FanPost

TOA for Caps

I read an article Greenberg linked in Twitter where a guy tracked time on attack (TOA) to compare to Fenwick/Corsi. I did this the Caps last game and thought people might be interested. I followed that guy's direction literally and waited until a player clearly had possession in the OZone. So, if they were battling on the boards or dumped it, I didn't start the clock. Then I don't end it until the puck cleared the zone or a D was in possession w/o heavy forecheck pressure. So, I left the attack going while they battled on the boards AFTER the attack starts. I tracked all situations but only include 5v5 in my totals.

So, here are the numbers from the Coyotes game. 1st - Caps 3:48, Phx 1:59 (65.7% for Caps). Fascinating since they were losing off that short handed breakaway. 2nd - Caps 2:37, Phx 1:49 (59% Caps). 3rd - Caps 1:56, Phx - 3:37 (65.2% Phx). Total for the game was 8:21 Caps (53%), 7:25 Coyotes.

I also did this for the 1st 2 periods of the Leafs game. Actually had a schedule conflict for the 3rd but wasn't super motivated to finish that debacle. But I had the Caps 2:53, Leafs at 3:47 in the 1st and Caps 3:08, Leafs 2:06 in the 2nd. So, Caps drove play in the 2nd but gave up 4. Of course 3 of them were when the caps were short handed. But 5v5, they controlled the game and got 3 minutes on attack despite being short handed so much. So, my number say they didn't play as bad as the score 5 on 5 anyway.

I'll keep doing this for 15-20 games so it can get a decent sample size. I'll be curious to see if Greenberg, et al can do some comparisons of my data to other stats. I'll post my results here after each game. I'll also tweet the totals after each period, if you want to follow me for that, I'm @avarbimba on Twitter.

If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's editors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.

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