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Tom Poti's Penalty-Kill Positioning

Tom Poti is one of the Caps' most important penalty killers. He leads the team in shorthanded ice time per game (and is 11th in the League in that metric) and plays against the toughest competition. He also has the worst Goals Against/60 at four-on-five of any of the blueliners now in the team's penalty-killing rotation, and that's for a team that's near the bottom of the League in penalty killing ranking overall.

In the past three games, Poti has twice been sent out (along with a couple of forwards) for the toughest task a penalty-killer is asked to do - kill a two-man disadvantage. Twice he and his teammates have failed. And while not all the blame can be put on Poti, two plays he made (or, perhaps more accurately, didn't make) stand out, especially in light of the similarity between them.

First up, Chicago. Down two men, Poti ended up between the puck carrier (Patrick Kane), his own goalie (Jose Theodore) and 'Hawks forward Patrick Sharp, who's camped out at the far-side post. Have a look:

Poti_hawks_1_medium

Poti's in pretty good position, except for one thing: his stick. Rather than having his twig to the inside - where it would be directly in Kane's passing lane - it's to the outside where it defends... well, I'm not sure. A moment later, Kane zips a pass to Sharp, who rattles a one-timer off the far post before Jonathan Toews bangs home the rebound (watch it here if you care to). To be fair to Poti, he had been jostling with Toews and just got to his feet and regained his balance a moment before Kane's pass. One-time mistake by a guy with more than 800 NHL games under his belt, right? Wrong.

Two games later, after Shaone Morrisonn's double-minor for high-sticking put the Caps down two men in Carolina, Bruce Boudreau sent Poti over the boards to try to kill the disadvantage. A failed Matt Bradley clearing attempt later and Poti found himself in a similar position to where he was in Chicago four days earlier:

Poti_canes_medium

Again, the puck-carrier has the biscuit above the dot with Poti (unlike his teammates) in good position... except for his stick. Jussi Jokinen takes advantage and throws the puck down to Eric Staal for a tap-in (video here).

On both of these plays, Poti presumably is presumably trying to take away the shot when he should have his stick in the passing lane, leaving the puck carrier to his goalie (who has a far better chance of stopping a shot from the faceoff circle than he does a tap-in from the edge of the crease anyway).

These relatively little things may not be killers right now... but a month from now, they very well might be.

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I hadn’t noticed that about Poti and his stick placement in the Carolina game. I know it was discussed in the Hawks recap about his stick positioning on the Toews goal. Definitely something worth keeping an eye on.

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by terpgrrl on Mar 20, 2010 1:14 PM EDT reply actions  

These are also both situations in which Poti would have to cover his weaker side (right). I wonder, is he completely comfortable playing that side? I’d imagine that I’d be harder. I also can’t recall a situation from which we can see the opposite side of things.

This brings the question, should Poti be sat on the PK in favor of someone else? Green-Schultz-Corvo-Carlson/Morrisonn is something I could get used to.

These relatively little things may not be killers right now… but a month from now, they very well might be.

I can picture Sidney Crosby in the same spot, right at the side of the net, with Malkin passing to him…so yes.

What exactly is the philosophy of a 3-on-5 PK? In one shot I see a line, in another a triangle. I wonder if there’s some miscommunication. In the second Bradley almost gets his stick there to intercept the pass, and in the first if the player isn’t jostling for position with the Hawk then maybe that pass doesn’t get through.

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by red army line on Mar 20, 2010 1:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Saturday afternoon content in the regular season? Awesome.

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by Bald Pollack on Mar 20, 2010 1:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Everyone’s gotta get ready to step up their game for the second season…

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by J.P. on Mar 20, 2010 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

haha i mentioned this EXACT same thing in a thread yesterday…its such a little thing that means so much

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by Caps Canadian Connection on Mar 20, 2010 1:24 PM EDT reply actions  

BB oughta play Corvo and sit Poti with a printout of this article…

Now helping to keep an eye on all things Gr8 at Alex Ovetjkin.

by EmilyB on Mar 20, 2010 1:28 PM EDT reply actions  

But now the Crow is sitting out tonight.

