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The Odds of Canada Winning Gold

Over at BtN, Gabe takes a look at the likely winning percentage of the Olympic teams if we accept pythagorean percentage (discussed at some length in prior fanposts) and equality across years in talent. He posits that Canada has a 50% chance of finishing out of the medals based on the pythagorean percentages. Can you imagine the wailing and gnashing of teeth from north of the border?

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