November Prospects Update: Forwards
Yesterday we took a look at the Capitals' goaltending and defense prospects, and today we turn our eyes to the organization's young forwards, a group whose strength is based more in the quantity than quality. That's not to say the Caps don't have some pretty skilled youngsters in the forward ranks, because they do. But while the blue line has guys like Karl Alzner and John Carlson and the future in goal looks to be either Semyon Varlamov or Michal Neuvirth, the forward corps lacks guys with high ceilings at the NHL level and doesn't have any blue-chips. Despite the uncertainty, there's not necessarily reason to be worried because while it's doubtful all of the Capitals forwards prospects (even the good ones) will become successful NHL players, it's also unlikely that at least a couple won't.
The prospects and their early season numbers, after the jump.
Jay Beagle (Center/Right Wing) - Much like last season, Beagle's plugging along and contributing in a checking role for the Bears. Beagle's NHL potential probably tops out at about a 13th or 14th forward, and the Caps won't be rushing him to the NHL any time soon, but he could get in a couple games if injuries necessitate a recall.
Francois Bouchard (Left Wing/Right Wing) - After a solid first professional season in 2008-09 (35 points; 15 goals in 64 games with the Bears), Bouchard's running at a point-per-game pace so far this season thanks to a late-October surge. Even more impressive is the fact that only one of Bouchard's point (an assist) has come with the man advantage. On the flip side, a large part of his production is due to his 27.8% shooting percentage - don't expect that to last.
Trevor Bruess (Left Wing) - He's getting playing time in Hershey, but aside of a fight with Binghamton's Paul Baier he hasn't done a whole lot.
Joel Broda (Center) - Obviously you can only discern so much about a guy who's still playing in juniors, but it's hard not to be encouraged by Broda's numbers. In 2008 the Capitals picked him in the fifth round, after a season where he recorded 31 goals and 53 points in 73 games with the Tri-City Americans and Moose Jaw Warriors; in the 2008-09 season Broda recorded 53 goals and 87 points in 67 games while splitting time between Moose Jaw and the Calgary Hitmen. While he's not scoring at the prodigious pace he was last season, Broda's again producing at better than a point-per-game.
Greg Burke (Left Wing) - Having his 2008-09 season cut short by a shoulder injury and playing in just eight games for the USHL's Cedar Rapids RoughRiders, doesn't seem to have slowed Burke down too much: he's played in all seven of the University of New Hampshire's games this season.
Stefan Della Rovere (Left Wing) - Everybody's favorite NHL-pest-to-be is picking up right where he left off last season, dropping the gloves, adding some offense, and captaining one of the OHL's best teams - and that's all good news for a Capitals team that needs some more sandpaper in the lineup. Della Rovere's also been named to the OHL's Subway Super Series team, Canada's most prestigious sandwich-themed junior hockey tournament.
Phil DeSimone (Center) - An offensive force when he was drafted out of the USHL, DeSimone is still looking to fulfill his potential at the collegiate level, although he did increase his point total from 13 to 18 and his goal total from three to seven from his freshman to sophomore year.
Cody Eakin (Center) - Eakin's not a big guy (though he's a pretty tough one), but he is a terrific skater with good offensive instincts who also receives accolades for his two way play. Eakin's progressed nicely for the Swift Current Broncos in his WHL career, going from 17 points in 2007-08, to 48 points in 2008-09, to 23 through his team's first nineteen games of this season. Those might not sound like world-beating numbers, but consider this: 18 of Eakin's 2009-10 points are goals, a total that has him tied for the WHL lead. It's also telling that the Capitals have already inked Eakin to a professional contract, and there's a good chance he'll get a game or two in Hershey at the end of this season.
Joe Finley (Left Wing/Defense) - He's been playing defense in South Carolina (who list him as a defenseman), but the Capitals still list him as a forward, so we will too. At 22, Finley's a bit old for someone with NHL hopes to be plying his trade in the East Coast League, especially given that the experiment with moving him to wing appears to be on the back burner.
Andrew Gordon (Right Wing) - just two years ago the Capitals, unhappy with Gordon's performance in the AHL, briefly demoted him to South Carolina. Last year Gordon became an important piece of Hershey's Calder Cup team and got in a game in with the big club. This year Gordon's ascent has continued: he's averaging over a point a game, sports a plus-5 rating, and has only taken one penalty: a fight against Brian Lee. Gordon's probably never going to be a top six forward at the NHL level, but we'd sure like to see what he could do on a Caps energy line - the sooner, the better.
Anton Gustafsson (Center) - The Capitals couldn't find room for him to get playing time in Hershey and it didn't look like he'd be getting playing time in Sweden's highest league either, and a a result, the Caps wound up lending Gustafsson to Borås HC, a team in Sweden's second division. Gus is getting playing time there, and has picked up four assists and nine shots in four games, although is winning only 47% of his faceoffs.
