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Friday Roundup - Feds Raising Interest Rate

Since we put Michael Nylander under the microscope yesterday, let's turn out attention to a slightly older, slightly cheaper pivot, namely Sergei Fedorov.

Fedorov, as we know all too well, has missed 27 games this season with an ankle injury, and his next game for the Caps (which will presumably come against his former team on Saturday), will be his 41st regular season game in a Washington uniform. Here's how he's done so far:


GP G A P +/- PIM PPG PPA GWGSOG PCT
2007-09 40 7 21 28 5 30 2 10 1 86 8.1

Sergei's .70 point-per-game rate as a Cap bests any of his individual post-lockout seasons (and he's just a hair under that for this season alone, at .68), despite the lowest average ice time per game (16:52) of his career and playing at least three games as a blueliner.

Fedorov has been brought along slowly since returning from injury, not once eclipsing the 16:44 of total ice time that represented his lowest pre-injury total on the season while averaging less than 15:30 per night, and having just three points in seven games to show for his efforts.

Of particular interest, Fedorov has gotten only 1:41 of shorthanded ice time since coming back. That's not an average of 1:41, that's a total, and that's a seven-game total that's lower than he had in eight of his first 11 individual games on the season (and 11 of his 18 regular season games as a Cap last season).

Think the penalty kill could use Feds? With him in the lineup prior to his return from injury (when he was actually getting PK time), the team killed 83.5% of the penalties it faced, a number that would be in the top ten in the League. Without 91, the penalty kill has been a woeful 77.1%, a bottom five success rate. And if you're looking for a big reason for that differential, look no further than the face-off circle - the Caps won 57.3% of their draws when shorthanded before Fedorov got hurt and have won just 49% when he's out. It's no wonder - and no mistake - that Sergei Fedorov has the lowest goals against on ice per sixty minutes of four-on-five time of any Caps forward.

The flip-side of the coin - Fedorov on the power play - is nearly as interesting. Tuesday night in Boston, Feds had a season-high 6:37 of power-play time... and the unit was 0-for-6 (and Sergei wasn't on the ice for the Mike Green pseudo-PP goal). In fact, in the five games in which Fedorov has had more than 5:30 of power-play ice time (an average of 6:20 per game), the team's extra man unit has gone 2-for-24 (8.3%), and overall the team's power play is 26.2% effective (which would be second-best in the League) when Fedorov doesn't play and 17.9% successful when he suits up. Once Tom Poti is healthy, scaling back Feds' time on the power-play point would seem to make sense.

The bottom line, of course, is that the Caps aren't paying Sergei Fedorov for what he does in January, at least not what he does on the ice in January, so it's wise not to burn out the 39-year-old during the dog days of winter (I've said before and still believe that the injury will be a blessing in the long run in that he'll have that much less mileage on him come April). But if the Caps are looking for a quick fix for the penalty kill, they'd be wise to give 91 some more minutes there, even - no, especially - if it's at the expense of his power-play time.

Elsewhere 'Round the Rinks:

Speaking of Fedorov, the Caps Road Crew is organizing the Unofficial Sergei Fedorov Night for Saturday against the Wings, which, other than the fact that it's a day game, is a great idea (h/t Puck Daddy).... Just when I was ready to give Donald Brashear the day off on Saturday, the Wings recall Aaron Downey, which forces me to post this link....What, no love for Flash?.... In the Caps' first season, Bill Mikkelson posted a -82 plus/minus rating, and yet he was apparently allowed to reproduce.... DiLo's two cents on Twitter (on which you can follow us here).... I'm pretty psyched that Canes Country has joined SB Nation.... Finally, Happy 37th Birthday to today's Cap of the Day. We'll always have 1999-2000....

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Not to go all Faux(es) and re-summarize what you’ve already said, but the PP doesn’t need Feds. The PK does. I don’t think this should be a hard call, especially considering Feds’ advanced age.

If the Caps have 91, 21, 15 and 39 all killing, you have four really, really good faceoff guys on your kill. That’s a recipe for playoff success.

by TylerG on Jan 30, 2009 9:29 AM EST reply actions  

Any thoughts on why this hasn’t happened already?

by Sct112 on Jan 30, 2009 9:53 AM EST reply actions  

Well, PK minutes are definitely the hardest minutes there are, so it would make sense that they’d be even slower in heaping those minutes back on Feds. But still…

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 30, 2009 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

It’s after 10:30 and you all have mustered up all of two comments and will be punished accordingly. I’m open to suggestions as to what form that punishment should take.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 30, 2009 10:36 AM EST reply actions  

Hey, I had to write a review of the Max Payne Blu-ray. Isn’t that punishment enough?

"Good crowd out there tonight, boys, let's really try to win this one."

by Bald Pollack on Jan 30, 2009 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Punishment suggestion: Transgressors must write an entire post like pucksandbooks from OFB. Worse punishment: Make the rest of us read it.

by TylerG on Jan 30, 2009 10:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Hey, Meaghan Mikkelson is kind of cute.

