The Future Of Shaone Morrisonn
by Sombrero Guy on Jun 8, 2009 3:57 PM EDT
19 comments
I think most of us will agree that Shaone Morrison is likely gone. Nothing against the guy but he wants more than I think the Caps are willing to pay him. This conclusion has been written by bloggers and commenters alike, and generally includes references to last summer's arbitration hearing where Mo apparently wanted 3 million, the caps offered 1.5 (or 1.25) and Mo got 1.95.
I think its safe to assume we'll trade his rights at the draft. He's an RFA so any team we trade him to will have the right to match any offer sheet he signs.
In the unlikely event that Mo does not get traded at the draft, and he signs an offer sheet with another team, the Caps would get compensated.
For 2008-09, the compensation">compensation due for signing a RFA to an Offer Sheet was:
Amount Compensation Due
$863,156 or less : None
$863,156 - $1,307,812 : 3rd round pick
$1,307,812 - $2,615,625 : 2nd round pick
$2,615,623 - $3,923,437 : 1st and 3rd round pick
$3,923,437 - $5,231,249 : 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round pick
$5,231,249 - $6,539,062 : Two 1st's, one 2nd, one 3rd round pick
$6,539,062 or more : Four 1st round picks
"The amount is determined by taking the total compensation due in the Offer Sheet, and dividing by the number of years specified in the Offer Sheet, or five (5) - whichever is less."
With the Salary cap expected to remain close to the same level as this season or decrease slightly, I don't foresee the compensation changing much. That would put Mo's value somewhere between a 2nd round pick and a combination of a first and third round pick if you balance out what he asked for and what was awarded in arbitration.
If you think back to recent trade deadlines, the Caps got Fedorov for a second round drafted player (Ruth), and Huet for a 2nd round pick, so either scenario a 2nd or a 1st AND a 3rd could land some serious help at the trade deadline. Huet and Fedorov only required a 2nd round pick in part due to their expiring contracts. Any team that trades for Mo would control his rights for a bit longer.
Still, I would count on Mo being a significant piece of a multi player trade sometime before Free agency, most likely at the first day of the draft. He could be packaged with another mid level prospect in Hershey or a 2nd or 3rd round pick to get decent return. But this assumption raises questions...
1) If we're so ready to just let Mo walk, it doesn't seem likely that another team would trade a Defenseman deemed more valuable for Mo + Picks/Hershey prospect(s). Possibilites exist if the team is rebuilding and/or is trading a defenseman in the last year of a contract that they don't expect to resign. Still I think its more likely that Mo is how we address our need for a top 6 forward either a RW or a 2nd line C.
2) If you believe that Mo is our most tradeable assest, with Varly, Alzner, Neuvirth and Carlson being essentially un-tradeable, who/what do we package and what could we expect in return? Chris Bourque might be given more of a look at the NHL elsewhere. Flash's cheap contract might make him attractive to other teams, but its hard to trade a guy making only $750K that can score 20 goals. Sami Lepisto is recovering from an injured spleen which will certainly hurt his value.
3) What teams may be more open to adding an experienced top 4 d-man and a tweener or pick? I guess one might start at the bottom of this year's standings and work their way upward. Do any players on those rosters jump out at you?
If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's authors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.
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I say we offer him the lowest QO available, and hope someone gives him an offer sheet, and then take our lovely 3rd round draft pick.
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
by Whiter Mage on Jun 8, 2009 5:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
compensation is based upon what the other team signs him for. If he gets the 3 million per year he wants, we’d get a 1st and a 3rd. Would teams be willing to give that up for Morrison?
Because now I can justify browsing and commenting during the work day with the argument that I am promoting my business.
by Sombrero Guy on Jun 8, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
God, I hope so.
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
by Whiter Mage on Jun 8, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’d think no, but what do I know? He’s probably not worth that much in a trade. Then again, I have no idea what is available in the UFA market.
by gfcaps fan on Jun 8, 2009 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah I don’t see that happening, so a trade of some sort has to go down. Also my apologies to everyone for my complete failure at posting those links. I’ll try to fix it in a bit.
Because now I can justify browsing and commenting during the work day with the argument that I am promoting my business.
by Sombrero Guy on Jun 8, 2009 8:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nobody would bother signing him to an offer sheet. He’s not worth what it would take, and he knows it. He’d elect for arbitration and just become a UFA if the team really wanted to let him go.
by brs03 on Jun 8, 2009 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno, he’s shown the ability to be a pretty solid top 4 dman…if ol’ #44 + a late rounder = a late 1st rounder, me thinks there prolly will be a market for Morri.son
by Yoshietree on Jun 8, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but not at the cost of compensatory picks plus the high salary it would take. They’ll just wait for him to become a UFA or trade for him.
For him to sign an offer sheet would mean they’re probably giving up a 1st and a 3rd. He’s got no reason to sign for less unless he actually wants to leave the Caps.
by brs03 on Jun 8, 2009 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well if you trade for a guy, you have to sign him. If Eminger plus the 84th overall pick got us a first which turned into John Carlson i believe. Mo has to be worth a little more than that..
Because now I can justify browsing and commenting during the work day with the argument that I am promoting my business.
by Sombrero Guy on Jun 8, 2009 11:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes and no. Emmy was a $1m guy, and there’s value in adding a guy who can give you minutes at that cap number. Mo’s the better player (theoretically), but is he three times as good? I don’t think so.
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
by J.P. on Jun 9, 2009 6:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mo’s the better player (theoretically), but is he three times as good? I don’t think so.
Alluding to DMG’s Wrap, I think that when you take Mo away from Green, he becomes a little more ordinary, and to a degree, the MoGreen pairing might have subliminally served as a good trade showcase.
by Bald Pollack on Jun 9, 2009 7:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
(DMG’s Wrap can be viewed here)
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
by J.P. on Jun 9, 2009 8:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I might be mistaken, but I thought he was looking for over $2m last year, the team was offering $1.1m, and his ‘07-08 salary was $900k. Moreover, he’s an RFA that will likely go to same.
He’ll probably go for a 2 or 3, or he’ll face Kyle McLaren syndrome maybe.
by Bald Pollack on Jun 8, 2009 5:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
BP’s right on the numbers. It’s this year that he’s looking for $3m, reportedly.
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
by J.P. on Jun 8, 2009 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe we can work something out with Calgary? They need a cheaper option than Aucoin to pair up with Phaneuf.
by Love and Osechkin on Jun 8, 2009 6:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think that’s the right thinking, but I don’t see anyone/any contract on the CGY roster that would likely interest WSH. That’d have to be a deal for a pick.
by TylerG on Jun 8, 2009 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why, is Calgary actually planning on dressing 18 skaters every night next year? Where’s the fun in that?
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
by J.P. on Jun 8, 2009 9:36 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
That deserves a belated chuckle.
Russian Machine Never Breaks
by macvechkin on Jun 10, 2009 12:11 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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| GP | W | L | OTL | PT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington
|
22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 30 |
|
Tampa Bay
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|
Atlanta
|
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Florida
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Carolina
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