FanPost

To All the Rink Rats

After the Caps went down 2-0, I started thinking about their roster moves this summer. After they went down 3-1, I was writing this season's post-mortem in my head. I wrote a couple of posts regarding the sheer improbability of a comeback in these circumstances. Many of you disagreed with me, essentially saying, "screw the numbers, I believe."

To all of you, I dedicate this. And I couldn't be happier to do it.

I will say this, though: the numbers weren't "wrong." What the Capitals have just done is a historically improbable event. There's a reason that they keep showing Dale Hunter's OT goal against the Flyers in '88, and there's a reason that the old timers get misty and choked up when they see it.

Put another way, the probability of winning the Stanley Cup in any given playoff year is (all things being equal), 6.25% (1/16). The probability of coming back from down 2-0 and down 3-1 is around 8%.

Even if we don't get a parade this year, we've already seen this team make history. Don't take this for granted.

Let's Go CAPS!!!!

If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's editors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Japers' Rink

You must be a member of Japers' Rink to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Japers' Rink. You should read them.

Join Japers' Rink

You must be a member of Japers' Rink to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Japers' Rink. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker