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The Noon Number

13 - John Carlson's rank among NHL defensive defensemen, per the Globe and Mail's James Mirtle.

over 1 year ago At_kettler_tiny Becca H 68 comments 0 recs  | 

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Impressive stuff. So how much of a cap hit are you looking at after next year (he currently makes what, 700k a year?)….gotta think that decision impacts what the Caps can offer Semin.

IMO, it’s imperative that Alzner and Carlson be locked up for the next 5-6 years. I would much rather spend $6 million a year on them together than $6 million a year on #28.

by kovachs on Jan 12, 2011 11:53 AM EST reply actions  

That’s a no-brainer. The question is if it comes down to 6 per for the pair or 6 per for Mike Green (assuming a scenario in which they are mutually exclusive).

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

You can probably squeeze Green in at $6 million per year for a few more years.

Also, as long as Bruce is the coach here he would be crazy to go somewhere else.

by kovachs on Jan 12, 2011 1:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m pretty sure both Carlson and Alzner are on that list by necessity, not because of the quality of their play.

I also misread the description of the number and thought the list was of rookie D at first. That had me baffled for a second as I tried to think of even 12 more rookie D, not even just rookie D better than Carlson.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 11:53 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Roman Hamrlik #2? Really? I don’t buy these stats.

The stars, as now, were waning overhead // Listen! Again the shrill-lipped bugles blow // Where the swift currents of the river flow // Past Fredericksburg; far off the heavens are red

by sydtron on Jan 12, 2011 12:01 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

yeah, I’m calling shenanigans on that also…….

by Pi on Jan 12, 2011 12:08 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s definitely a rough sketch at best, but I have a hard time believing anyone on the list is having a bad year. He does point out that players on teams with good goaltending get a boost, and Price has been pretty good for MON so far. That probably has something to do with it. Even more impressive for the Caps is that they got the two rookies on this list despite legitimately below-average goaltending.

The biggest flaw I have in the methodology is the heavy reliance on the QComp score. It looks like he’s using the plus/minus based version of QComp. The Corsi-based one is probably a little more reliable, but as any of the regulars here know I’m very skeptical of both versions of the Quality of Competition stats. They can give you some insight in a broad sense, especially when compared against your own teammates, but using them to draw more specific conclusions is iffy (for example, a .06 QComp isn’t substantially different from a .07 QComp, IMO). I don’t know the specifics of the equation he uses, but it looks like QComp is probably pretty heavily weighted along with the GA/60 figures (which obviously makes sense). I’d say that TOIES and TOIPK should probably figure into these numbers a bit more.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

He does point out that players on teams with good goaltending get a boost

So Carlson and Alzner are even better than they appear on the list, given the legitimately below-average goaltending they’ve had to overcome?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 12, 2011 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Carlson gets the “Nor”…Alzner gets the “ris”

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jan 12, 2011 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess that would be the only logical conclusion. I’m sure there’s a stat that proves that Carlznerson hasn’t been very good also. The Caps have bad D, bad G, and the touch of God is keeping the puck out of the net more than anything else.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

They’ll fall back to Earth and out of the playoffs soon enough.

You had me at no problem.

by Ninjak on Jan 12, 2011 12:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, Alzner does have a negative Corsi Rel despite not-too-tough QoC and good QoT and the best zone starts of any regular Caps D…I’ll have to think about that one. I think it’s just been a tough last month-and-a-half Corsi-wise (before Alzner was single-digit positive).

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by red army line on Jan 12, 2011 1:06 PM EST up reply actions  

And despite Gabe’s assertion (yeah, it’s a fucking assertion), Corsi Rel isn’t a measure of a player’s individual contribution. It’s right in the title of the stat “Relative.” If Alzner is getting the hard assignments, his Corsi Rel is going to suffer. You have Mike Green playing offense and pumping pucks towards the net when Alzner’s off the ice, then saddle Alzner with playing the top lines when he’s on the ice. Corsi Rel says as much about where your place on the depth chart is as it does about your actual performance. Sometimes it’s hard to separate the two, but that’s why some of us choose to watch … oh nevermind.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 1:09 PM EST up reply actions  

There are guys getting just as tough out even tougher assignments that have been better. Even though Alzner has gotten it done defensively with a low shots against per sixty, he’s not getting the puck somewhere on offense. For a guy that’s supposed to have some offensive upside, well, probably needs to be better.