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on Mar 20, 2010 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

One thing I mentioned in passing in the post but I think maybe deserves a bit more attention is that Bruce’s 3-on-5 PK is almost always two forwards and one D playing an inverted triangle (ideally). Thoughts on that?

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by J.P. on Mar 20, 2010 1:29 PM EDT reply actions  

How many shorties have we scored from two men down?

Now helping to keep an eye on all things Gr8 at Alex Ovetjkin.

by EmilyB on Mar 20, 2010 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Zero. Zippo. Nada. (We have scored hardly any shorties on 5 on 4, much less 5 on 3.)

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on Mar 20, 2010 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think it’s an acceptable formation, but when you factor in the subject of this post, it compounds the problem. If there’s one up top and two down low, maybe somebody is covering Poti’s ass on the other side and there isn’t a guy on the post for Poti to fail to stop a pass to because he’s been knocked on his ass. You risk, though, giving up some bombs from the point, but those can’t be any easier than the simple tap-ins he’s been giving up.

Overall, though, a 5-on-3 is a tough thing to stop, so I think the formation is less important than getting the stick in the passing lane.

Play the pass, you’ve got a goalie to help you play the shot.

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by SmallZ827 on Mar 20, 2010 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think it’s alright, but could be better. I can see the reasoning, I think, that the two forwards would limit moving the puck around easily on the outside and thus force the dangerous cross-ice passes through traffic in the middle. But I think the weak side forward maybe needs to move back a little bit, just like in that Chicago PK frame above, with the strong side forward pressuring the puck carrier a little, and I guess if the puck comes down low then the weak side forward moves down a little to cover that cross-crease passing lane.
Of course, it’ll be easier to know if in practice.

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by red army line on Mar 20, 2010 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wonder how much of that is because of the limited choice of good Ds.

Even atheists believe in Matt Wieters

by wickedwitch on Mar 20, 2010 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Huge fan of the 2F formation. Mobility is a huge factor down two men and our Fs are much faster. If the D can take the cross-crease pass away then you allow the Fs to push the points off just a bit and buy a little more territory.

Killer_Carlson and Steckel Me Elmo are like brothers to me. And when I say brothers I don't mean like actual brothers. I mean it like how black people use it, which is more meaningful, I think.

by Fehr and Balanced on Mar 20, 2010 2:41 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Given that we’ve given up two close range post hugging goals, I would say the inverted triangle isn’t working so well. I prefer the standard triange. If the point shot beats you, oh well. I like the goalies chance at a point shot vs a close range slam dunk.

Just trying to capture the spirit of the thing...

by dcsportsfan1 on Mar 20, 2010 3:22 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Not saying I think 2 F’s or 2 D’s are more effective for a given PK, but we have more quality F’s to burn through in a game having them working a 5 on 3 as opposed to wearing out our top D men.

Plus Backstroms magic butt or Laich’s puck attracting hands make them more like 5 on 3.5 situations.

by Icebat on Mar 20, 2010 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

On both of these plays, Poti presumably is presumably trying to take away the shot

Which is something I don’t really understand with how far away he is from the shooter. If the puck is going along the ice it’s probably getting stopped anyway and if it’s elevated, his stick isn’t doing him any good on the ice. Worse, if the puck is going along the ice hard and his stick is there, he could cause a deflection on net.

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by Knee high to a duck on Mar 20, 2010 1:56 PM EDT reply actions  

On a single instance you could say a player in Poti’s position doing what he’s doing may be trying to get into the puck-carrier’s head and influence him to move the puck into a location you are anticipating.

