FanPost

Scoring in bunches

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Something to think about after the Caps allow 3 or more goals against in a game:


This season, when the Caps allow 3 or more goals, more often than not (60% of the time) they follow it with at least 1 more game where they allow 3 or more goals.


50% of the time, when a team scores 3 goals against them, they will follow it with at least 2 additional games where the opponent scores at least 3 goals against.

When they allow 3 or more goals in a game, they are just as likely to follow it with at least a 3 game streak of allowing 3 or more goals against as they are to allow less than 3 goals the next game.

...


If this trend were to continue in the playoffs (adjust accordingly if you think the Caps will perform better or worse statistically in the playoffs) and the team continues averaging 2.77 GF per game, as they are now, if they should say allow 3 goals against in game 1 of a series, there would be a 50-50 chance they would find themselves down 3 games to zero in that series. A bit of fun with stats perhaps, or perhaps not.

Last week under the new system the Caps had a 3 game streak of allowing 3 or more goals.

Last year the Caps averaged (a somewhat gaudy) 3.82 goals per game in the regular season.

If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's editors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.

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