it for you.”

Release the Mackan!

by Killer_Carlson on Jun 17, 2011 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Tom Awad has a version of the complete set that has DOB, so I guess that means I just signed up to do the comprehensive study. Let’s hope I don’t blow it too badly…

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

The problem with limiting it to that period (‘04-’11) is that is does give a large enough size for whole careers. You need to have, I’d say, at least 20 years worth of stats to get a good dataset.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’m with you. Scoring isn’t the only way to measure a player. I have no doubt that these numbers are accurate, but I, too, think there’s a lot unsaid. D tend to mature later, and are also not as high scoring. I don’t know if D tend to play to older ages, but since their position is less reliant on explosive athleticism I think that could well be the case.

And I definitely would love to see how the scorers v. grinders breaks down. We’ve talked a lot about the decline in scoring that 50 goal scorers see after their early 20s, are the elite guys driving that drop off? And, as you’ve said many times, they may not be getting the 50 goals but may still be becoming better players.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

We did a couple of scribbles on age and 50-goal scorers,but that’s about it.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 9:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Right, but you’ve also looked mainly at points scoring and Cups. Good stuff, but I’m planning to look at something different.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

One more question — there’s a standard cut-off date in the year that people use to set that player’s “age” that year, right? Isn’t it in February? (For obvious reasons, January 1 would be the most convenient)

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hockeyreference uses a player’s age on Feb. 1.

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Moneygolf

This may be slightly OT in the sense that it ain’t hockey related, but it is related to #fancystats, so I thought some poeple here might find it interesting or inspiring. The article is nearly a year old now, but in case it has not been seen, there is a moneyball-type movement in golf, aptly, called moneygolf.

Of course the biggest differences between golf and hockey (A) are like those with baseball and hockey. Golf is a discrete game, like baseball. Golf is also played against the course designer and pin placer, not another team. But, a lot of the discussion in the article screamed to me “there is something here that can be useful in the analysis of hockey.” I’m neck deep in my dissertation right now so I don’t have any spare brain cycles to throw at it, for the moment. So I figured I’d throw it out there.

(A) Side note, according to the old pro at Enterprise, my old boss from when I was a teenager, the Caps of the Dale Hunter era were quite good, and could seriously bomb the ball off the tee. Apparently they used to play there alot.

singing the miner's refrain

by renstar on Jun 17, 2011 9:14 AM EDT reply actions  

I came across same this morning (Stahead, right?). I bookmarked the articles for reading later.

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oddly it showed up for me yesterday in a “you might like this” link to slate from the WaPo

singing the miner's refrain

by renstar on Jun 17, 2011 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Lots of NHL players have that reputation. Mario Lemieux is apparently a beast on the golf course as well as the ice.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ex-NHLer Dan Quinn is probably the best former hockey playing golfer. From Wikipedia,

Quinn is a regular competitor at the American Century Championship, the annual competition to determine the best golfers among American sports and entertainment celebrities. He won the tournament in 1992, 2001, 2002, and 2004, and has a total of sixteen top ten finishes.[ The tournament, televised by NBC in July, is played at Edgewood Tahoe Golf Course in Lake Tahoe, NV.

"And therefore I looked down into the great pity of a person’s life on this earth. I don’t mean that we all end up dead, that’s not the great pity. I mean that he couldn’t tell me what he was dreaming, and I couldn’t tell him what was real."
- Denis Johnson ("Jesus' Son")

by Rather Bengt on Jun 17, 2011 9:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Damn, that’s impressive. I’ve never played golf, but I know quite some people that have played in charity golf tournaments with Lemieux. Not quite the same level of talent on the course, but they rave about his ability.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know little in the field of sports psychology, but I would wonder how an athlete’s mind adjusts and adapts from paying a fast-paced sport such as hockey where decisions are made in a split second, to a sport with a more relaxed pace such as golf where decisions can be made with more deliberation.

"And therefore I looked down into the great pity of a person’s life on this earth. I don’t mean that we all end up dead, that’s not the great pity. I mean that he couldn’t tell me what he was dreaming, and I couldn’t tell him what was real."
- Denis Johnson ("Jesus' Son")

by Rather Bengt on Jun 17, 2011 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Real interesting question. Sometimes having more time causes you to overthink things and can be your own worst enemy. I’d imagine that’s definitely a concern in golf.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

For example, Jean Van de Velde at the 1999 British Open.

