Caps Prospects From A Fantasy Perspective

Potential? Absolutely. He’s got the tools.

Will he get that next year? Doubtful.

I’m scratching my head more at the 70 PIM estimate. If he gets that many, he has no chance of being an 85-point player (not that I think he’ll ever reach that number). He’s not physical enough to get many five-minute chunks out of that, so he’d being doing a lot of stoopid stuff to get there. By way of comparison, only one Cap topped 70 PIMs this year — Ovechkin. Only three non-enforcers topped it in the previous year — Ovechkin, Semin, and Morrisonn.

Or we are just a cynical group over here…. Just sayin

People who want quality information on players about whom they might not know a ton.

See KHtaD above:

upside is whatever Dobber thinks is his likely ability +20%, representing a season in which everything breaks right.

In other words, it’s not a guy’s likely peak, it’s the perfect storm season, unlikely to even happen, but if everything comes together…

Basically, it’s a Rink Wrap 10 – the best season you could possibly imagine the guy having.

I’ve seen Holtby a few times in Hershey, both when he’s been good and when he hasn’t. I think he’s going to make for some tough decisions in a year or two with respect to goaltending. I do not think he has quite the spectacular athleticism of a Varlamov of the technical detail of a Neuvirth. He doesn’t seem the sort one can pigeon-hole into a style. In that respect he resembles a Martin Brodeur, although he does not have the upside of that fellow. He’s a battler and seems capable of shouldering a big workload. Does he have the upside of a Varlamov or a Neuvirth? I’m not sure, but I don’t think he can be discounted out of hand as the third horse in a three horse race, either.

I don’t think anyone was down on Holtby’s potential at all (quite the contrary – I’m rather high on him personally), but it was a draft for a hypothetical tourney starting tomorrow, and there’s no question he’s the fourth-best/fourth-most-NHL-ready G in the system (counting Jose).

Some players have an indefinable “it” factor. Carlson is not likely to be the offensive player — ever — that Green is right now, but he could be a reliable 50-point a year player (a total Green already has surpassed three times). Carlson is right now, however, probably a better defender than Green. That “it” factor Carlson seems to possess has been reflected in a fine sense of timing, of stepping up at crucial moments — the game winner in the world juniors, his cool decision making that led to the late game-tying goal in Game 2 against Montreal.

Green might end up (would seem likely to end up, frankly) with the gaudier numbers over time, but Carlson seems more likely to be the sort of playoff horse one needs to ride to a title.