## "Expected Points" per D'ohboy's Theorem

For all three of you who I haven't yet bored to death with Excel and math, after the break will be my breakdown of the current standings according to Expected Points per what I'm calling "D'ohboy's Theorem." I'll also include the same table using my original theorem that used PP, PK and 5v5.

The following table is the current NHL "Expected Points" according to "D'ohboy's Theorem," which is:

Expected Points = (1.1134)*GP + Goal Differential/2.645

 2009 -2010 Team GP GF GA Diff Pts Expected Pts Actual SJS 53 179 128 51 78.29960579 78 CHI 53 174 122 52 78.67781423 76 WSH 53 207 146 61 82.08169014 76 NJD 52 139 115 24 66.97456341 70 BUF 52 147 126 21 65.83993811 69 VAN 53 173 129 44 75.65214675 68 PIT 55 173 156 17 67.66734827 67 COL 51 153 136 17 63.21368974 66 LAK 53 160 147 13 63.92768526 65 PHX 53 144 139 5 60.90201778 65 OTT 55 154 155 -1 60.85959644 64 NSH 52 145 145 0 57.89756098 61 CGY 53 135 138 -3 57.8763503 59 DET 53 137 143 -6 56.741725 59 DAL 53 152 171 -19 51.82501535 57 MIN 53 150 158 -8 55.98530813 56 PHI 51 155 144 11 60.94443913 55 FLA 53 146 154 -8 55.98530813 55 NYR 54 138 150 -12 55.58588902 55 ANA 54 150 171 -21 52.18201311 55 MTL 55 141 149 -8 58.2121374 55 BOS 51 127 131 -4 55.2713126 54 ATL 52 158 167 -9 54.49368506 54 TBL 52 135 157 -22 49.57697541 54 STL 53 139 149 -10 55.22889126 54 NYI 54 142 168 -26 50.29097094 54 CBJ 56 146 186 -40 47.22288211 51 TOR 54 142 187 -45 43.10501067 44 CAR 53 141 174 -33 46.53009726 43 EDM 51 135 176 -41 41.27760051 38

The following is a rating system based on the following equation: (PP+PK)^2+3*(5v5^2):

 2009 -2010 Team Points PP PK ST 5v5 SJS 78 0.216 0.878 1.094 1.37 6.827536 CHI 76 0.213 0.856 1.069 1.28 6.057961 WSH 76 0.261 0.803 1.064 1.56 8.432896 NJD 70 0.192 0.826 1.018 1.08 4.535524 BUF 69 0.183 0.871 1.054 1.09 4.675216 VAN 68 0.22 0.816 1.036 1.39 6.869596 PIT 67 0.162 0.829 0.991 1.15 4.949581 COL 66 0.186 0.817 1.003 1.16 5.042809 PHX 65 0.171 0.825 0.996 1.12 4.755216 LAK 65 0.185 0.796 0.981 1 3.962361 OTT 64 0.149 0.84 0.989 0.93 3.572821 NSH 61 0.158 0.773 0.931 1.01 3.927061 DET 59 0.174 0.804 0.978 0.92 3.495684 CGY 59 0.167 0.832 0.999 0.98 3.879201 DAL 57 0.186 0.753 0.939 0.93 3.476421 MIN 56 0.175 0.828 1.003 0.94 3.656809 ATL 56 0.175 0.802 0.977 0.97 3.777229 MTL 55 0.247 0.842 1.089 0.79 3.058221 NYR 55 0.181 0.845 1.026 0.97 3.875376 ANA 55 0.186 0.801 0.987 0.94 3.624969 FLA 55 0.168 0.805 0.973 0.96 3.711529 PHI 55 0.231 0.798 1.029 1.06 4.429641 NYI 54 0.163 0.75 0.913 0.83 2.900269 STL 53 0.162 0.849 1.011 0.95 3.729621 TBL 54 0.195 0.799 0.994 0.86 3.206836 BOS 54 0.174 0.874 1.048 0.89 3.474604 CBJ 51 0.204 0.821 1.025 0.72 2.605825 TOR 44 0.165 0.694 0.859 0.96 3.502681 CAR 43 0.181 0.794 0.975 0.81 2.918925 EDM 38 0.192 0.739 0.931 0.82 2.883961

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