"And therefore I looked down into the great pity of a person’s life on this earth. I don’t mean that we all end up dead, that’s not the great pity. I mean that he couldn’t tell me what he was dreaming, and I couldn’t tell him what was real."
- Denis Johnson ("Jesus' Son")

by Rather Bengt on Jun 17, 2011 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great question. Where Mario is concerned, even more interesting, in that his preternatural skills seemed to allow him to slow the game around him down and provide a variety of options on any given play.

"The ice will show everything."

by cuqui on Jun 17, 2011 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Mario’s fine motor skills are also totally ridiculous. I’m in no way surprised that he has great feel for a golf club.

"Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful" George E.P. Box

by Knee high to a duck on Jun 17, 2011 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lemieux regularly plays in the American Century Championship and does well.

by Dirk Dangler on Jun 17, 2011 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

There’s some interesting stuff there, but it sounds sort of like they have the same issues with advanced stats as football.

This sig is brought to you by... Frungy, The Sport of Kings!

by apk3000 on Jun 17, 2011 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

DGB on the SCF:

While sitting in his living room enjoying the series on TV, Tomas Kaberle starts to get the nagging feeling that he was supposed to be somewhere this month.

Two first round picks for him!

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:34 AM EDT reply actions  

My favorite:

Game Seven

Third period: As the closing seconds tick down, devastated Canuck players console themselves with the knowledge that at least they can still drive home in their luxury sports cars that they parked on the streets outside the arena.

"The ice will show everything."

by cuqui on Jun 17, 2011 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

My favorite was definitely this one:

Second period: In an embarrassing coincidence, the entire twenty minute period is played without a whistle after all 40 players drop to the ice and roll around to draw a penalty simultaneously.

by GusDaMan on Jun 17, 2011 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

happy 34th birthday to Trent Whitfield.

Oh, I bet – I saw him lifting something silver above his head the other night…

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 9:36 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I’m sure it’s happened before, but that was the first time I think I’ve seen anyone who’s ever been on the roster that year for the team skate around with the Cup (hell, Jamie Arniel skated with it).

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

He was on the roster for Game 7, and was a presumably healthy scratch: http://www.nhl.com/ice/boxscore.htm?id=2010030417

Winnipeg? Winnipeg??? Oy...

by MikeL-Pivonka on Jun 17, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh yeah, Black Aces. I’m an idiot.

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

He and Shane Hnidy must be feeling like the luckiest S.O.Bs right now.

"And therefore I looked down into the great pity of a person’s life on this earth. I don’t mean that we all end up dead, that’s not the great pity. I mean that he couldn’t tell me what he was dreaming, and I couldn’t tell him what was real."
- Denis Johnson ("Jesus' Son")

by Rather Bengt on Jun 17, 2011 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Listening to Home Ice this morning, apparently the Caps are on the list of 5 teams Jagr’s agent contacted about a return to the NHL. I chuckled. Way too soon. I do think he could do some damage on a line with Sid or Malkin (Pitt naturally was on the list), which would suck. Other teams were Detroit, NYR and Habs.

by Dirk Dangler on Jun 17, 2011 9:48 AM EDT reply actions  

I talked to Hooks Oprik and he said that Jagr couldn’t get the money he wanted in the KHL so he’s talking to the NHL. I haven’t read anything about it so I’m trusting what Hooks said, but his word is that Jagr wanted 4 million in the KHL and nobody was offering it. I wonder if he’d take a discount to come back to the NHL? If he’s worried about money, it doesn’t seem like he’s going to get it here (the NHL, not just DC).

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Isn’t he 39? I don’t care how good he might still be, no one’s giving him more than 2 million, are they? If that.

Don’t try to figure Sasha out. Just ride the wave.

by gfcaps fan on Jun 17, 2011 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

I could see a bit more than 2. I could see 2.5. I can’t see 4. And when you factor in taxes, he’s not going to get anything near what he wants. A 4 million KHL deal, at I think about 13% taxes, would mean he’d have to make somewhere in the 6+ ballpark in the NHL to make the money even. That’s obviously not going to happen, but even a 4 million dollar NHL contract seems out of the realm of possibility to me. If money is his concern, he’s better of lowering his demands and taking the highest KHL offer. I’m a little shocked he can’t get what he wants there, I thought he’d been producing over there.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 9:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

He’s eligible for a bonus-laden contract. Doesn’t help the salary cap (CBA is ending), but some team might be willing to give him a chance to earn a lot more than 2.5 with incentives.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Good point, but I think the teams he’s looking at are going to be teams that really need to pay attention to the salary cap as well as real dollars. Were NYI and EDM on that list of teams he’s talking to? Maybe COL could be a team that might compete and could afford him, but they don’t strike me as serious contenders right now.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Depends on how much he values money versus a chance to win. Winnepeg could do to make a splash free agent signing…

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, that would be fun. Let AO take runs at Jagr 6 times a year. I wouldn’t mind that.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

I was looking at Sabourin’s Cap Geek page. He took a 50% paycut to re-sign with the Caps/Bears. $250K last year, $125K next.