A top four D needs to be playing most of the gamein the offensive zone, especially given the advantages this teams coach has given them, frequently good corsi teammates. If good corsi teammates arent so with Alzner, theres an issue. Especially since the lack of offense must be affecting Carlson too.

I know Alzner is still developing his game. But if this trend contines for much longer, maybe its time to give Carlson a new partner, and play Alzner in a pure defensive role with checkers.

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by red army line on Jan 12, 2011 10:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not sure how much offensive upside you think Alzner has, but that sentence makes it sound like more than he was ever billed to have. Considering the way this season’s gone with the Caps, I’m not sure it’s time to draw any conclusions about Alzner’s impact on Corsi. If the puck isn’t going to the offensive end, that’s less on him than other people, IMO. He makes a smart first pass most of the time, which is mostly all that’s asked of him. He’s gotten smarter pinching and generally been more assertive with the puck this year. Of course he’s always going to be defense first, but that’s not a problem. I don’t think there’s a better partner for Carlson at this point.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 10:47 PM EST up reply actions  

If he can make a good first pass, and the guys he plays with are guys that can move the puck effectively up ice and get shots directed at net (like Brooks Laich, who sports the best Corsi Rel among forwards despite the highest QoC), then, where’s the disconnect? Why is there a disconnect?

The team might be able to get a bit more offense with Carlson-Poti (who were excellent together last year, when they were paired) and Alzner-Schultz. Both Alzner and Schultz (last year, at least) had that same thing going with underwhelming Corsi given circumstances. Put them together and there’s no sacrifice on defense, and no sacrifice of Carlson on offense (Green still doesn’t have an ideal partner, but oh well).

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If you don't know how to use Timeonice, read this.
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"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays

by red army line on Jan 12, 2011 11:21 PM EST up reply actions  

/Hawerchuk’d

The safe word will be "hwiskey"

by kschaeff on Jan 12, 2011 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Caps are only middle of the pack in goal though. Their boost wouldn’t be huge compared to guys playing for teams on the low end:

http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/scoring/sort/teamSavePct/year/2011/seasontype/2

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Four Canadiens in the top-25
Three Penguins in the top-25
Nashville and Boston both with a pair in the top ten
Buffalo probably wishes they didn’t let Toni Lydman get away
Ed Jovanovski just keeps on hanging around.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jan 12, 2011 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Bieksa (!), Edler, and Hamhuis all representing for Vancouver.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

MTL: 4
PIT: 3
VAN: 3
WSH: 2
NSH: 2
BOS: 2
DAL: 2
FLA: 2
PHX: 1
CGY: 1
STL: 1
CAR: 1
ANA: 1
NYR: 1
COL: 1
LA: 1
BUF: 1
DET: 1 (Lidstrom 30th?)

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jan 12, 2011 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m sure nobody was shocked to see known beast Mike Weaver on that list.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Majpr shenanigans w/ the Lidstrom ranking. His QCOMP is literally 10 times greater than some of those ranked ahead of him.

by S h a g g y on Jan 12, 2011 12:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Lidstrom seems to be one of those guys who, when he retires, will be because he wants to, not because he has to due to diminshed play.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jan 12, 2011 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Unlike JoePa.

The "Other" Box Seats Blogger

by Kareem E. on Jan 12, 2011 1:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Harsh, but i agree.