Jake Hauswirth (Center/Right Wing) - one of the biggest surprises of 2008's prospects camp earned himself a contract this past summer. His transition to the pro game is going well and, although a call-up to the Capitals is in no way in the near future, Hauswirth could work his way up the ladder to Hershey later this season or in 2010-11.
Dmitri Kugryshev (Left Wing ) - In large part thanks to a shooting percentage that's only half of what it was last year, Kugryshev isn't scoring at the same rate he did in 2008-09, when he was Qubec's leading rookie scorer, and a 34 goal, 74 points campaign earned him the QMJHL Rookie of the Year award. That doesn't mean he's not putting up points, though, and the goals should come in time.
Marcus Johansson (Center/Left Wing) - this past summer's first round draft pick is playing for Farjestads, currently one of Sweden's best teams. Even better, he's leading the team in goals and scoring (which isn't too much of a surprise considering some of the moves he has), though a lot of that has to do with an undoubtedly temporarily high shooting percentage. He's playing center right now, but there's been talk that Johansson might move the wing when he comes to North American, something his -1 rating and 40% faceoff win rate are advocating.
Oskar Osala (Left Wing)- It took him until the seventh game of the season to record his first point, but since then Osala's come on strong, with five points in his last six games. You can never have too many big bodies up front (Osala goes 6'4'', 220) who can contribute on the score sheet, so here's hoping Osala keeps piling up the points and earns himself another trip to D.C..
Mathieu Perreault (Center) - Like Osala, he started off slow (no point in his first five games for Hershey), before coming on strong. Unlike Osala, Perreault's size (allegedly 5'10'', 174) will always be a concern. But if he plays with smarts, skill, and determination he did on Wednesday, something tells me the Caps will be able to live with it.
Kyle Wilson (Center) - after two solid offensive seasons in Hershey (a total of 58 goals and 61 assists), but no chance to come up and show what he can do in the NHL we're starting to wonder if and when he's going to get that opportunity.
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Seems like playing for the Bears is good news/bad news. The good news is you are playing for the best team and organization in the AHL, the bad news is the organization is so excellent there’s almost no room for growth.
IS PЯACTICE ICE NOW
It’s the age-old question about minor league teams that have to balance winning games with developing players. I’ve often thought at times in the past that the balance in Hershey was a bit weighted towards the former for my liking, fwiw.
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
I kinda agree. Then you look at what the long playoff runs have done for the development of our most important prospects and it’s hard to argue.
If consequences dictate the course of action, then it doesn't matter what's right, it's only wrong if you get caught. If consequences dictate the course of action, then I should play God...
i get the feeling that AnGus is a bust. It really concerns me that he’s not in the SEL, yet.
On that same note, I’m getting very excited for Johansson.
Should I be surprised that Jake Hauswirth is in SC instead of HER? I seem to remember over the past two summers, everyone was going, “Hey, have you heard about this Hauswirth kid?” as if he was a diamond-in-the-rough who was going to challenge for roster spots not only in Hershey, but in DC as well.
by DrinkingPartner on Nov 6, 2009 12:40 PM EST reply actions
i get the feeling that AnGus is a bust.
He’s only 19 years old and this is his first year under contract with the organization. Way to early to make that call.
"If you're gonna die after 24, might as well jump out at 23:59, no?"
by Laich It Or Lump It on Nov 6, 2009 12:43 PM EST up reply actions
To be fair he said “get the feeling”, and the fact that Gus couldn’t crack a lineup in the SEL or the AHL isn’t a good sign for someone drafted as high as he was.
The SEL isn’t a development league for the NHL though. They don’t really have any responsibility to develop him. They just look for who can produce for their team and fans. Being that he’s a prospect, they could have decided just to place him where he’d be most effective.
As for the AHL, I can’t remember the details, but I thought he chose to stay in Sweden instead of getting minimal time here. Maybe my memory is rusty. You could possibly chalk the lack of playing time up to a crowded depth chart.
"If you're gonna die after 24, might as well jump out at 23:59, no?"
by Laich It Or Lump It on Nov 6, 2009 12:52 PM EST up reply actions
But what it means to us is that he’s not good enough to make an AHL-equivalent team. And he also didn’t make an actual AHL team, which lots and lots of 1st rounders are doing. That’s where my concern comes from.
by DrinkingPartner on Nov 6, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions
Exactly. I may have missed someone, but going back through the 2007, 2008, and 2009 drafts I don’t see any other Swedish based players who weren’t in the SEL or in North America the year after they were drafted.
Amazing stat, if accurate. Certainly when we’re talking about a first-rounder, that raises an eye brow.