You perhaps knew me better as "Your Nation's Capital." Same great commentary, now with 100% more transparency!

by EmilyB on Jun 17, 2011 10:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Knee injury will do that to you.

Don’t try to figure Sasha out. Just ride the wave.

by gfcaps fan on Jun 17, 2011 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

how Stanley Cup champions construct their defensive corps

Bruins built their Stanley Cup defence from without

Fact is every last one of Boston’s starting six came from outside the organization. Let’s have a look:



As with many other recent champs, we again see a veteran group, a hare under 30 years old on average, with the youngest guy seeing the least amount of ice time.
Not only did Boston not draft and develop a single one of their own defenders, none of these dudes even got picked in the top fifty in their draft year!

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 10:00 AM EDT reply actions  

So what’s the up-shot? I looked and saw that VAN only has 2 drafted guys (neither of them First round picks), so do you see it as an anomaly, the new operating protocol? I personally just see it as “more than one way to skin a cat.” You need good D, you need experienced D, but I don’t think it particularly matters how you get them. In general i think you overpay on the FA front (and you see that Boston only has one FA on there), so I wouldn’t advise that route. Shrewd (and not so shrewd) trades seem to be represented on here more than UFA acquisitions (combining both teams). I don’t mind GMGM trading for D (and that’s what he did with Wideman and Hannan), but I wouldn’t look at these charts and consider moving Green/Schultz/Carlznerson because that’s what the two most recent SCF teams did.

A couple more thoughts on the Chara contract. He was signed for huge money to be a core player, and done so at a time when BOS was horrible and didn’t have much to build around. That’s obviously not where the Caps are right now, so that may be even further evidence against going out and throwing money at a guy to bring in as a core player. A lot of teams have had success doing that lately, though, so I wouldn’t rule out impact UFAs as a matter of principle (PHI, CHI, DET all supplemented their teams with big money, impact UFAs after their teams were built up to be competitive).

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

do you see it as an anomaly, the new operating protocol?

I see it as the new thing until the next new thing (2012) comes along.

Last year it was “you don’t need a top flight goalie,” this year it is “don’t home grow your D”

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well the top flight goalie thing has been beaten to death, but it wasn’t a one year thing. This year is the exception to the post-lockout rule.

I’d doubt too many teams would draw the conclusion that they shouldn’t home grow their D (although that’s basically Jim Rutherford’s position on it). It’s still cheaper to get quality D through the draft than FA. Maybe if you know the guy is a Chara type that you can build around it’s ok to throw money, but the 2-5 D tend to get overpaid by so much on the FA market that it’s hard to build that way, IMO.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed. And if the Caps won (ha) it’d be “Build through the draft, add key pieces via trade/free agency, and load up on wingers – centers don’t matter as much as we thought they do.”

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

So how many ways are there to skin a cat?

Answer: >1

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Related: Is there really more than one way to skin a cat? Aren’t you pretty much just sliding a knife of some sort under the skin and working your way around?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

I just want you to know that I’m refraining from describing an extremely gross alternative.

As long as I am saddled with the mental image I just had, I want credit for not burdening the rest of you with it.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Happy Friday!

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

_____________

There’s always this technique:
 

 
Which brings up the question, have McPhee and Boudreau been hugging the players enough? Maybe that’s the problem…
 

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh… that’s hugging. That’s more acceptable than what I’d thought it was initially.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

You can also skin an animal with compressed air.

by Gunjin on Jun 17, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

And make sure the top news sources for your team is:

1. The team’s website
2. The team’s TV channel
3. The team owner’s blog
4. The local newspaper

"Shots aren't the important thing. Scoring chances are way more important than shots." - Bruce Boudreau

See my work on WaPo's Capitals Insider, ESPN Insider and Russian Machine Never Breaks (RMNB) Insider. I also log the Caps scoring chances. The 2010-11 summary spreadsheet is posted on Google Docs.

