After the jump is my first attempt at creating a "Pythagorean Theorem" for hockey.
Here's the "theorem:" (PP% + PK%) + (3*5v5 Ratio) = Total
The sum of the special teams percentages accounts for teams. . . special teams play (duh). I originally tried multiplying this by the 5v5 ratio, but I decided I didn't like that. I then eyeballed the ratio of 5v5 to PP goals and it is, on average, about 3, hence the reason that I weight 5v5 by 3.
As you can see below, it matches points totals pretty well. Moreover, the "outliers" are pretty much expected. NSH, OTT and MTL are over-performing, while ANA, PHI, NYR are under-performing.
Feedback is most welcome, I just wanted to get the ball rolling.
|
Team |
Points |
PP |
PK |
Sum |
5v5 |
Total |
|
SJS |
78 |
0.216 |
0.878 |
1.094 |
1.37 |
5.204 |
|
CHI |
74 |
0.21 |
0.856 |
1.066 |
1.27 |
4.876 |
|
WSH |
72 |
0.26 |
0.801 |
1.061 |
1.48 |
5.501 |
|
NJD |
69 |
0.194 |
0.822 |
1.016 |
1.12 |
4.376 |
|
PIT |
67 |
0.164 |
0.827 |
0.991 |
1.15 |
4.441 |
|
BUF |
67 |
0.184 |
0.87 |
1.054 |
1.09 |
4.324 |
|
VAN |
66 |
0.22 |
0.819 |
1.039 |
1.38 |
5.179 |
|
COL |
66 |
0.186 |
0.817 |
1.003 |
1.16 |
4.483 |
|
PHX |
63 |
0.165 |
0.827 |
0.992 |
1.14 |
4.412 |
|
LAK |
61 |
0.18 |
0.792 |
0.972 |
1 |
3.972 |
|
NSH |
61 |
0.161 |
0.774 |
0.935 |
1.01 |
3.965 |
|
OTT |
60 |
0.153 |
0.837 |
0.99 |
0.9 |
3.69 |
|
CGY |
58 |
0.159 |
0.832 |
0.991 |
0.99 |
3.961 |
|
DET |
58 |
0.174 |
0.815 |
0.989 |
0.91 |
3.719 |
|
MTL |
55 |
0.247 |
0.843 |
1.09 |
0.82 |
3.55 |
|
NYR |
55 |
0.185 |
0.847 |
1.032 |
1 |
4.032 |
|
DAL |
55 |
0.185 |
0.759 |
0.944 |
0.92 |
3.704 |
|
ANA |
55 |
0.192 |
0.802 |
0.994 |
0.97 |
3.904 |
|
PHI |
55 |
0.234 |
0.794 |
1.028 |
1.06 |
4.208 |
|
NYI |
54 |
0.164 |
0.754 |
0.918 |
0.87 |
3.528 |
|
MIN |
54 |
0.17 |
0.826 |
0.996 |
0.94 |
3.816 |
|
STL |
54 |
0.159 |
0.85 |
1.009 |
0.96 |
3.889 |
|
BOS |
54 |
0.174 |
0.874 |
1.048 |
0.89 |
3.718 |
|
FLA |
53 |
0.169 |
0.81 |
0.979 |
0.95 |
3.829 |
|
ATL |
52 |
0.177 |
0.795 |
0.972 |
0.97 |
3.882 |
|
TBL |
52 |
0.193 |
0.796 |
0.989 |
0.84 |
3.509 |
|
CBJ |
49 |
0.206 |
0.82 |
1.026 |
0.71 |
3.156 |
|
TOR |
44 |
0.166 |
0.696 |
0.862 |
0.96 |
3.742 |
|
CAR |
39 |
0.178 |
0.788 |
0.966 |
0.78 |
3.306 |
|
EDM |
38 |
0.192 |
0.741 |
0.933 |
0.83 |
3.423 |
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