## First Attempt at Hockey Pythagorean Theorem

After the jump is my first attempt at creating a "Pythagorean Theorem" for hockey.

This is intended as a "bogey" for others to shoot at, since I have little to no actual statistical training. It's literally what I came up with between coming home at 6pm and reading fat_daddyo's post below and the start of the Caps game. Hopefully, others of a more statistical/mathematical bent can use this as a jumping-off point.

Here's the "theorem:" (PP% + PK%) + (3*5v5 Ratio) = Total

The sum of the special teams percentages accounts for teams. . . special teams play (duh). I originally tried multiplying this by the 5v5 ratio, but I decided I didn't like that. I then eyeballed the ratio of 5v5 to PP goals and it is, on average, about 3, hence the reason that I weight 5v5 by 3.

As you can see below, it matches points totals pretty well. Moreover, the "outliers" are pretty much expected. NSH, OTT and MTL are over-performing, while ANA, PHI, NYR are under-performing.

Feedback is most welcome, I just wanted to get the ball rolling.

 Team Points PP PK Sum 5v5 Total SJS 78 0.216 0.878 1.094 1.37 5.204 CHI 74 0.21 0.856 1.066 1.27 4.876 WSH 72 0.26 0.801 1.061 1.48 5.501 NJD 69 0.194 0.822 1.016 1.12 4.376 PIT 67 0.164 0.827 0.991 1.15 4.441 BUF 67 0.184 0.87 1.054 1.09 4.324 VAN 66 0.22 0.819 1.039 1.38 5.179 COL 66 0.186 0.817 1.003 1.16 4.483 PHX 63 0.165 0.827 0.992 1.14 4.412 LAK 61 0.18 0.792 0.972 1 3.972 NSH 61 0.161 0.774 0.935 1.01 3.965 OTT 60 0.153 0.837 0.99 0.9 3.69 CGY 58 0.159 0.832 0.991 0.99 3.961 DET 58 0.174 0.815 0.989 0.91 3.719 MTL 55 0.247 0.843 1.09 0.82 3.55 NYR 55 0.185 0.847 1.032 1 4.032 DAL 55 0.185 0.759 0.944 0.92 3.704 ANA 55 0.192 0.802 0.994 0.97 3.904 PHI 55 0.234 0.794 1.028 1.06 4.208 NYI 54 0.164 0.754 0.918 0.87 3.528 MIN 54 0.17 0.826 0.996 0.94 3.816 STL 54 0.159 0.85 1.009 0.96 3.889 BOS 54 0.174 0.874 1.048 0.89 3.718 FLA 53 0.169 0.81 0.979 0.95 3.829 ATL 52 0.177 0.795 0.972 0.97 3.882 TBL 52 0.193 0.796 0.989 0.84 3.509 CBJ 49 0.206 0.82 1.026 0.71 3.156 TOR 44 0.166 0.696 0.862 0.96 3.742 CAR 39 0.178 0.788 0.966 0.78 3.306 EDM 38 0.192 0.741 0.933 0.83 3.423

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