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
Oh, I can definitely see where the concern comes from, but considering the possibility that he’s a bust is a stretch given the circumstances of his first year as a pro.
"If you're gonna die after 24, might as well jump out at 23:59, no?"
by Laich It Or Lump It on Nov 6, 2009 1:03 PM EST up reply actions
I disagree – considering the possibility that he’s a bust is perfectly acceptable at this point, imo, based on what we’ve seen, where he is, and his injury history. Calling him a bust, on the other hand, would be premature.
Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world
Well I don’t want to argue the semantics of considering versus declaring, so can we agree that I just have a lesser degree of pessimism?
"If you're gonna die after 24, might as well jump out at 23:59, no?"
by Laich It Or Lump It on Nov 6, 2009 1:07 PM EST up reply actions
When it comes to BabyGus, I’m more hopeful now than expectant. I don’t like that from a first round pick.
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
Yea, it’s not ideal from a first rounder, but recently we’ve had more Schultzes and Greens than Pokuloks, so I’m still cautiously optimistic.
"If you're gonna die after 24, might as well jump out at 23:59, no?"
by Laich It Or Lump It on Nov 6, 2009 1:18 PM EST up reply actions
Certainly would be easier to stomach if we hadn’t reached for him in the first round, ahead of Carlson, no less.
Russian Machine very rarely breaks.
This is true.
"If you're gonna die after 24, might as well jump out at 23:59, no?"
by Laich It Or Lump It on Nov 6, 2009 1:29 PM EST up reply actions
Another guy where if his last name was Smith, we wouldn’t be having this discussion right now. Caps never would have drafted him in that spot all else being equal.
How accurate is that? Many prospects play in both leagues, SEL and the second league. And I know that is true for some the year after they are drafted, for example, Tedenby.
Seems to me it is difficult to judge on this topic as we don’t know the answer to the question as to where Gustafsson would be playing if he had stayed in Europe, started the season in training camp with a Swedish team, etc. He returned to Sweden after the season had started and after getting little playing time with the Capitals and Hershey.
I think we were all comparing him a little to Backstrom, and Backstrom was getting significant SEL time at his equivalent point.
by red army line on Nov 6, 2009 1:17 PM EST up reply actions
And was going close to point-per-game as well. No one expected another Backstrom, but something close with a slightly different game. AnGus is way behind Backstrom at this point, IMO.
by red army line on Nov 6, 2009 1:19 PM EST up reply actions
Backstrom was playing in Washington at this point.
But I don’t think anyone’s comparing the two of them in this regard.
I meant after getting drafted + 1 season onward, so I guess I was thinking end of last season. Not well versed in SEL, so I always looked at Backstrom as a sort of best-case model for AnGus. I did expect AnGus to be a bottom forward on a division 1 senior team, though.
by red army line on Nov 6, 2009 1:23 PM EST up reply actions
Agreed though it’s hard to judge because the European game is different from the North American game.
by red army line on Nov 6, 2009 1:23 PM EST up reply actions
I’m looking more at Mackan than Backstrom. You knew Backstrom was a stud. He was drafted as the SEL RoY. But even the less-heralded Mackan played SEL before he was drafted, and now leads his SEL team in scoring in his post-draft year. Angus… where’s the beef?
If consequences dictate the course of action, then it doesn't matter what's right, it's only wrong if you get caught. If consequences dictate the course of action, then I should play God...
by Rob Parker on Nov 6, 2009 3:16 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Haha. Rec’d, Wendy.
"Let the rest be scared of us." - Sasha Semin
by Scott in Shaw on Nov 6, 2009 3:17 PM EST up reply actions
If you go back one more year 06 draft you find Patrik Berglund he played two more years in Allsvenskan and he’s doing ok.
by Malin A on Nov 6, 2009 1:25 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Coming into this season (according to hockeydb.com), eight of 30 first round picks had at least ten games played last year in the NHL, six of them in the first nine picks. Looking at the neighborhood in which Gustafsson was drafted (21st)…
Michael Del Zotto (20th) has 17 games with the Rangers this year.
Luca Sbisa had 31 games last year, eight this year, but he’s been sent back to juniors.
Jordan Eberle (22nd) had a few games with Springfield last year, but is back in Regina.
Tyler Cuma (23rd) is still in Ottawa in juniors
Mattias Tedenby is still in Sweden, with Jonkoping in teh SEL.
Gustafsson might be a bit behind the curve of these guys, but not so far that he can’t make it up. I’m inclined to agree that it’s too early to tell.
If you've read this far...seek help.
curious, how much of that slightly behind the curve may be due to his back injury?
Of course, I’ve seen people troubled my similar injuries for years, and others who recover 100% and never have another problem. So hard to predict.