Follow me on Twitter @ngreenberg

by NGreenberg on Jun 17, 2011 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

No, obviously the lesson a Caps win would bring is to build character by suffering devastating playoff failures.

This sig is brought to you by... Frungy, The Sport of Kings!

by apk3000 on Jun 17, 2011 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Right – homegrow your guys and you a) haven’t given up any assets to acquire them and b) likely have them at better deals than if you had to grab them on the open market. Not sure what the downside to home-growing your guys is.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

It takes more time and patience. If you have a F corps that can win now, you may not want to wait for your 4 young D to develop to match the F corps.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

I suppose so, but do you give away assets to sync up your forwards today? I’d rather homegrow my Ds and rejigger my Fs when the time is right than vice versa. Hey, coincidentally that’s what the Caps are gonna have to do!

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

You could always start with a couple of world-beater forwards, the kind of guys who tend to have long careers. Lock them down for essentially their entire careers. Now you’re set there. Then, focus on building the rest of the team from the net and the blueline out. And when all of those guys are ready, then fill in the complementary forwards, since those are the easiest to acquire.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’m with you. I would say that it’s easier to take that position when you’ve seen what Carlson and Alzner can do. Without those guys I’d be much more likely to eschew the homegrown variety for some BC imports.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Right – if you’ve got nothing in the pipeline, you import it. But that’s true of any position.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

True. And with Peerless’ list of Boston-drafted D it’s pretty clear why they had to go the import route.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

For me, the case becomes one of managing under a cap. Drafting and growing your own is cheap, at least while those guys are on entry level deals. With trades, you might have a pricey player come in, but you don’t have the multiple bidders (in terms of dollars) that you get with UFA’s. UFA’s — especially high-end players, just aren’t worth the expenditure, in my opinion. They are overvalued (the nature of bidding), in restricts flexibility to address other needs, and depending on term, you are assuming a lot of risk in the outyears (how’s that deal that pays Luongo through 2022 looking these days?).

There are a lot of tools to build a roster, but the most economical of them (if, and only if, you do it well) is by focusing on the draft. Boston didn’t draft especially well among their high picks for a number of years. They translated those mistakes into some decent role players (Peverley, Recchi), for which they deserve kudos for changing course on the fly. As for the defense, was that cagey personnel management, or an inability to draft and grow defensemen? Here is the entire group of defensemen drafted by Boston since 2000:

Maxim Chudinov
Zach Trotman
Ryan Button
Tommy Cross
Denis Reul
Alain Goulet
Radim Ostrcil
Yuri Alexandrov
Andrew Bodnarchuk
Matt Lashoff
Jonathan Sigalet
Matt Hunwick
Mark Stuart
Frank Rediker
Shaone Morrisonn
Andrew Alberts
Milan Jurcina
Lars Jonsson
Tuukka Makela
Jarno Kultanen
Zdenek Kutlak
Pavel Kolarik

22 defensemen, and what…half a dozen NHL-level players? None of them a first-pair type, and perhaps none even a slam dunk as a top-4

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

For me, the case becomes one of managing under a cap.

Aye – this isn’t baseball, where the Kansas City Royals (or whomever) are essentially a shared farm team for a few well-monied clubs (except that the Florida Panthers are essentially a shared farm team for a few well-monied clubs…).

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not only did Boston not draft and develop a single one of their own defenders…

Technically true, but, to an extent they developed Boychuk (who had played four games for the Avs but subsequently spent a full season in Providence) and definitely developed McQuaid (who never even played in CBJ’s system and spent two-plus years in Providence).

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Similar to the Caps and Laich and Fleischmann, for example. Grabbed ‘em green off the other team’s tree.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

What doesn’t match?

Bruins Top Four Defensemen
Zdeno Chara-Age 33
Dennis Seidenberg-Age 29
Johnny Boychuk-Age 27
Andrew Ference-Age 31

Capitals Top Four Defensemen
John Carlson-Age 21
Karl Alzner-Age 22
Mike Green-Age 25
Scott Hannan- Age 32

by b.orr4 on Jun 17, 2011 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Also of note, these two numbers:

$14,416,667 and $12,270,833

Actually a lot closer than I’d thought they’d be…

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

On July 1, Hannan becomes a UFA… he’s not on the Caps top 4. The debate would be between Sarge and Wideman.

Of course, Alzner is a free agent on July 1 as well, but he’s an RFA.

Winnipeg? Winnipeg??? Oy...

by MikeL-Pivonka on Jun 17, 2011 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

A 1st round pick and a first round prospect for a #5 Dman. What a brutal deadline move, regardless of the fact that Boston won the Cup.

Release the Mackan!

by Killer_Carlson on Jun 17, 2011 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

But he’s a power play specialist! Without Kaberle there’s no way Boston could have gotten their PP up to 11.4%. He was instrumental.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

All bad deals are whisked away when you win the Stanley Cup.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

___

Not for nothing, but the flip side of the card used in today’s Clips has Olie sporting a phenomenal ’stache…

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:06 AM EDT reply actions  

A 4.48 GAA after he went back to Tri-City? After a “league leading” 3.48 GAA?? A different era…

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gawd, if I didn’t know and like Olie so much and only saw that pic of him I would swear his middle name was “Chester”.

"And therefore I looked down into the great pity of a person’s life on this earth. I don’t mean that we all end up dead, that’s not the great pity. I mean that he couldn’t tell me what he was dreaming, and I couldn’t tell him what was real."
- Denis Johnson ("Jesus' Son")

by Rather Bengt on Jun 17, 2011 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

oh my, those pads!

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

Olie's draft-day photo

nabbed from Capitals Overtime. His mom looks so proud. Or very bothered by the stache.

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

He and his dad look very much alike.

"Now wait a minute. This is just purely a social call. You know, just two adults getting a stew on, man."

by The Ghost of Bebop on Jun 17, 2011 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thought balloon over Mom’s head….

“Olie, Olie, Olie…you couldn’t shave for your big day?”

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gare Joyce’s latest mock:

Washington Capitals

Phillip Danault, C, Victoriaville (QMJHL)

A willing center who brings needed hockey sense and reliability to a ridiculously skilled lineup. Washington can wait for Danault to fill out with an abundance of talent in the pipeline. Although the “show” is Ovie, the real story in Washington is the organization. Picks like Evgeny Kuznetsov, Stanislav Galiev, Dmitri Orlov and John Carlson proved to be golden. Danault is in the mould of another dynamic Caps find, Cody Eakin. You can’t have enough of those guys.

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:47 AM EDT reply actions  

What’s a “willing center”?

You perhaps knew me better as "Your Nation's Capital." Same great commentary, now with 100% more transparency!

by EmilyB on Jun 17, 2011 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

A venue for people to do estate planning?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions   3 recs

A politician who gets crap from both sides?

Don’t try to figure Sasha out. Just ride the wave.

by gfcaps fan on Jun 17, 2011 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Meh.

I’d prefer to go for a physical winger if possible. We’ve got a glut of centers in the system.

If my answers frighten you, then you should cease asking scary questions.

by Steck It Out on Jun 17, 2011 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

You can play a center at wing — I think both Eakin and Kuznetzov may end up as wings in the NHL. But you can’t really play a wing at center.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Picks like Evgeny Kuznetsov, Stanislav Galiev, Dmitri Orlov and John Carlson proved to be golden

Excuse me, but three of those individuals have not yet played a game in anger in an NHL sweater. In what possible sense are they “golden?”

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

In that their current upside slaughters that of most guys taken behind them and plenty of guys drafted in front of them. A pick can be good long before it makes an NHL impact or even without ever making one. Don’t think the Caps could get more in return at this moment for any of those guys than most of the teams who drafted guys around them could get for theirs?

I understand “potential” is just that until it’s realized, but it’s not as if every prospect is equal.

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

John Carlson was a “golden” choice less than a year after he was drafted, when half the teams in the league realized what they’d passed on to let the Caps take him (including the Caps, for taking AnGus and running the risk of not getting Carlson)

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Probably a world jr’s reference…

by Ginga on Jun 17, 2011 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ha. Would work if not for Galiev’s inclusion.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

Funny, I thought that too at first. But he’s listed on the roster. Didn’t remember his play, though.

by Ginga on Jun 17, 2011 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

He definitely wasn’t on the team. Odd.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Galiev and Vlad Namestnikov were named to the roster pending final cuts by coach Bragin. Ultimately he chose to go with the team that had played together across Canada in the Subway Series plus his studs (Kuz, Orlov, Tarasenko) that were playing in the K. Stas and Vlad were going to be injury replacements, but they didn’t have any injuries.

You perhaps knew me better as "Your Nation's Capital." Same great commentary, now with 100% more transparency!

by EmilyB on Jun 17, 2011 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

In what possible sense are they "golden?