I don't know shit about baseball.

by oVecKid on Jan 12, 2011 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

JoePa will never retire. His body will be cryonically preserved, his brain transplanted into an animatronic device that resembles him, and he will continue to coach for another 126 years, or however long he’s been at PSU

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jan 12, 2011 3:16 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Just the mention of JoePa has me cringing at that troll we had running around here a while back with JoePa’s shoes as his avatar.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 12, 2011 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Definitely. He still has it for sure. He’ll be able to play at an NHL level for years after he retires (depending on when he retires). I just think he will hold himself to a higher standard. It won’t be “am I NHL worthy?” It’ll be “am I an NHL all-star?”

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Is he a first-ballot Hall-of-Famer?

I think so.

The "Other" Box Seats Blogger

by Kareem E. on Jan 12, 2011 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

If that guy isn’t then who the hell is?

Wearing the weagle is a way a’ life

by Gould Old Days on Jan 12, 2011 5:26 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Seriously. 6 Norris trophies (good bet for 7 after this year) 3 runner ups, a Conn Smythe, 4 Cups (at least) and a spot in the defenseman pantheon in the group immediately below Bobby Orr with Ray Bourque and Doug Harvey.

If that’s not first ballot, the selection committee needs to sequester itself and rethink its decision.

"Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful" George E.P. Box

by Knee high to a duck on Jan 12, 2011 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

My original thinking was that first ballot HoFers were reserved for the Gretzkys and Lemiuexs, but after dusting off the cobwebs I realized that they simply moved up the coronation ceremony for those special players to the year after they retired. Do you think Lidstrom deserves to get the 3-year rule waived? I don’t, but it’s not because of his resume. He is about as decorated a defenseman as there is (Orr notwithstanding). What I think would hold him back from such special treatment is that he has never been the “face of hockey”.

If he was Canadian and outgoing….methinks it’s a different story.

The "Other" Box Seats Blogger

by Kareem E. on Jan 12, 2011 6:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think he should or will get that treatment, but that’s alright. He’ll get in as soon as he’s eligible and he’ll be honored. He’s not going to be forgotten, that’s for sure.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 6:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Top 30 is pretty good for a 40 year old. And his on ice GA is quite a big higher than off ice.

And his defence partner is Stuart.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 2:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I think he’s saying that given how much tougher his competition looks by these numbers, he should probably be even higher.

Can you divulge (or link to, if I’m missing it) your exact formula?

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I have to give away my secret sauce?

I just take every defenceman who meets the minimum games played and SHTOI/G requirements, rank them in that group in QCMP, EVGA/60 and SHGA/60 and average those rankings. More weight is given to QCMP and EVGA/60 than the PK numbers.

Not very scientific. I tried to make it simple yet still worthwhile.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 2:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Been pleasantly surprised with Bieksa’s play on my fantasy team this year :)

The safe word will be "hwiskey"

by kschaeff on Jan 12, 2011 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Four Canadiens in the top 24, and you people STILL wonder how the Caps got shutdown last spring!?!?!?!?

[whistles innocently]

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Jan 12, 2011 12:47 PM EST reply actions  

OTOH, i read yesterday that Hal gill (or his agent) approached the Habs about a contract extention and was told they want to see him play some more before they talk contract.

You perhaps knew me better as "Your Nation's Capital." Same great commentary, now with 100% more transparency!

by EmilyB on Jan 12, 2011 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Orpik from other BtN numbers looks like he’s being carried by Letang to that top spot. He ain’t bad, but not world-beating. (link)

Didn’t we have Olivier come over here and show us Hamrlik was the Habs’ best D last year (excluding Markov)? And he plays with Spacek, too. Not surprised there.

Looks like many pairings make the list. Letang-Orpik, Suter-Weber, Hamrlik-Spacek, a couple of the VAN guys no doubt, Weaver-Garrison (?), Carlzner. That’s ten of the thirty, and I’m sure I missed one or two. Green legitimately deserves to be up there, though I’m not surprised he isn’t given Mirtle is using QComp. Green is 2nd last in QComp on the Caps blueline, but 2nd in QoC, and has the best Corsi Rel on the team, and with only middling QoT and zone starts (though I continue to be suspicious of QoT on the Caps as long as Alex Ovechkin’s Corsi Rel is so low).