But if Poti doesn’t then slide block, whack it away with a quick stick movement, etc, I’d say that’s not a successful approach, or more likely not in fact what he was trying to do at all.

by Icebat on Mar 20, 2010 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Overall, the caps PK, 4-5 and 3-5 is way too passive. Its not a good system at all, especially when you aren’t built out of defensive forwards and your D range is middling (no offense, but a spade is a spade). Caps have the most trouble on the PP when playing teams with aggressive PK’s; it forces the PP to pass or shoot and doesn’t allow the Caps PP to set up and/or screen. Yet, the Caps themselves remain passive and allow the other team to move the puck around freely and set up screens. Passive vs aggressive PK, i’ll take aggressive every time. I know the Caps have one of the lowest shorthanded rates in the league, but that will change come playoff time when the action speeds up, intensifies, and every chance makes a difference in the series.

Which brings me to my next point. Poti has never been a very good PKer. He gets a lot of respect from BB because he’s an older guy and he’s 800 games in. On a team that is more even on the blueline in terms of skill, Poti wouldn’t be the one most relied upon, and before coming to the Caps he wasn’t. It is high time to switch Poti out and bring his numbers down; i think he’s been asked to do more than he can optimally produce, and kudos to him for giving his all. At this point, the obvious conclusion is that after 800 games, Poti should know where to put his stick, and all he did from those two examples (there have been many more this season), was leave a lane wide open. The best his stick positioning could do is cause a deflection that fools his netminder, anyway.
Its those plays that prove to me Poti is out of his depth on the PK (more so than when he tries a hip check in the neutral zone… oy vey).

by The Jade Donkey on Mar 20, 2010 2:06 PM EDT reply actions  

They’ve changed the 4-5 PK, its looked alot better since ChiTown. . .idk if that can be said about the 3 on 5

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by kingzman264 on Mar 20, 2010 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

A 3-on-5 PK has to be more passive by nature though. Just look what happened in that Carolina example. Belanger was very aggressive up high and he took himself out of the play. Even Bradley was a bit too high and it caused Poti to be the only PKer defending the net. For a moment it was essentially a 2-on-1 and it cost the Caps.

"We are such fans of your music and all of your records. I'm not speaking of yours personally, but the whole genre of the rock and roll."

by Laich It Or Lump It on Mar 20, 2010 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

PP/PK is all about 2 on 1s. The job of the PP is to isolate a defender in an advantageous situation. The D needs to slide to try to prevent being abused.

Killer_Carlson and Steckel Me Elmo are like brothers to me. And when I say brothers I don't mean like actual brothers. I mean it like how black people use it, which is more meaningful, I think.

by Fehr and Balanced on Mar 20, 2010 3:33 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

They seem to be more aggressive on PK when they use Semin in that role.

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on Mar 20, 2010 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

i love semin killing penalties…he has great reach and provides counterattack…with that being said taking off. zone penalties…on the penalty kill…on breakaways…makes me want to throw tridents at people…

by KWclevpark on Mar 20, 2010 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting observation JP. Definitely something to keep an eye on going forward.

The first example is more forgivable than the second example IMO. The three PKers in the first example have much better positioning all around than the second.

A moment before Kane’s pass, Poti had his stick flat on the ice to the inside blocking not one, but two passing lanes. He then got up to his feet and reverted to his default stance, which unfortunately for this PK configuration is left handed and to the outside. He then must have thought Kane was going to shoot to Theo’s stick side because he begins to move his stick outward to block the shot that never came. It looks like he got faked out straight up.

There is no excuse for the second example though. He has to read the puck carrier better and be aware of Staal’s positioning behind him. It did not help the matter than Belenger overcommitted up high and removed himself from that play. Not that that affects Poti’s stick positioning, but that was a pretty bad breakdown for all three PKers.

