Since we are getting closer to the playoffs, I thought I would take a look at how the Washington Capitals have done versus playoff and non-playoff teams. I went by the current standings as of March 5th and only looked at 5v5 scoring chance data.
Even strength scoring chance percentage and goal conversion rates based on opponent:
| Opponent | Games |
SC% | Convert% |
| ANA | 2 | 61.9% | 18.0% |
| ATL | 6 | 51.0% | 15.4% |
| BOS | 4 | 61.6% | 10.1% |
| BUF | 3 | 50.8% | 15.6% |
| CAR | 3 | 48.7% | 15.8% |
| CGY | 1 | 45.0% | 22.2% |
| COL | 1 | 69.7% | 4.4% |
| DAL | 1 | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| FLA | 3 | 54.4% | 13.5% |
| LAK | 1 | 47.6% | 10.0% |
| MIN | 1 | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| MTL | 2 | 55.1% | 11.1% |
| NJD | 3 | 46.8% | 34.5% |
| NSH | 1 | 51.9% | 7.1% |
| NYI | 4 | 53.2% | 14.0% |
| NYR | 4 | 49.0% | 8.3% |
| OTT | 3 | 47.2% | 17.7% |
| PHI | 3 | 48.1% | 10.8% |
| PHX | 1 | 55.0% | 18.2% |
| PIT | 4 | 53.5% | 5.7% |
| SJS | 2 | 50.0% | 3.6% |
| STL | 2 | 53.7% | 17.2% |
| TBL | 5 | 49.0% | 20.4% |
| TOR | 3 | 51.1% | 16.7% |
| VAN | 1 | 37.9% | 18.2% |
Scoring chance % (SC%) is the percentage of chances that go in Caps' favor during even strength. Washington has averaged 52.0% for the season and has converted (Convert%) on 13.9% of them.
Data aggregated by if team will be in playoffs or not:
| Playoff teams | Non-playoff teams | |
| Games | 32 | 32 |
| 5v5 TOI | 1559.5 | 1544.4 |
| Chances for | 398 | 423 |
| Chances against | 379 | 380 |
| Goals for |
45 | 69 |
| Goals against |
55 | 54 |
| SCF/60 | 15.3 | 16.4 |
| SCA/60 | 14.6 | 14.8 |
| GF/60 | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| GA/60 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| SC% | 51.2% | 52.7% |
| Convert% | 11.3% | 16.3% |
The biggest difference seems to be in converting on scoring chances. Weird, where have I heard/seen that before?
EDITED: chances by game state added
| At 5v5 | SC% | Convert% |
| leading | 49.2% | 16.4% |
| tied | 50.7% | 12.7% |
| trailing | 56.0% | 13.2% |
There are 4 Comments. Load Now.
Shortcuts to mastering the comment thread. Use wisely.
C - Next Comment
X - Mark as Read
R - Reply
Z - Mark Read & Next
Shift + C - Previous
Shift + A - Mark All Read
Comment Settings
Live comment alert: Hide it!
Comments for this post are closed.