2010-11 Rink Wrap: Marco Sturm
From Alzner to Wideman, we're taking a look at and grading (please read the criteria below) the 2010-11 season for every player who laced 'em up for the Caps for a significant number of games during the campaign, with an eye towards 2011-12. Next up, Marco Sturm.
Key Stat: Sturm shot 4.2% with the Caps this year in 27 total games.
Interesting Stat: Sturm took only three minor penalties in 18 regular season games with the Caps.
The Good: The late season addition of Marco Sturm was supposed to solidify the top 6 forward rotation, providing the Caps a forward who could fill in on the second line, or a dose of speed and defensive shutdown capability on the third line. Seeing that he was acquired for nothing - literally a waiver wire steal - the thinking was that any output he could provide on a deep post-season run would be gravy.
On the defensive side he was excellent. His 1.90 5-on-5 GA/60 (calculated over 18 regular season games) would place him fourth among forwards on the Caps behind Brooks Laich, Alexander Semin and Nicklas Backstrom. He moved the football up field puck up ice better than any of his teammates, finishing +3.32 in expected zone shift finish - tops on the team. His CORSI rating (which includes 17 games with the Kings) was a respectable +3.66, indicating that he was a solid player no matter who he was playing with. He was good in the locker room, good at the little things and willing to do whatever the team asked him to.
The Bad: Offensively, Sturm didn't produce much, nor did he finish. He put up 30 shots in 18 regular season games, and a 3.3% shooting percentage earned him exactly one measly regular season goal with the Caps. His seven regular season points (1G, 6A) in 18 games with the Caps came out to a 0.39 ppg average, below his career 0.54 ppg average. What made his lack of production more disappointing was that when he was on the ice, scoring chances tilted in the Caps favor 56.4% - and he still couldn't put points on the board.
He also couldn't find much traction in the line-up, shuffling between the second and third line, and finishing with 14:01 of ice time per game with the Caps, the lowest of his career. Ultimately, Sturm never really meshed with any centers. He didn't play poorly (finishing +0.1 in GAETAN) but he also did not have much of an impact on the performance of the team in the regular season or the playoffs. His lone playoff goal was a "too-little-too-late" score in Game 4 against Tampa, when the Caps were already cooked.
And so Sturm enters this pivotal summer - likely his last major payday as an UFA - as an intriguing prospect, a player who can provide solid-if-not-spectacular play when in the line-up, but an oft-injured one who has failed to play a majority of the games in two of the past three seasons.
The Vote: Rate Sturm below on a scale of 1-10 (10 being the best) based on his performance relative to his potential and your expectations for the season - if he had the best year you could have imagined him having, give him a 10; if he more or less played as you expected he would, give him a 5 or a 6; if he had the worst year you could have imagined him having, give him a 1.
The Discussion: Should the Caps consider re-signing Sturm? If so, what is a realistic contract (amount and length) and what role should he play? What will it take for Sturm to earn a 10 rating next year?
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4
I didn’t expect much, but I did expect more points than that. But he did play well, just couldn’t finish (so I guess he fit in quickly). I would consider re-signing him, but only on a 1 year deal for less than 1.5 mil with the understanding that he’s 3rd line slotted.
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I think it’s safe to say, as with any waiver pick up, that expectations for Sturm were pretty low. That’s how I’m judging him and that’s why I gave him a 6.
I expected nothing. I got two goals and a few assists. That rating however doesn’t justify offering him a new contract. It’s unfortunate his shooting percentage dropped like a rock, otherwise he’d be getting a decent rating. (In this situation, 6 to me is still less than optimal for someone with his ice time).
as with any waiver pick up, that expectations for Sturm were pretty low
I think you and many others are mixing apples and oranges. this wasn’t a guy put thru waivers b/c he stunk or b/c the Kings were trying to dump contract. GMGM nabbed him much to the Kings surprise. Why that lowers your expectations, I have no idea.
Further to that point…
Left wing Marco Sturm went from the Kings’ first line to the first plane to Washington, claimed on waivers by the Capitals after General Manager Dean Lombardi gambled that Sturm would sneak through and continue the seemingly impossible mission of bringing speed and scoring to the left side of the lineup.