"We are such fans of your music and all of your records. I'm not speaking of yours personally, but the whole genre of the rock and roll."

by Laich It Or Lump It on Mar 20, 2010 2:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Agreed on the first one being more forgivable for the reasons you mentioned, though “must have thought Kane was going to shoot to Theo’s stick side because he begins to move his stick outward to block the shot that never came” isn’t very comforting to me, because, as Knee High said above, taking away the shot there has little chance of success and is more likely to deflect the puck past the goalie – gotta let Jose take the shooter there, IMO.

And also agreed that there was a lot going wrong in the CAR example.

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by J.P. on Mar 20, 2010 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

"must have thought Kane was going to shoot to Theo’s stick side because he begins to move his stick outward to block the shot that never came" isn’t very comforting to me… gotta let Jose take the shooter there, IMO.

Yeah, I agree. I wasn’t offering that as a mitigating factor, I was just guessing what his thought process might have been at the time the play was made.

"We are such fans of your music and all of your records. I'm not speaking of yours personally, but the whole genre of the rock and roll."

by Laich It Or Lump It on Mar 20, 2010 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t know enough about the fine details of hockey to really comment intelligently, but it seems clear to me that the aggressiveness that so many people wish our PK would exhibit was exactly what led to the 2nd example. Belanger’s pressure on the point leads to what is essentially a 4 on 2. You can argue that Poti should have adapted to Belanger’s overplay, but that goal never happens if Belanger is covering his spot in the zone.

by jpbryant on Mar 20, 2010 2:32 PM EDT reply actions  

I can only speak for myself in saying that any increased aggressiveness I want to see from the PKers is strictly limited to 4-on-5. 3-on-5 is a whole ’nother thing.

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by J.P. on Mar 20, 2010 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree. As I said above, I think a 3-on-5 by nature should be more passive. I’d like to see the PKers setting up around the slot and protecting the net. The moment one PKer commits to chasing the puck carrier, you only have two PKers left to block passing lanes and protect the net. If a PKer is overly aggressive and makes a mistake, which is easy to do while down a man, then that mistake is magnified when down two men. Basically, the mistake of a PKer during a 3-on-5 is much more costly than a mistake of a PKer during a 4-on-5.

"We are such fans of your music and all of your records. I'm not speaking of yours personally, but the whole genre of the rock and roll."

by Laich It Or Lump It on Mar 20, 2010 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Potentially 2 goals against as opposed to only 1.

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on Mar 20, 2010 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Awesome post

I disagree with this statement re: the first picture:

Poti’s in pretty good position, except for one thing: his stick.

Poti is in horrible position here. He is screening Theo, and only one step more towards the slot and he is able to clog the passing lane for both the backdoor and slot pass. If he wants to block the shot he has time to recover…the better solution is to trust Theo to make that save.

I’m glad you brought this up, it’s something that has been bothering me for a while.

The keyboard is mightier.

by breed16 on Mar 20, 2010 2:33 PM EDT reply actions  

MC BAIN with less than a second to go in overtime!

by AZDWK on Mar 20, 2010 3:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Cue the Brass Bonanza

by AZDWK on Mar 20, 2010 3:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Good policing, terpgrrl!

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by J.P. on Mar 20, 2010 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Additional Stats?

Is individual player 3-on-5 time totalled anywhere? All I can find is SH time in total, but not broken down further.

Also, I wish there was a way to handicapp PK performance by how long the player had been on the ice. For example, I’d fault a player more for giving up a goal in the first 15 seconds than for giving up a goal after 90s. The stat would certainly have some imperfections, but it’d be interesting.

by vzotsky on Mar 20, 2010 3:44 PM EDT reply actions  

I guess it points out once again that our boys need to stay out of the box!

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on Mar 20, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

HA! Take THAT, CB!

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by SmallZ827 on Mar 20, 2010 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good data.

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by J.P. on Mar 20, 2010 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

wow

i’m quite surprised to see the canucks at the top, especialy since we’re the 5th most penalized team in the league…..

