Why this year's team is better prepared for the playoffs
While the Caps made a decent playoff run last season, the feeling among many was that they were still a little too young and overmatched against the Penguins' age and playoff experience. In other words, while just as talented, they didn't fully understand what it really took to compete for a Stanley Cup when compared to the Penguins. That belief is likely the underlying factor behind many of George McPhee's moves this season. It's probably not by accident that every player McPhee acquired is in their 30's and most have a decent amount of playoff experience.
What I've done with the chart below is compare the Caps roster from Game 7 against Pittsburgh last season to the guys who played in the last game against Pittsburgh this season. ( I took the liberty of inserting Scott Walker in place of Laing). I've listed their ages and the number of playoff games they had been in before last year's playoffs and the number they have going into this year's playoffs. What struck me immediately is just how much more experienced this current team is vs. last year's. Aside from the average age increasing by almost a year, last year's team only had seven players 30 or over. This year's squad has nine. More importantly, last season there were only eight players with double digit playoff games under their belt. This year, there are 17. Admittedly, a lot of the increases in age and number of playoff games come from the core players being a year older, but that's a factor in their favor as the experience gained together should help them during this coming playoff run. Another factor to consider is that last year's number are hugely skewed by the presence of Fedorov. When you take out his playoff totals and age, the difference from last year's team to this year's is even more striking. To be fair, I also removed the guy who basically took over his position as second line center, Brendan Morrison. Another positive to consider is the actual upgrade in personnel from last year's roster to the current edition. For example, Kozlov is replaced by Knuble. Jurcina is replaced by Schultz. Clark is replaced by Chimera, etc. The bottom line is that if last year's team was too young and inexperienced, this current edition of the Washington Capitals appears to have the right mix of youth and veteran leadership and enough playoff experience throughout the roster to prepare for whatever they might encounter during this year's playoffs. Inexperience is no longer an excuse and that's a good thing.
|
2008-2009 Roster |
2009-2010 Roster |
||
|
Name |
Age/Playoff Games |
Name |
Age/Playoff Games |
|
POTHIER, BRIAN |
32/13 |
CORVO, JOE |
32/38 |
|
POTI, TOM |
32/31 |
******(same player) |
33/45 |
|
ERSKINE, JOHN |
28/19 |
CARLSON, JOHN |
20/0 |
|
OVECHKIN, ALEX |
23/7 |
****** |
24/21 |
|
BRADLEY, MATT |
30/17 |
****** |
31/31 |
|
FLEISCHMANN, TOMAS |
24/2 |
****** |
25/16 |
|
GORDON, BOYD |
25/7 |
BELANGER, ERIC |
32/30 |
|
CLARK, CHRIS |
33/26 |
CHIMERA, JASON |
31/6 |
|
BACKSTROM, NICK |
21/7 |
****** |
22/14 |
|
LAICH, BROOKS |
25/7 |
****** |
26/14 |
|
JURCINA, MILAN |
26/7 |
SCHULTZ, JEFF |
24/3 |
|
KOZLOV, VIKTOR |
35/21 |
KNUBLE, MIKE |
37/41 |
|
MORRISONN, SHAONE |
26/7 |
****** |
27/21 |
|
SEMIN, ALEXANDER |
25/7 |
****** |
26/21 |
|
STECKEL, DAVID |
27/7 |
****** |
28/21 |
|
GREEN, MIKE |
23/7 |
****** |
24/21 |
|
BEAGLE, JAY |
23/4 |
WALKER, SCOTT |
36/29 |
|
FEDOROV, SERGEI |
40/169 |
MORRISON, BRENDAN |
34/53 |
|
VARLAMOV, SIMEON |
20/0 |
****** |
21/13 |
|
THEODORE, JOSE |
32/47 |
****** |
33/49 |
|
AVERAGE AGE |
27.5 |
AVERAGE AGE |
28.30 |
|
TOTAL PLAYOFF GAMES |
412 |
TOTAL PLAYOFF GAMES |
487 |
|
AVERAGE AGE W/0 FEDOROV |
26.8 |
AVERAGE AGE W/O MORRISON |
28.00 |
|
TOTAL PLAYOFF GAMES- W/O FEDOROV |
243 |
TOTAL PLAYOFF GAMES W/O MORRISON |
434 |
If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's editors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.
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Comments
There needs to be an asterisk by John Carlson’s entry. It is true that he has no NHL playoff games under his belt, but he did play the entire Calder Cup run for Hershey last year and his WJC experience may also come in handy…
Now helping to keep an eye on all things Gr8 at Alex Ovetjkin.
I think they are, but considering that so many players on the team have played on such squads, I don’t think it’s something worth including, really. Though maybe that it was recent is worth noting.
Cидни Kросби: Александр Oвечкин, он твой папа теперь
Capitals Coming: for Capitals fans no more intelligent than myself
by red army line on Mar 27, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Really Telling Stat
TOTAL PLAYOFF GAMES- W/O FEDOROV
243
I didn’t think it was that low.
Geting it done.
Fedorov, 169 playoff games. UNBELIEVABLE! “Hugely skews” doesn’t even begin to describe it.
Kung-fu Rink Rabbit
Donate to the Rink Pledge Drive for SAVES FOR KIDS! Ain’t nothing [wrong] about giving $5 so a stranger’s premature baby can have the time on a respirator they need.~Gould Old Days
Agreed, they will definitely be better than last years team. With that said, I believe Pittsburgh is not as good, meaning we should beat them in 6 games. They will still play us tough given it’s a rivalry game. But if you compare these stats to New Jersey and Pittsburgh, we are still vastly inferior. The difference is we are much younger and much more skilled, which gives us the edge over experience…my god, imagine this squad 3 years from now!
~~~ R0cK D@ R3D ~~~
by Chaz-Capapalooza on Mar 27, 2010 3:42 PM EDT reply actions
my god, imagine this squad 3 years from now
We will either be in salary cap hell….or have a very different supporting cast around our core.
If Popeye got stronger after eating canned Spinach....Imagine what canned Bacon could do for Ovie.......
true, but not if we win the cup and get everyone to take a discount. semin will probably be gone after next season in order to pay our youngsters. but as long as we keep ovi, backstrom, and green, we should be able to mold a new core together.
~~~ R0cK D@ R3D ~~~
by Chaz-Capapalooza on Mar 28, 2010 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions
I don’t think it stops there. It’s looking like one of the goalies and Carlson are must-keeps as well, and I think it’d be a good idea to keep Laich and Fehr, then getting FAs and young guys on ELCs to round out the lineup, and by my rough math that leaves 16 slots open at ~$35 million.
Cидни Kросби: Александр Oвечкин, он твой папа теперь
Capitals Coming: for Capitals fans no more intelligent than myself
by red army line on Mar 28, 2010 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions
I decided to finally check playoff vs regular season playoff performance, old vs new
I figured that since all the players we brought on this season performed worse in the playoffs I’d want to see exactly how much worse of a playoff team we have.
(Hold on, hold on). No stat is going to tell that, yes we’re more experienced, there were injuries, there will be injuries, some players may be too old to be themselves, a Khazak satellite could hit the team bus tomorrow, a team does not equal the sum of its players…(And Chimera’s playoff pt avg is apparently better than his regular season)
Here are the stats I worked with and the results. Feel free to work your own. It’s not so terrible really. Neither are the stats…
Last Season’s Playoff Team vs This Years (assuming the satellite is successfully neutralized prior to re-entry):

So it seems on (this) paper we’re actually .001 points better
Assuming my lame math skills and an interrupting call from a friend in Malaysia didn’t affect anything.

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