…
Coach Terry Murray, who said Friday that Sturm would be on the top line if he cleared waivers, insisted that Sturm would have been scratched Saturday if he had stayed. Maybe that’s true and maybe Sturm couldn’t satisfy the Kings’ needs, though they were unreasonable to expect he would be prolific after he had major right knee surgery in May. [Source]
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5
I got about what I expected from him when we got him. I hoped for a few more goals, but wasn’t expecting the overall super solid play we got from him in the D-Zone.
I’d be on board with giving him a one year contract <$1.5 million or so. I wonder if part of his lack of finish was lingering issues with the knee injury. He always seemed to me like he was close to breaking through with a couple more goals – but never quite got there. With a full off-season to train and get the knee back in shape I’m hopeful that he could rebound with another ~20 goal season. I’d be willing to take the risk – with the right contract it could be a steal.
by BradleyFightingVehicle on Jun 13, 2011 11:16 AM EDT reply actions
5
I want to say 3 or 4, but honestly…. did ANYONE really think he was going to put up another 20+ goal season? If he had started the season with the Caps I would have been a little disappointed and gone with a 3 or 4, but I think you could tell when he was traded that he wasn’t having a great year as far as #’s.
7
Am I over-rating him? Probably for what he contributed offensively but he exceeded my expectations for when we got him. He played the defensively sound and smart hockey I appreciate. He cycled. I though he had good chemistry with Semin when paired together. I just like what he brought to the team. I would want him back if we could get him for an affordable rate (1 year 1.5-1.8 million).
To steal ideas from one person is plagiarism; to steal from many is research
What you expressed is exactly how I feel about Sturm, though I probably would go with a 6. I have no idea whether his offensive output will climb, but I so liked what he brought, a lot of it intangible, but noticeable on the ice. I had a lot of confidence in his play even if he did not score himself. Irrelevant to his play and score, he has one of the best smiles around and uses it often.
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4
low side of expectations. Scored at a lower rate here than in LA, and he was already a disappointment in LA (hence being on waivers to begin with).
don’t really want him re-signed by the caps, but if they do I guess I could agree with a 1 year 1.5 deal like has been bandied about above. Doubt we could get him for that though, someone will probably offer more term and I don’t want to see the Caps be that team.
7
I was hoping for a great defensive forward, and that’s what we got. I’m a big believer in creating a defensive, shut down third line, so naturally I’m hoping we bring Marco back. Give him a one year, 1.5M contract and let him be the 3RW, preferably beside a good two-way center. I had one in mind, but I can’t seem to remember who it was. Maybe Sjogrin goes on that line too, since the SEL is know for its defense. I have a feeling Sjogrin is his replacement though, and I’m not comfortable leaving that job to a someone new to the NHL.
Founding member of the "Bring Silent Jay McClement to Washington" club.
by Flash in the Pan on Jun 13, 2011 11:44 AM EDT reply actions
If he’ll take $1.5 Million, I sure hope the Caps will give it to him.
Atta dinnin stick a who!
by Gould Old Days on Jun 13, 2011 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions
After major knee surgery and a 17 game, 9 point season, can he really expect much more than that? I think he’d accept a cheap, one year deal just to get his stats back up to where he can make the money he’s used to. If he scores 40 points next year, he could get a lot more on his next contract than he’ll get anywhere this year.
Founding member of the "Bring Silent Jay McClement to Washington" club.
by Flash in the Pan on Jun 13, 2011 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions
5
Didn’t expect much, just a responsible player. That’s what he was. I’d have liked a bit more offense, but I would have expected a bit less defense.
I’d sign him back for less than 2 million, ideally around the 1.5 that others are citing (but I don’t know how realistic that is). It could be a bounce back year for him, and given he’s at least defensively responsible I think that’s worth taking the chance. He won’t hurt you if he’s not scoring.
A 10 would be playing 70+ games and scoring 45-50 points while playing solid D. If he becomes part of the mythical shutdown 3rd line I could adjust the points down a bit as long as that line is really bad ass in its own end.
A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.
by Rob Parker on Jun 13, 2011 11:52 AM EDT reply actions 4 recs
5
Pretty much my exact answer, but with more detail. Thanks.
"Neuvy was eating pucks for breakfast, lunch, and dinner."
by SeattleCapsFan on Jun 13, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree with almost everything here. He gets a 6 from me because, unlike most of the Caps, he kept it up in the playoffs. He was on the ice for 6 Caps goals and 3 opposition goals in the playoffs.