The nagging problem in the back of my head, though, is that he seems to simply not be good enough to make these teams. If he was good enough, injury or no, these teams would make space for him and wait for him to heal. That’s not what’s happening, he’s getting shunted off to the side – he can’t get time in HER or on the parent SEL club, so he plays in the 2nd league. Again.
by DrinkingPartner on Nov 6, 2009 1:17 PM EST up reply actions
Remember that in development camp he wasn’t lighting it up like Perrault or Bouchard did (in the latter, more so in past years).
by red army line on Nov 6, 2009 1:20 PM EST up reply actions
Neither hee nor there, since he was taken ahead of both our first rounders, but I wouldn’t mind having Del Zotto. He’s a gamer.
Russian Machine very rarely breaks.
Well, even he might be hitting a bit of a wall. He’s gone five games with only an assist and is a -3, that after getting a dozen points in his first dozen games..
If you've read this far...seek help.
blueshirt banter seems to think he’s getting better and better as the season goes on. his ATOI has also been gradually increasing. the mini-slump was in line with gaborik’s two game absence, and the team lost both of those games (islanders and wild).
Hauswirth was playing in the USHL last season and is transitioning from USHL to pro hockey. Watching him in camp and factoring in his background, I would have been surprised if he started the season anywhere other than SC.
His rookie year, Andrew Gordon was sent to SC to regain his confidence and scoring touch and get a lot of time on ice. Which he did and was quickly recalled and then returned to SC for the playoffs that season once Hershey was eliminated.
So what’s the cutoff/criteria for being included in these breakdowns? e.g., Glass? Mitchell? Casavant? and in another category, Pinizzotto?
Where’s Binghampton? :)
Love this new feature, thanks for the effort DMG
Because now I can justify browsing and commenting during the work day with the argument that I am promoting my business.
by Sombrero Guy on Nov 6, 2009 1:00 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
Bruess – 23yo. He plays as advertised – likes to hit, has speed, and is a bit of a pest. He does not look overwhelmed making the transition from playing NCAA hockey to pro hockey. When he plays, he’s been on the 4th line/energy line in the games I have seen.
In the context of his role, not bad that he has only taken penalties in 2 of his 8 games, which along with his energy game is why as a rookie he is playing as often as he is, IMO. His fight was the result of an ill-timed penalty – running into the goalie when he had a choice not to, which nullified the upcoming Bears PP and was after he’d already taken an interference penalty in the same game.
Beagle – He has played better than the +- indicates, IMO. Also, of note, he plays on the PK.
Beagle is B. Gordon’s skill set with Matt Bradley’s heart. Note that even B. Gordon put up a few numbers in his last two seasons of AHL play. That’s what I’ve always seen in Beags.
I'm so sick and tired of the refs explaining the calls like this is the NFL.
I’d be shocked if Beagle can skate as well as Boyd. There’s a reason Boyd was a first round pick. Maybe it was a GMGM gaffe but I think his skating made him look like a good NHL bet.
If consequences dictate the course of action, then it doesn't matter what's right, it's only wrong if you get caught. If consequences dictate the course of action, then I should play God...
Anyone who has watched a Hockey East game...
…that involved UNH, do even remember seeing Phil DeSimone? I been able to watch a few over the last couple seasons but only remember him because I was specifically looking for him. I feel like if the Caps were hoping a little JVR would rub off on him, but they gambled and lost.
Who knows, maybe he will some day fulfill his potential…
Is UNH a bad team, or is there another reason both of our UNH boys have bad +/-?
Beagle: Hey bud, 6 PIM won’t cut it. Start droppin’ them mitts.
Cody Eakin: Fuck yeah! Coming again to save the motherfuckin’ day yeah.
Couldn’t agree more about A. Gordon. I’d love to see him work on one of our bottom lines should injuries require another call up (meaning don’t drop MP to make room for AG).
Kugryshev: How did he get those PIMs?
OO: Keep that PIM divisible by 5, please. Also, work on that +/- a bit.
I’d love to see Kyle Wilson succeed, but he’s facing stiff competition from Beagle and A. Gordon for a spot on the bottom lines. Good luck kid.
If consequences dictate the course of action, then it doesn't matter what's right, it's only wrong if you get caught. If consequences dictate the course of action, then I should play God...
For some reason, it took me like 5 minutes before my brain could figure out what you were trying to say with this line. Maybe just a foggy afternoon…
…while it’s doubtful all of the Capitals forwards prospects…will become successful NHL players, it’s also unlikely that at least a couple won’t.
"Let the rest be scared of us." - Sasha Semin
Further to that point, we don’t need very high ceiling guys because we at least have AO and Backstrom for the foreseeable future. We need guys that can play second line and below, not guys that have to carry the scoring burden for a team.
If consequences dictate the course of action, then it doesn't matter what's right, it's only wrong if you get caught. If consequences dictate the course of action, then I should play God...

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