Recap - Capitals 4, Thrashers 2
by J.P. on Apr 8, 2009 7:00 AM EDT
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Over the course of this season, we've seen it time and again - the Caps play hard for two periods and it's enough for a victory. But showing up for two periods and getting two victories out of it? That might be a first, and it's exactly what the Caps have done in these past two games against Atlanta, piecing together a solid third period on Sunday and a good first on Tuesday.
Couple last night's win with New Jersey's home, regulation loss to Toronto (takes a bit of the sting out of the Caps' shootout loss to the Leafs two weeks ago, doesn't it?), and the Caps are a single point gained or lost by the Devils from clinching the second seed in the East, with two games remaining.
Some thoughts on the game:
- Simeon Varlamov was "the story," as he stopped 29 of 31 shots in perhaps his final start of the regular season, and held a lead through an abysmal second period that saw the Thrashers have three full power plays and outshoot the Caps 10-5. His athleticism is remarkable, and he was steering rebounds into corners at will. If I was someone who cared about the "three stars," I'd wonder aloud why he didn't get one.
- Not breaking news: any line with Nicklas Backstrom on it is a good line (and good on Tomas Fleischmann and Viktor Kozlov for taking advantage).
- Sergei Fedorov had a hat trick... of minor penalties, which isn't going to help a guy who, heading into the game, was third among all forwards in penalties taken per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 ice time. Feds now has taken six minors (insert Anna Kournikova joke here) in his last four games, and was also uncharacteristically poor in the faceoff dot as well, going 4-for-13 (31%), including losing the draw that led directly to the Rich Peverley goal. Perhaps the guy could use a week off before the playoffs, eh?
- Also not breaking news: go to the net and good things happen. Fedorov's goal was a good example, as was the only penalty the Caps drew all game.
- Did I say only penalty? Yep. That's as clear an indication as any of the overall intensity level with which the Caps played.
- The penalty killers did a great job against a decent power play, allowing just six shots (and, more importantly, zero goals) in 10:47 of shorthanded time, of which David Steckel played a whopping 6:52.
- Mike Green would likely have led the blueliners in shorthanded time, had he not been in the box for two minutes after trying to play the puck without a blade on his stick. Green's 4:55 on the kill was the most he's had in a game since a February game against Philly, and while it was due in large part to Tom Poti's absence from the lineup, it's something he should be doing more often, as - attention: Norris voters - his goals against on ice per 60 minutes of 4-on-5 time (minimum two minutes per game) was third-best among 132 NHL defensemen before last night's game.
- Brian Pothier and John Erskine made for a strong duo (Pothierskine?) on the backline, combining to go plus-four.
- Milan Jurcina and Jeff Schultz on the other hand... (and Schultz's footwork one-on-one against Ilya Kovalchuk met with near-tragic results).
- Alex Ovechkin kept pace with Evgeni Malkin in the scoring race, with each registering a pair of helpers. Two games left, two point margin.
- Alex Semin's curl-and-drag-int-wrong-footed-wrister (when it works) may be the most beautiful thing in hockey. Seriously.
- The Thrashers were credited with 31 takeaways, which is an absolute ton even if their home scorer tends to greatly inflate that stat. Given that the Caps were dinged with just two giveaways, I'm thinking someone needs to get a better understanding of the difference between the two.
And then there were two.
Take what you will from last night, but the two points (perhaps a pair of "two points") are what matter, and with the playoffs potentially just a week away, the real anxiety is about to begin. Brace yourself.
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1) Amen about Nicklas Backstrom. He’s the real deal and fast becoming a complete hockey player. He doesn’t need #8 to excell.
2) If not for Ovechkin being the focal point(deservedly) folks might notice more how far he has come so fast.
I don’t know, I thought the third was not bad. The second was abysmal.
- Fedorov had a horrid night just in general.
- Laich-Nyls-Fehr: Please keep. No goals but lots of chances and good setups. Nyls actually shot the puck.
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
On Nyls, there was one point where – and I never imagined I’d say this – he shot when he should’ve passed (to Fehr). In the big picture, I’m pretty sure that’s a good thing (even if he might not have made the right play there).
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Fedorov has been awful his past few games. Don’t let his stats fool you, he has not been playing well. I don’t know what to think about him, right now. He’s regressing into Semin, Pre-Fedorov…sorta.
by DrinkingPartner on Apr 8, 2009 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions
it’s something he should be doing more often, as his goals against on ice per 60 minutes of 4-on-5 time (minimum two minutes per game) was third-best among 132 NHL defensemen before last night’s game.
I’m not going to lie, I’m surprised by this. But that brings me back to the point I brought up (or atleast tried to) yesterday. If he’s that strong on the PK, then BB needs to limit his PP or ES time by a bit to get him out there more often. He only played 22:15 last night which is ~3:30 under his average of 25:48 per/g. If he’s 3rd best in the league, there’s no excuse for not having him out there more often.
And Pothier coming back gives the perfect excuse for this. Just put Pothier on the PP point.
by Gould Old Days on Apr 8, 2009 8:01 AM EDT up reply actions
It’s worth noting that Green’s 4-on-5 QualComp is low (meaning he’s playing mostly against second PP units and such when he is playing), and I suppose it’s a trade off – assuming he has a limited number of minutes in him, is his marginal superiority over a guy like Erskine or Mo at 4-on-5 (assuming Poti and Schultz are the top PK pair) greater than his marginal superiority over them at 5-on-5 and 5-on-4? Probably not.
As for his ice time, I think the ‘excuse’ at this point in the season is keeping him fresh for the playoffs.
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As for his ice time, I think the ‘excuse’ at this point in the season is keeping him fresh for the playoffs.
The overall TOI from last night might support that posit.
"Thank God there is a sport for middle-sized white boys.."
Right – AO was at 20:08, his least ice since St. Paddy’s Day, and second lowest TOI since Feb. 22.
And might I add, “it’s about time.”
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by J.P. on Apr 8, 2009 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Right – AO was at 20:08, his least ice since St. Paddy’s Day, and second lowest TOI since Feb. 22.
And might I add, “it’s about time.”
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by J.P. on Apr 8, 2009 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
A sentiment so nice, it’s worth rec’ing twice.
by Gould Old Days on Apr 8, 2009 8:47 AM EDT up reply actions
Don’t blame Bruce for wanting to lock up the second seed beore calling it a season. At this point, it looks like it’ll be either NY or Montreal.
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
Well, it’s not (yet) a mathematical certainty, but the odds are certainly in favor of it
Tough for me to handicap the schedules that remain to the Rags and the Habs, though. Both could go either way, but I’d say Montreal’s is the slightly more favorable?
A good point about the playoffs, admittedly I didn’t think of that. My first thought was that it was due to only 1 PP opportunity.
That’s certainly valid, to – 47 seconds of PP time will limit 8’s and 52’s TOI significantly in October or April.
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My thoughts on limiting Green’s (and to a lesser extent OV’s) PP time is pretty simple. It seems to me that they don’t always “click” out there and that when they strike, it’s typically in the first 45 seconds or so. Why no pull Green off after a 60-75 seconds instead of 90-120? Granted that’s only 30 a PP but that could be almost 2 minutes per game he could be out there SH.
I think I’d take the last thirty seconds of a 2 minute PP shift from Green over him killing the last 30 of a PK, frankly.
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I disagree. I’ll go back and do the leg work tonight, but depending on the timing of goals (both PP and SH), but I’d venture a guess that the goals saved from him being out there SH over those last 30 is more productive than the number of PP goals scored over the last 30 seconds.
I’d be interested in seeing what % of PPGs the Caps have scored (and allowed) broken down by 30 second intervals. Sounds like a lot of leg work, though.
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Something for me to do this evening while trying avoid Passover :)..but I agree. I’d be willing to wager that around 70% of the Caps PPGs have come in the first 45 seconds.
Y’know, I seem to recall seeing a stat on PP% over the course of two minutes. Let me see if I can dig it out.
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I think I found what I was remembering, thanks to my buddy Earl Sleek. Check this out. It’s not perfectly in tune with what we’re talking about, but it does seem to indicate that goals do get scored late in PPs.
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Just got through the first month…so far, only 2 goals after the first 60 seconds…and none in the last 30 seconds while on the PP.
SH most have come in the 2nd 30 seconds (same as PP) only 3 in the 60-90 range and none in the last 30.
On a different note…Schultz was out there for ~65% of the PPG against.
Alex Semin’s curl-and-drag-int-wrong-footed-wrister (when it works) may be the most beautiful thing in hockey. Seriously.
I might have to go with the puck in the net behind Marc-Andre Fleury…
by Gould Old Days on Apr 8, 2009 8:00 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
If Washington does not get its defensive house in order they’ll be out of the playoffs in fewer than 7 games. Their defensive play was nearly as sloppy as Atlanta’s.
If at first you don't succeed, don't try parachuting.
I’m reasonably sick of you coming here after every game and spreading your doom and gloom. No thanks.
by Ovechwin on Apr 8, 2009 8:29 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
Yes, all sunshine and air kisses please!
But seriously dog, It’s game 80. Against Atlanta. The Caps could have coasted and won comfortably — and they did. What more do you really want out of a team in game 80, with the No. 2 seed all but locked up (after the first period) and the playoffs a week away? Have a sense of perspective, eh?
by TylerG on Apr 8, 2009 8:36 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
If the Caps don’t outscore their first round opponent at least 4 times, they’ll be out of the playoffs in fewer than 7 games.
by Gould Old Days on Apr 8, 2009 8:49 AM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
Funny how that works.
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
by gotsparkly on Apr 8, 2009 8:51 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Gonna be tough to outscore ’em 5 times, eh?
by fat_daddyo on Apr 8, 2009 8:51 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
No, the fifth score comes later that night.
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
Well, his post is accurate, as far as it goes.
If the Caps don’t up the intensity level, they’ll make a hasty exit from the playoffs. And that’s the 64,000 dollar question, isn’t it? Will they up their intensity level?
I have to think they will. B.orr’s post about the down-the-stretch record of Cup winners was pretty compelling, imo. And, let’s face it, we’ve seen it all our lives as fans: teams try a lot harder in the playoffs.
Dead building last night, playing out the string against a real bad opponent…I’m done worrying just to worry. The Caps will beat anyone if they are focused (sp?) and engaged, and the main core of the team broke their playoff cherries last year; they’ll come out working hard. I’m confident of that.
I’m done worrying just to worry.
A welcome shred of sanity.
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I simply do not like the way the D is playing right now. They do not look like a defensive corps that’s ready for the playoffs. It’s not a bad group of players to have supporting JT60 or BJ1 or SV40.
Anyone notice Carolina is on a 9 game win streak? Too bad they won’t get Boston in the first round.
If at first you don't succeed, don't try parachuting.
Anyone notice how the Caps entered last year’s playoffs?
More to the point, the Caps won’t have to worry about the ’Canes until the Conference Finals, should seedings hold.
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Maybe it’s just me, but if you were a Canes fan wouldn’t you be just a tad nervous? Sooner or later, their run is going to end to be followed by a slump/lull that’s going to come in the playoffs. After all, we saw the roll the Caps were in going into the playoffs last year and how did that end?
My thoughts exactly.
Only one addition, and that is that Cam Ward is going to be real, real tired once the playoffs start.
. . . but if you were a Canes fan wouldn’t you be just a tad nervous?
Actually I was thinking that more about their probable opponent’s fans. PhillyPA maybe?
A 9 game win streak and a sawbuck will buy you a cup of Starbucks once the playoffs start. Remember last year?
You’re right, the Caps are not playing organized, effective defensive hockey over a 60 minute stretch these days. They have shown that they can put for that effort, though, when they’ve played the better clubs. I think they will when April 15 rolls around.
Surely you remember the Caps teams of the 80’s and 90’s? Hard workers, defensively responsible, only moderately talented…they routinely got rolled in the playoffs when other teams matched their effort level. Well, now the shoe’s on the other foot. It’s admittedly something that we Caps fans have not had lot of experience with, but I am pleasantly confident that we will enjoy at least two wins in the playoffs this year.
Series wins, I mean.
haha. right on. going back over hotdog88gt’s posts, it’s “we’re not making it out of the first round of the playoffs” and “our defense is terrible” over and over again.
by Natty Bumppo on Apr 8, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions
It has been called to my attention that my comments elsewhere in this thread could be read as being in support of your post. For the record, I’d like to unequivocally state that I think you’re responding to a game (a win!) out of all proportion to the game’s import.
That is all.
by TylerG on Apr 8, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I missed the game, did Aucoin do anything of note? And it seems like Nylander is stepping his game up a bit here in april.
Re: Aucoin, nothing really jumped out that I could recall.
"Thank God there is a sport for middle-sized white boys.."
Didn’t do a lot, but I noticed him making a few nice takeaways/possession plays. He didn’t do anything to cost himself a sweater, IMO, but maybe that’s not good enough. I really hope he stays up for the playoffs.
If Feds keeps going as he is ….
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
I don’t think there’s much chance that, come playoff time, Sergei Fedorov would be healthy-scratched (or even lose ice time) in favor of Keith Aucoin, no matter how poorly the former is playing.
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Sadly true, but one can hope.
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
Er, that if Feds falls that badly that he could be. Sorry.
"It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees." - Delores Ibarruri
If Feds played like he did last night in a playoff game (and felt like he couldn’t get it going), he’d probably take himself out of the lineup. But let’s hope we don’t have to think about it again.
Then again, if he scores an insurance goal in every playoff game he plays in, I don’t think we’ll complain too loudly, will we? :)
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you think giving feds a couple extra days’ rest (i.e. sitting him out of one or both of the last two) would help him re-charge the engine? makes sense to me.
by mechanicsville on Apr 8, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Seriously, does anyone here really think the Caps won’t crank up the intensity by a factor of about 100 come the first game of the playoffs? As Tyler noted, it’s game 80 out of 82 played in a dead building against a team going nowhere. I’m more concerned with North Korea shooting off dud missiles than I am about the Caps readiness for the playoffs.
by b.orr4 on Apr 8, 2009 9:13 AM EDT reply actions 3 recs
It was game 79 against the Thrash in a half empty barn. Was it a masterpiece, hell no. They did enough to get the job done. I’m not drinking as much kool aid as some around here, especially when it come to caps D, but come on. You really think that was the same team you will see next week.
It was game 80 – game 79 against the Thrash was in a full barn. ;)
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I’m not drinking as much kool aid as some
Come on in, the water’s fine!
Seriously [pausing to knock on wood – and trust me, I really did it] it’s shaping up just as good as I could have scripted it for the Caps. The Devils have gone into the tank allowing the Caps to put a stranglehold on the #2 seed. They almost certainly get either the Rags or the Habs, both of whom hold great attraction as a playoff opponent. The real scary foes will enjoy the opportunity to batter each other senseless in the first round.
The Caps, meanwhile, have been on cruise control, resting their D in rotation, in preparation for the bitter struggle to come.
I’m feelin’ it.
Alex Semin’s curl-and-drag-int-wrong-footed-wrister (when it works) may be the most beautiful thing in hockey. Seriously.
Amen to that. If he could get it on goal more than 1 out of 10 times, he’d be unstoppable. When has he scored that goal this year, other than the last-minute winner against Carolina in November?
Fedorov had a bad game last night, granted. But I think that was probably the worst game I’ve ever seen OV play. Talk about cruise control. OV could not be bothered with any puck outside of the hashmarks in the offensive zone. The puck leaves the zone, and he just starts daydreaming, wandering around while waiting for someone to get it back to him. C’mon, dude, we know it’s not the playoffs, but I thought you’re supposed to be known for your intensity and love of the game. That was a disgrace last night. No wonder his +/- has gone from like +25 to +8 in a few weeks. Sorry, I know it’s red Jesus and all, but just calling a spade a spade.
He admitted himself that he was kinda indifferent. He didn’t say it specifically, but he said that it was so quiet that it was difficult to get up for it and play hard. Granted, that may have been ATL’s strategy, but still :-).
He’ll get himself up for Game 1 of the playoffs. All of them will. Of that, I have no doubt.
And just cause: Backstrom is a beast. Thank you.
by DrinkingPartner on Apr 8, 2009 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions
Pothier-Erskine was one of our best pairings before Lucic tookPothead Pothier out. I personally love the pairing, as Pothier is a puck mover who plays rather solid defense, and can make up for the short-comings of Erskine (Namely, Speed) without sacrificing too much of his offense.
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
Wasn’t a cheapshot at all. A friend of mine played a season with Pothier in juniors and claimed that was his nickname. I dunno if anyone else has ever heard him called that before, but he swears up and down it to be the case.
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
Pothier skated far more often with Schultz and, I thought, was better with him last year, but being that was 15+ months ago, it matters little now. I do like those two together, 52-26 and 3-55 as the best possible combos going forward.
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It seems likely that at some point in the next eight weeks (we hope!) that Pothier will hit a wall. It’s pretty tough to go from not playing hockey for 14 months to playing every other day under playoff conditions…
That’s kind of what I think everything is contingent on. If you want to limit two guys minutes, and they play really well together, so it’s a pretty natural pairing. I also like Schultz Poti. 52-26 is kind of scary, because I don’t think Morrisonn is that wonderful, but it’s worked in the past, so let’s try it. At least it’s some level of consistency (For now).
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
I dunno, I tend to think your snideness does relent every so often.
"Thank God there is a sport for middle-sized white boys.."
by Bald Pollack on Apr 8, 2009 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions
I’m going soft in my old age.
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F&#% the Caps! C*@^!
/Does that help?
"Thank God there is a sport for middle-sized white boys.."
by Bald Pollack on Apr 8, 2009 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions
Unfair to Fedorov
Sorry, these criticisms of my hero will not go unanswered! even though I should be doing my rehab exercises, I cannot let this go by unanswered. Fedorov is NOT old, he is NOT tired. What he is, is a Cup-winner who knows exactly how to play up to the playoffs and is doing everything possible to get his team ready, too. His goal was well-earned, at the very violent front of the net, it was not a fluke as has been suggested elsewhere. OF COURSE he takes penalties — sometimes by accident, but as a defensive forward he is going to have to sit sometimes, so get over it!! Is he tired? Probably, who wouldn’t be at this point in the season. Is he old? Well, what does old mean — experienced? Wise? The ancient Chinese had a saying – I know because I was there – “Intelligence is the ability to plan ahead. Wisdom is knowing when to change the plan.” You all know his age, and have known since he was signed if not before - so now what, reality sets in and it’s too real for you? To all those who, by their comments, appear to be disheartened and panicky, down on Fedorov, confronted with the prospect of -- ick! AGEING: Have some confidence in the wisdom of the veteran CUP-WINNER, and don’t rag on a GREAT ATHLETE!! I only wish he’d had an injury-free season — we’d have seen him score his 500th goal, the first Russian to do so in the NHL. That’s it.