Increasingly, as I watch the playoffs, I think the four keys to success are #1 Don’t Fuck Up, #2 Don’t Fuck Up, #3 Don’t Fuck Up, and #4 Try To Put The Puck In The Net If You Get An Opportunity, As Long AS You Don’t Fuck Up. Marco Sturm made almost no mistakes as a Cap. I’d be thrilled to have him back.
Atta dinnin stick a who!
by Gould Old Days on Jun 13, 2011 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
You don’t dock him any points for his mailbox head?
Release the Mackan!
by Killer_Carlson on Jun 14, 2011 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions
I hate Marco. Hate Marco. Hate Marco and his mailbox head!
A kitten on fire, a baby in a blender, both sound as sweet as a playoff surrender.
I also gave him a 5. I expected more offense from him but not the solid all around play he gave. I would sign him to a one year contract as long as it is under 2 million. I think a lot will depend on whether Laich resigns. If Laich leaves I think it is more important to sign him because I could see him playing the 2nd line LW position and hopefully he will find his goal scoring touch again. Even if Laich signs I can see him playing on the 2nd line as LW with Laich being the 3rd line center or maybe even the 2nd line center.
Proud to be a Caps fan. Its a Great Day for Hockey.
3
Get’s a 3 from me. Sturm’s a better player than he showed in DC and I loved the waiver claim. I’m sure his lousy offensive production was simply a small size issue — he’s not going to shoot 4% over a larger sample size, nor is he likely to create less than 1.5 shots per game. His career norms are 12% and somewhere in the 2.5-2.9 range. Had he done that here, he’d have produced 5 more goals, give or take.
Just because he cost us little, I’m not sure why folks are giving him a 5 (low side of expectations) and implying that they expected not much more than a single goal or career worst offense from the guy.
I’d resign him if we can do it for no more than 2 years, and pretty cheap. He’s missed huge chunks of 2 of the past 3 seasons, which doesn’t bode well for the future.
6
Since he was a waiver-wire pickup that cost us nothing, I had low expectations of how much he’d contribute, figuring the injury was still an issue. Loved how he’d bring the puck up the ice, and his chemistry with Sasha. If he can get more shots and finish more, he could be a strong 2nd line winger, taking Laich’s place should Brooks decide to go elsewhere. I’d love if they could re-sign him at below $2M for 2 years.
"I remembered when he said that and I kind of looked at him during the warm up and told myself that I got to shut these guys out tonight." - Michal Neuvirth, 02.06.11.
5
I was expecting more offense, but his defensive play made up for that. I don’t know how much he was affected by the two recent injuries, so I’m giving him a bit of a break for that.
I would be fine with re-signing him – maybe 1 or 2 years, $2M or so per. I think he’d make a good 3rd line winger, or possibly even 2nd if he gets back to his old form.
Matt Bradley: He has sensitive skin, no?
3
I expected so little, and boy did I get it. The guy wasn’t good at all and coming off a serious injury really didn’t have it anymore. He showed some speed and some ability to move the puck, but there was nothing there.
To paraphrase, he didn’t put anywhere near enough biscuits in the basket, and to make matters worse, he didn’t make many biscuits to begin with. How the heck does a top 6 forward (allegedly) get only 30 shots on goal in 18 games?
Resigning him… no thanks. Unless he is signed for the NHL minimum, then I don’t think the Caps need him. I can’t see them resigning him anyway. As for getting a 10 here… not gonna happen.
Winnipeg? Winnipeg??? Oy...
Mean Marco

To steal ideas from one person is plagiarism; to steal from many is research
by Rather Bengt on Jun 13, 2011 2:22 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
That explains Nicky’s playoff performance- Sturm ate his hockey ability!
by 8vechkin on Jun 13, 2011 4:58 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Might have to make up a shirt that reads “Robovoters Don’t Care ’Bout Marco.”
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7
I think its really hard to ask someone to come off of such a major injury, join a new, and immediately produce. He did play solid defense and got some good chances and I think, given time, he will cash in on a much higher percentage of those chances than he did. I definitely would like to see Sturm stick around in a slightly expanded role next season. I expect that given more time to get his timing and legs back he could be much more of an impact player for a fairly low price.



