When used in the context of what they’ve continued to accomplish in their young careers, i.e. exceeding expectations in the leagues where they currently play, I think the word “Golden” is perfectly applicable.

by b.orr4 on Jun 17, 2011 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

This looks like fun:

http://www.hockeywilderness.com/2011/6/17/2228409/hockey-wilderness-community-2011-nhl-mock-draft-washington-capitals

Let’s go play!

You perhaps knew me better as "Your Nation's Capital." Same great commentary, now with 100% more transparency!

by EmilyB on Jun 17, 2011 10:47 AM EDT reply actions  

I won’t reveal who I picked in our SBN Mock Draft… but you’ll all see next week.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh please be a Russian enigma…

/crosses fingers

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Russian enigma, heady (or dopey, heartless) Swede, someone with bloodlines… or American USHL defenseman? Gotta stick with GMGM’s template…

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Two of those 4 I can live with.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

I predict JP-as-GMGM goes with a well rounded forward who is solid defensively with good offensive upside and is a bit of an SOB

I predict GMGM actually goes with a pure scoring talent, either the best offensive center or the best powerplay pointman available at that pick.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

And GMGoD does the boring, obvious, best player available pick.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

GMGouldie shuts the hell up and picks whoever Ross Mahoney tells him to

But then again, if Gouldie knew anything about the game, he’d be in it

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions   4 recs

I’d like to see a comparison of CSS versus the actual picks. I bet you could save a lot of money and not lose anything in results if you just went off CSS. Maybe not, though. CSS doesn’t land us Mackan.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

If your policy was always (1) trade every one pick you have for two or more picks later on, and (2) if you don’t have a good trade offer, go with CSS, I bet you’d end up doing pretty well just based on volume

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Jun 17, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

GMGouldie gets a rec from GMYNC.

You perhaps knew me better as "Your Nation's Capital." Same great commentary, now with 100% more transparency!

by EmilyB on Jun 17, 2011 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

You are so Rec’d.

/formerly a place to learn but now more importantly a place to laugh

"Hockey won’t hold still for a portrait. To gain a glimpse inside you join it in progress—just as the players do." Epilogue of 24/7

by capsyoungguns on Jun 17, 2011 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Whatever happened to the days when all he did was pick out of the WHL??

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Boyd Gordon, Eric Fehr, and Brian Sutherby happened.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Related: Brian Sutherby wore the “A” for 69 games as a Cap. WTF?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

How many games has Brooks Laich worn the A?

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can’t be more than a handful over the duration.

"My favorite fan base in D.C. Is United's. Period. The end." - Steinberg

by Bald Pollack on Jun 17, 2011 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right, I’d say if he even got 1/5 the amount of As as Sutherby it’s more than I thought.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

He’s had an A on his jersey for every NHL game for which he’s ever suited up.

Signed,

His agent

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why aim low, he’s had a C on his jersey for every game he’s played since Juniors (at least).

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

What a leader!

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dear lord, I don’t want Namestnikov.

If my answers frighten you, then you should cease asking scary questions.

by Steck It Out on Jun 17, 2011 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Riddle me this:

“Having seen Boston triumph to the Cup after completely collapsing a year prior, the Caps undoubtedly need to…”
Thoughts?
My immediate reaction is goaltending is fine, defense needs another vet other than a Wideman/Hannan (BCCD?), and our wingahs are sissies, other than Nicky, Alex and Knubs. I really hate to say they need more toughness but isnt the lack of it the major reason for their collapse this year? Nicky said they were completely fooled and that is on the coach, but the players too are equally if not more accountable.

by S h a g g y on Jun 17, 2011 11:34 AM EDT reply actions  

They couldn’t score a goddamned goal against TB.

Might have to change the blog’s tagline to this.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Scott Hannan disagrees. I’d put down cash that he had the best deflection of his career in that series.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think it was a leap to go from Shaggy’s comment to the need for a “Neanderthal” on the blue line. I believe his comment was more “lack of toughness” up front, and I agree with him and you. I agree that we need more depth up front, but I’d like that depth to be more aggressive forechecking, heavy hitting types who will commit to the team concept, and who have more skill than Bradley and Hendricks. They help set the tone, wear down the D and create space for the more skilled guys.