My blog and Twitter, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
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"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays

by red army line on Jan 12, 2011 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

I definitely remember Olivier coming in and arguing for Hamrlik. I also remember a particular person vehemently arguing against him. Looks like Olivier might have the last laugh on this one.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 1:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Green’s close to the list.

I’m open to arguments over what other stats I should be using, but the names this one pulls up seem to be pretty accurate most years. It reads better with a larger sample size than 30 or 40 games.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I’d personally like to see TOI figured in more, but I’m not sure how it’s weighted currently.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 2:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t like the idea of rewarding a player simply because they play a lot. A defensive defenceman could be a specialist who plays only 19 minutes because his offensive game is non-existent.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I saw above that you do have a minimum TOI requirement, so I can live with that.

I like TOI because it indicates where you rank on that team and how much the coach trusts you. Maybe the coach is an idiot, but normally they know who their best guys are. I understand your concern, but particularly with SHTOI I don’t think it’s a big deal. That’s where the defensive specialists are relied upon. Maybe there is some ESTOI disadvantage to the defensive guys, but most of the specialists are playing against top lines so they’ll get their ice time. It seems almost impossible to get a large QComp without getting lots of ice against top lines.

My concern with not having TOI is that you could be on the second or third PK unit, face the second PP unit and have real good numbers while another pair is eating minutes against top PP units. TOI adjusts for the possibility that some players may have good numbers without really being relied upon.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 2:55 PM EST up reply actions  

TOI adjusts for the possibility that some players may have good numbers without really being relied upon.

See Erskine, John?

But doesn’t QCOMP account for whether or not guys are being relied upon?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 12, 2011 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it does to some degree. How much will depend on how much faith you put into the QComp stats. The raw data to compute QComp is plus/minus. So whatever complaints you can level against plus/minus are going to apply to QComp to some degree. I’d look at QComp similarly to plus/minus. The value is in the extremes. If you are really high or low, that says something. But the vast majority of the guys on Mirtle’s list are basically indistinguishable in terms of their QComp. However, he then ranks them based on this so these very small differences in QComp can result in disproportionate impact in the rankings.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 3:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Roger that. But TOI can also depend on the quality of one’s teammates – Tom Poti got a ton of SHTOI last year because he was (perceived to be) far superior in that role to his teammates. This year, however, Bruce is relying upon him less because, in part, other guys have improved. So is Poti necessarily worse than he was last year relative to his team, the League, or overall?

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 12, 2011 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Well Poti’s numbers were pretty bad last year, so that would negate the advantage he would have had by TOI. I do agree he was being relied upon, and that to some degree that is in his favor. It’s the results that aren’t. Relied upon is good, but relied upon with good results is better. (And it could also be seen as a strike against BB depending on how you might interpret the situation.)

Poti is worse relative to the team, that’s for sure. Whether he’s objectively worse (or worse relative to the league) is a tougher question, in part because he’s missed so much time.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Right, I totally agree and Poti might not be the best example, but clearly the same exact guy playing on one team with great D depth or another with shitty depth is going to be relied upon differently and get different TOI. And QCOMP, for that matter.

Maybe we should just watch the games.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 12, 2011 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

I actually think Poti is a pretty good example for what you were getting at. I said that normally the coaches know what they are doing and rely on the players that are best. Maybe Poti was best and our D was really that bad, or BB was relying on someone that isn’t the best. He just shows that there’s a trade off between “reliance” and “performance.” It’s telling that the good teams are heavily represented on Mirtle’s list. Juice can fly up the Isles’ depth chart, but he’s not going to handle it well enough to crack that list.

Watching the games is fun. The day hockey becomes a series of spreadsheets is the day I stop watching. Plus, every once in a blue moon you learn something from actually watching.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Aye.