I can appreciate your defense for Fedorov, but you are still wrong. Even if he had not been injured he probably wouldn’t have made 500 this year. He missed fewer than half of the games and needs to more than double his goal total from this year to get to 500. He also does look old, in a hockey sense. You clearly are a huge fan of the guy so you know how he used to be able to skate. Do I expect him to skate like he did when he was 30? No. But it seems clear to me that a lot of his HHT PIMs come because he lost position on an opposing player. If he could still even skate like he skated for us last season he wouldn’t have to take those PIMs because he would be in better position. Defensive forwards are not supposed to take PIMs; that is precisely why they are good at defense (defending without putting your team down a man) so I will not get over it. Maybe his mobility has been hampered by his injury, we probably won’t know until after the season. He is clearly the second best center on the team so I’m not trying to hammer him (he’s not even in my top 3 scapegoats on this team); I’m just trying to point out that the criticism against him is entirely valid. If he doesn’t accept a significant pay cut next year I think it would be a mistake for GMGM to bring him back.
Your insights entirely valid
Thanks, Fehr and Balanced, I know 500 was a long-shot but one must always aim for the prize. I agree, it will be a shocker if he’s back next season — GMGM brought him on to give the team some playoff experience, which they got a taste of last season and hopefully quite a bit more this time around! He may sadly have outlived his usefulness by then, and there are youngsters to bring up from the farm. Not to say he wouldn’t continue to be a great example and a great player, but no one has offered the job of GM to me so I have no say in the matter! But there’s still the Olympics, and he needs that gold to round out his collection! I can’t say that he gives up position, you possibly have a better view than I, and I admit I am extremely biased. However, I know that the penalty box is home away from home for him and for many others who play that role. Anyway, one must have heroes. It wouldn’t be hockey, without heroes, and he’s one of the very best.
He is one of the very best for sure. Hope is not lost, FC. All I said was that he’d need to take a pay cut to come back, not that we shouldn’t bring him back. We have some talent on the farm but none of them look to be ready to play the 2C role yet. I don’t know how the FA market is going to shake out for centers but we need to either: resign Feds as 2C, promote Nyls to 2C, or pick up a FA 2C. That is going to come down to the relative costs. I’d love to see Feds make a run at 500 (under 20 goals to go) and I think he’d like to get a gold medal. I think the decision will probably be his; if he wants to play another season in the NHL someone will probably take him. If not, he can go play a season in the KHL with his brother.
OF COURSE he takes penalties — sometimes by accident, but as a defensive forward he is going to have to sit sometimes, so get over it!!
There’s a big, big difference between taking penalties from time to time and being the guy who takes the most non-coincidental minors per minute on one of the NHL’s least disciplined teams.
Thanks for that, F&B
I believe he is fully capable of playing another year in the NHL if he chooses to do so, and I should have stated that earlier. I hope he does that as a Cap — then I can continue to watch him at practice! And it would be good for the team, too. Tell me, F&B, is there not a rule that for players above a certain age, only $1M of their salary counts toward the cap? Would this not apply to Mr. Fedorov next season? And if so, would GMGM not find that an irresistable bargain? I am hopeful, rose coloured glasses and all, besides which it’s somewhat inconvenient to keep up on the doings of the KHL. But if he doesn’t actually play, I hope he will coach. Caps need a director of player development. From his comments, he doesn’t seem interested in coaching as of yet, but if he can transition once again he just may find his niche for the 2010’s. This is my prayer. This, and the 500 goals.
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Southeast Standings
| GP | W | L | OTL | PT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
53 | 25 | 17 | 11 | 61 |
|
Washington
|
54 | 28 | 21 | 5 | 61 |
|
Winnipeg
|
56 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 58 |
|
Tampa Bay
|
53 | 23 | 24 | 6 | 52 |
|
Carolina
|
55 | 20 | 25 | 10 | 50 |
(updated 2.10.2012 at 9:27 AM EST)
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