Wasn’t there a player poll that listed the Caps as the softest team or easiest to play against? That should tell you all you need to know.

by Dirk Dangler on Jun 17, 2011 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think it was a poll that said BB was easiest to play for.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

It also said the Caps were the most overrated.

by oates_meal on Jun 17, 2011 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I still have a problem with that part of the poll. With the talent on the team, it is hard to say they are overrated. To me, it is more of a case of being overhyped the past few years.

(Yes, I know about the avatar hounding - just pretend mine is invisible.)

by oldemystix on Jun 17, 2011 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

They couldn’t score a goddamned goal against TB.

Sounds eerily similar to our problem against MON too, no?

"Neuvy was eating pucks for breakfast, lunch, and dinner."

by SeattleCapsFan on Jun 17, 2011 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Damn that Marc-Andre Bergeron and his stifling defense!

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Go team!

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

I definitely wouldn’t say defense wasn’t a problem against Tampa. Sure, the Caps couldn’t score goals at key times, but they were also giving TB glorious chances at key times with poor defensive play.

However, I’ll agree that the Dmen weren’t the only problem. It was poor defensive play all around – forwards and defensemen. Definitely more of a failure of systems execution than a failure of personnel.

Release the Mackan!

by Killer_Carlson on Jun 17, 2011 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think there is a lack of confidence as well. When you can’t succeed when it matters most, no matter what system they play, you’ve got to believe they are thinking ‘There is something wrong with us, and we can’t put our fingers on it."

I’ve always admired Claude Julien, bounced out of NJ and Montreal and then getting blown out by Philly last year in the playoffs . I especially admire his coolness: they were down 2-0 to both MON and VAN during their Cup run but I think he went to his vets to calm the team and let them find their way. Didnt hurt that Tim Thomas is playing with an anti-matter stick and blocking glove.

The Caps didnt have that vet presence, with Arnott and Knubs hobbled. It hurt them, and Bruce stood helplessly as they folded like a pup tent.

by S h a g g y on Jun 17, 2011 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

From one of the PensBlog guys on Twitter:

RT @trixner: @TPBderek OCDB makes sense. 2 years, can’t beat a trap. Change your game plan or have a backup plan.

How’d it take that “sounds familiar…” moment for me to put together that the Caps and Pens have lost to the same two teams over the last two seasons?

Oh, and “OCDB”? Out-Coached Dan Bylsma.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 11:35 AM EDT reply actions  

I think every fanbase uses the same cliches once their team’s been eliminated from the playoffs:
1. We were outcoached
2. We were outworked
3. We need more shots on net
4. We need more traffic in front of the net
5. Our stars didn’t produce
6. Our third and fourth-liners disappeared
7. Our powerplay stinks
8. Our penalty kill stinks
9. We didn’t have one bounce/call go our way
10. We had a ton of injuries that weren’t revealed.

by b.orr4 on Jun 17, 2011 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Doesn’t mean that most of those aren’t true for the teams that lose.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Which makes it even funnier. Despite all the “innovation” in the NHL, teams still lose today for the same basic reasons they did 40 years ago.

by b.orr4 on Jun 17, 2011 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 10

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by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

11. It was foggy and our flight was delayed

And you forgot the most important of all…

We ran into a hot goalie

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

You’re right. That should be #1 although that’s a variation of 3,4, 5, 7 & 9.

by b.orr4 on Jun 17, 2011 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Out-Coached Dan Bylsma

And thus the post-Stanley Cup honeymoon ends…

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

One guy has a headache, another has a sore knee and suddenly Disco Dan’s a dope.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

But what have you done for me lately today?

Don’t try to figure Sasha out. Just ride the wave.

by gfcaps fan on Jun 17, 2011 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Meanwhile everyone else in the league thinks the guy is hands down the Jack Adams winner for what he did without his two best players for half the season.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course, a lot of those people also thought Robert Luongo was one of the top three goalies in the league.

by b.orr4 on Jun 17, 2011 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

He wasn’t?

Release the Mackan!

by Killer_Carlson on Jun 17, 2011 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

He’d get my vote. I’m not really seeing it as much of a contest, either.

The one I’m chuckling about today, though, is Mike Yeo. He was the root of all evil in Pittsburgh once (the power play that couldn’t shoot straight). Now he’s the coach in Minnesota.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jun 17, 2011 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

curious to see how he does. not all that surprising of a choice, though.

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

And… I’m still younger than every coach in the League. But it’s getting damn close…

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

The PP is going to be the most interesting thing to watch. MIN isn’t a powerhouse, but they should have enough talent to run a credible PP.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

they should have enough talent to run a credible PP.