And the funny thing is, even the best stats imaginable (and those unimaginable) will only tell you exactly what happened - they’ll never tell you exactly what will happen. That’s why we watch.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 12, 2011 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Exactly. And some things that happened are impacted by things that are highly unlikely to happen again, like an 8 game losing streak or 5 games by Holtby. You can tell us what those numbers look like (and lose all the details and specifics in averaging the numbers), but assuming the Caps are going to hit an 8 game losing streak and need to rely on Holtby again (at least in the playoffs) is so highly unlikely as to void any conclusions that don’t recognize that.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Good teams are heavily represented on the NHL’s scoring leaders list, for forwards and defencemen, and in the goaltending leaders list.

It’s all tied together. This list is on different. Goalies who win the Vezina play behind good defences and defencemen who have good numbers have a good goaltender behind them.

This isn’t an attempt to make hockey solely about spreadsheets. It’s simply another tool for analyzing what defensive players bring to the game.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 3:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I wasn’t taking a shot at you, sorry if that was unclear. There was a fiery debate with Hawerchuk over the last couple of days. A lot of the discussion in this thread is relating back to his take, not yours.

I definitely appreciate your attempt to quantify the Langway Award candidates. That’s by far the hardest part of the game to measure, in my opinion, so there are always going to be people who will quibble. My point about good teams wasn’t that there’s a bias, it definitely is all tied (and I’ve frequently said that good goalies make Jack Adams awards). I was trying to point out that all teams rely on somebody, but only the good teams are actually relying on good players that should be discussed in the context of this award.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus, every once in a blue moon you learn something from actually watching.

Or you remember something you forgot, like goddamn is Vokoun good with his glove and just generally fun to watch.

I need to tune in the Panthers more often.

Wearing the weagle is a way a’ life

by Gould Old Days on Jan 12, 2011 5:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Man, now that’s something that hasn’t been said much. Too bad you’re a Caps fan in CA.

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

They’re a surprisingly fun team to watch

Wearing the weagle is a way a’ life

by Gould Old Days on Jan 12, 2011 6:37 PM EST up reply actions  

QComp is more advanced than simply plus-minus. It’s factoring in plus-minus of players when they’re on the ice and off it, which removes team bias that makes plus-minus such a flawed stat.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree that it removes the bias completely. Maybe to some degree in the larger samplings, but you still have an incredible amount of bias when you are comparing players to their teammates. Players on stronger teams aren’t on the same scale as players on weaker teams. If you are the top line on a weak team, you look like great competition even if you aren’t. If you’re a second line guy on a team with a dominant top line you look like weaker competition even if you aren’t. If you go back to the raw data, does the list of Relative Plus/Minus look even closely like what you think of as the “highest quality” players in the league? I haven’t looked this year, but last year both the plus/minus based and the corsi-based measures had glaring inaccuracies. And if those are accurate measures of a player’s quality, shouldn’t we just judge players by those metrics?

Drunk Guy: "Alex Ovechkin is playing more like Magic Johnson than Michael Jordan this year."
Laichitor: "He has AIDS?"

by Rob Parker on Jan 12, 2011 3:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess the answer is that on the whole, averaged out over a season and many, many opponents, it’s a useful measure.

You’re certainly right about the flaws of the stats, though.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 13, 2011 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Does anyone know anything about # 5 on the list Andrej Sekera for BUF?

You've been chosen as an extra in the movie adaptation of the sequel to your life- Stephen Malkmus, 1997.

by Rather Bengt on Jan 12, 2011 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

Good place to start, and looks like Myers-Sekera is doing really well. Haven’t seen him, though.

My blog and Twitter, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
If you don't know how to use Timeonice, read this.
Behindthenet quick link to QoC/QoT/Corsi/PDO/Zonestarts
"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays

by red army line on Jan 12, 2011 1:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, look at Sekera’s quality of teammates, too.

Blogging on hockey at The Globe and Mail

by James Mirtle on Jan 12, 2011 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Reminds me of Lydman amd Visnovsky

My blog and Twitter, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
If you don't know how to use Timeonice, read this.
Behindthenet quick link to QoC/QoT/Corsi/PDO/Zonestarts
"Numbers don't lie, they just don't agree with you"--George E. Ays

by red army line on Jan 12, 2011 10:22 PM EST up reply actions  

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