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by missy on Mar 20, 2010 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tom Poti's Penalty Kill Positioning

This observation is yet another example of how the “little things” can mean success or failure for a team in a given game. Surely this is an area that needs to be fine-tuned before the playoffs start to put the odds of success in favor of the Caps.

by Ovietracker on Mar 20, 2010 4:14 PM EDT reply actions  

guuuuuuuuuuud post…joe b and locker mentioned his positioning on this goal during the carolina broadcast but nothing of his stick…i’d argue that he needed to be another foot to his right…but the stick location is spot on and could have at least prevented the second.

by KWclevpark on Mar 20, 2010 4:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Another question to ask…how many 5-on-3 goals against has Poti been on the ice for and was he in the same position? Obviously that would involve reviewing a bunch of tape, but is this a pattern or an anomaly? I know I don’t watch hockey with the intensity and know-how that others do, but when I see Poti on the PK, especially the 2-man advantage, I cringe a bit.

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by terpgrrl on Mar 20, 2010 4:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Tee hee

I have a blog too! www.scottyhockey.com
Let's Go Rangers!

by Scotty Hockey on Mar 20, 2010 4:49 PM EDT reply actions   3 recs

lulz.

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by EmilyB on Mar 20, 2010 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Before you start getting too pleased with yourself, allow me to . . . MICHAL ROZSIVAL!!! WADE REDDEN!!!

:)

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by D'ohboy on Mar 20, 2010 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

See, there was no need for that. That was just cruel.

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by Scotty Hockey on Mar 20, 2010 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Here’s some consolation: Rosival and Redden will both be off of the Rangers’ books before Yashin is off the Isles’ books.

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by Killer_Carlson on Mar 21, 2010 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

That just makes me cringe.

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by Knee high to a duck on Mar 21, 2010 7:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

And makes me smile. That is so hysterical. Someone needs to throw that in Milbury’s face on national television.

Killer_Carlson and Steckel Me Elmo are like brothers to me. And when I say brothers I don't mean like actual brothers. I mean it like how black people use it, which is more meaningful, I think.

by Fehr and Balanced on Mar 21, 2010 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

You’d cringe more is you were a fan of the Isles.

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by CapsFan75 on Mar 21, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice analysis J.P.!

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by cobracg on Mar 20, 2010 5:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Awesome analysis.

I hope Gabby pays attention.

by CaStauch on Mar 20, 2010 6:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Bob Woods, please come to the courtesy phone.

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by bigonetimer on Mar 20, 2010 6:24 PM EDT reply actions  

I noticed this during the replay

 I thought “There’s Poti with his stick in the wrong place again, there’s nobody over there to take the pass he’s taking away”.

by Capsfan07 on Mar 20, 2010 6:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Great post

Super observation, well documented. Loved it.

by CarlosLA on Mar 20, 2010 7:13 PM EDT reply actions  

agree on second case but not first

After viewing both vids it looks like Poti was still gaining his balance on the first play and it all happend so fast I can’t blame him but the second one is definitely a textbook mistake. Interesting that the PK improved with Gordo out. Is it really his back or did BB just use it as an excuse for an extended sitdown?

by CONGERO113 on Mar 21, 2010 2:51 PM EDT reply actions  

Awful lot of silence coming from the Poti Lobby on this one. Weird…

Killer_Carlson and Steckel Me Elmo are like brothers to me. And when I say brothers I don't mean like actual brothers. I mean it like how black people use it, which is more meaningful, I think.

by Fehr and Balanced on Mar 21, 2010 8:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Guess the Semin lobby is stronger.

Or we’ll find out how strong the Poti lobby is - when Poti’s traded.

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on Mar 21, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Honestly, I don’t know if there’s a stronger lobby than the Semin Lobby. The Smith Lobby made a huge showing that one time but have died out since. I don’t really see a rival.

Killer_Carlson and Steckel Me Elmo are like brothers to me. And when I say brothers I don't mean like actual brothers. I mean it like how black people use it, which is more meaningful, I think.

by Fehr and Balanced on Mar 21, 2010 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

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