Shouldn’t every NHL team have enough talent to look decent playing with 25% more skaters on the ice than the other team’s got?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

You would think so, but that’s clearly not the case leaguewide. With Koivu, Havlat, Cullen, (Bouchard), Burns, and Zidlicky I don’t see why they shouldn’t have at least one unit that can scare teams. That’s ignoring any off-season moves (re-signing Brunette, or a UFA acquisition) or potential help from Granlund or other prospects.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Wild are the Penguins Midwest. Richards was an ex WBS head coach. Yeo was an ex Pens assistant. Cliff Fletcher was an assistant GM with the Pens.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe that’s what ownership is hoping, but without the talent they won’t really be the Pens MW.

I felt for Richards, they brought him in to play a certain style, didn’t show a ton of patience with the transition or growing pains, and never brought in the talent he really needed to do what he wanted to do. Doesn’t exactly seem like setting the guy up to succeed.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Two years seems to be a bit of a short leash, I think.

by RCheli on Jun 17, 2011 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

front office was extremely upset about the March collapse. There were some unrealistic expectations, imo, about how quickly thy could switch systems, particularly given the personnel Richards had to work with, but the disaster that was March sealed his fate.

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Canucks Eulogy… pretty damn good.

http://yhoo.it/mQLWZF

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 1:42 PM EDT reply actions  

I found it too much truth and more sad than funny.

Don’t try to figure Sasha out. Just ride the wave.

by gfcaps fan on Jun 17, 2011 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great post by Scotty Hockey on the sad end of the line (so it looks) for Drury.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 4:12 PM EDT reply actions  

*

(Although it’s total Ranger fan delusion to say that Messier willed the team to victory singlehandedly. They won the Presidents’ Trophy, it wasn’t a team of bums. And you’d think the guy that singlehandedly willed them to victory would be deserving of an award, right? Well, maybe in NYC, but in the rest of the league it was Brian Leetch that was recognized as the Conn Smythe winner, whatever that means.

And, hell, Mike Richter was the All Star Game MVP that year! That means he was the best player in the game of best players, right? So he was the best player in the league!)

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

And it’s a well-known fact that only Hal Gill does things singlehandedly.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jun 17, 2011 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Georgia was above the national average as well as membership grew by 6.8%. There are now 2,287 registered players in Georgia, an all-time high for the state. As we all know, they’ll be without an NHL team starting next season. We won’t know what kind of impact that will have for at least two more years, but odds are it won’t be too great.

Eight of the 11 states (plus Washington, D.C.) in USA Hockey’s Southeastern District out-paced national growth. Slowly, but surely, the game is taking hold in states it was unable to crack 10 years ago. Another great NHL season and increased efforts from USA Hockey will only continue this trend in the Southeast.

Link.

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 4:19 PM EDT reply actions  

you might be able to answer this: does every hockey player in the US have to be registered with USA Hockey, or are there kids (and adults) out there playing hockey that aren’t registered? We have a lot of kids in gymnastics who don’t show up int he “official” numbers because registration with USA Gymnastics is only required for competitive athletes participating in USAG events (YMCA and AAU have separate gymnastics programs. Some overlap, but not 100%)

Caps fans aren’t on the ledge; they’ve already jumped, and are merely trying to drag others into a mournful descent with them..--Stienz

Pledge Drive 2010-2011: SO KIDS CAN!! Help build a playground

by RedBirdie on Jun 17, 2011 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

There are some nomad organizations (I believe the Hawaiian hockey leagues don’t register with USA Hockey so the HI numbers are misrepresented) but every league I’ve played in has required USA Hockey. If you play games that have refs (at least on the mainland), you are in USA Hockey. I can’t remember playing organized hockey with anyone that wasn’t in USA Hockey. I’m sure some kids take some private lessons that may not require it. I’m not sure if formal training for non-league purposes (i.e. summer camp, weekly clinics) requires USA Hockey but I suspect it does. Most of the insurance stuff flows through USA hockey, and that’s the big issue. You have to be USA Hockey registered to even play men’s league. The college club leagues also require it now (though I may not have had to register with USA Hockey when I played in Colgate because we weren’t officially in the ACHA at that point, K_C may remember better).

A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.

by Rob Parker on Jun 17, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Our kids’ rec league club requires the number before you can register, so USAH registration comes first. The high school team required it, as well.

Are you not entertained?

by Seminrocks on Jun 17, 2011 11:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

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