FanPost

Caps 5v5 scoring chances vs playoff and non-playoff teams


Since we are getting closer to the playoffs, I thought I would take a look at how the Washington Capitals have done versus playoff and non-playoff teams. I went by the current standings as of March 5th and only looked at 5v5 scoring chance data.

Even strength scoring chance percentage and goal conversion rates based on opponent:

Opponent Games
SC% Convert%
ANA 2 61.9% 18.0%
ATL 6 51.0% 15.4%
BOS 4 61.6% 10.1%
BUF 3 50.8% 15.6%
CAR 3 48.7% 15.8%
CGY 1 45.0% 22.2%
COL 1 69.7% 4.4%
DAL 1 44.4% 0.0%
FLA 3 54.4% 13.5%
LAK 1 47.6% 10.0%
MIN 1 50.0% 20.0%
MTL 2 55.1% 11.1%
NJD 3 46.8% 34.5%
NSH 1 51.9% 7.1%
NYI 4 53.2% 14.0%
NYR 4 49.0% 8.3%
OTT 3 47.2% 17.7%
PHI 3 48.1% 10.8%
PHX 1 55.0% 18.2%
PIT 4 53.5% 5.7%
SJS 2 50.0% 3.6%
STL 2 53.7% 17.2%
TBL 5 49.0% 20.4%
TOR 3 51.1% 16.7%
VAN 1 37.9% 18.2%

Scoring chance % (SC%) is the percentage of chances that go in Caps' favor during even strength. Washington has averaged 52.0% for the season and has converted (Convert%) on 13.9% of them.

Data aggregated by if team will be in playoffs or not:

Playoff teams Non-playoff teams
Games 32 32
5v5 TOI 1559.5 1544.4
Chances for 398 423
Chances against 379 380
Goals for
45 69
Goals against
55 54
SCF/60 15.3 16.4
SCA/60 14.6 14.8
GF/60 1.7 2.7
GA/60 2.1 2.1
SC% 51.2% 52.7%
Convert% 11.3% 16.3%

The biggest difference seems to be in converting on scoring chances. Weird, where have I heard/seen that before?

EDITED: chances by game state added

At 5v5 SC% Convert%
leading 49.2% 16.4%
tied 50.7% 12.7%
trailing 56.0% 13.2%

If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's editors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.

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