I have as many wins in a Capitals uniform as Michael Belhumeur does.

by marky narc on Jan 30, 2009 11:10 AM EST reply actions  

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 30, 2009 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

She’s also bigger than a lot of the guys in Hershey:

5’9"
150.

:)

by Sct112 on Jan 30, 2009 11:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Who would win in a fight. That chick or Matt Perrault?

by Sombrero Guy on Jan 30, 2009 11:40 AM EST up reply actions  

just to point out the obvious...

The easiest way to improve the PK is to stay out of the box. Give the Bruins (or anyone) 7 chances, they are going to put a few home.

If I remember correctly, these boards were feeling quite good about the PK (the first two attempts anyway) at the start of the B’s game.

by Sct112 on Jan 30, 2009 11:12 AM EST reply actions  

Staying out of the box doesn’t improve the PK, it just limits the number of times we’re forced to see it.

Discipline does need to be better, but the PK has to be better also, whether it’s on the ice three times per night or seven.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 30, 2009 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

If the Caps focus on something, I would prefer it be discipline.

If you only take two penalties a game who cares what the PK is running at.
As you pointed out, PK minutes are hard minutes. It seems like a reasonable extrapolation to assume the PK would improve if it saw less time on the ice.

by Sct112 on Jan 30, 2009 11:35 AM EST up reply actions  

And when your a team that is as good 5-on-5 as the Caps are, the lack of PK quality coupled with the abundance PK quantity is all the more frustrating.
 
Which is more difficult to achieve? Stemming the number of penalties we take or killing them off after we take them?

I have as many wins in a Capitals uniform as Michael Belhumeur does.

by marky narc on Jan 30, 2009 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

How about we do a little of both? Penalties are going to happen. More discipline = less penalties, not no penalties. We need to improve the kill right now, and I like the idea of putting Fedorov on the kill. I also like having Laich on the kill, and Poti. I’m not a great fan of Schultz in the kill.

by gotsparkly on Jan 30, 2009 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, that would be optimal, of course. I don’t have any problems with Sarge killing penalties – the only other options for that PK unit would be Jurcina or Erskine.
 
Six one, half a dozen the other.

I have as many wins in a Capitals uniform as Michael Belhumeur does.

by marky narc on Jan 30, 2009 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it’s easier to fix the kill. Other teams are able to kill penalties much better than the Caps, and the Caps have the right players to kill well. I think it’s a matter of making sure guys like Steckel, Fedorov, and Poti are out there and committing time to it in practice more than anything else.

by grapejoos on Jan 30, 2009 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

How you kill penalties is within your control, whereas what is a penalty is not. The Caps can get better at killing penalties. The Caps cannot improve NHL officiating.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 30, 2009 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Well put. Some penalties are unavoidable, while others are not. (Obviously we wouldn’t chalk up Semin’s minor late in the Ottawa game to poor officiating.)

I have as many wins in a Capitals uniform as Michael Belhumeur does.

by marky narc on Jan 30, 2009 1:13 PM EST up reply actions  

If you only take two penalties a game who cares what the PK is running at.

Tom Poti in Game 7 last season’s first round series cares.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jan 30, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not advocating that they ignore the PK. It definitely needs work, but there are two types of penalities: lazy and aggresive.

As an example, I didn’t think that the officiating against the Bruins was that bad.

Clark going to the net and getting called for goalie interference is a penalty I can live with (forgetting whether it should have been called or not), at least he was trying to make a play.

Hooking is easy to prevent, you hook when you are out of the play or when you get beat (see Chara v. Ovie) (Backis v. Chara). Cross checking in front of their net is easy to prevent. I thought Semin could have been in better position when he was whistled.

If you stop taking 50% of the lazy variety the PKs porous nature is less of a factor.

by Sct112 on Jan 30, 2009 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Fedorov On PK

Even without your stats compilation regarding Fedorov’s performance as a Capital, I think Fedorov’s most obvious contributions to the team were A) Leadership, Mentoring, & skill set teachings to the young Capitals, not just the Russian kids in particular and B) what he brings to the table from a defensively minded standpoint.

He has a great gift as being a defensively minded forward, which was what I noticed most since his arrival in DC last year. He does have great offensive talents, but I definitely agree that he should be placed on the PK instead of a Semin or Ovechkin.

He has the best of both worlds offensive threat, but with a solid defensive grounding. I think the only concern is that he doesn’t have as much jump in his step as he used to, and sometimes he looks quite dog tired out on the ice.

by migz on Jan 30, 2009 11:30 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Just a reminder

In addition to Sergei Fedorov night, I encourage you to wear an outback hat and sunglasses to the game. Miniature Canadian flag is optional. This movement will be in full swing again for the Canadiens game in late Feb.

Let’s Go Caps!

by CapitalsKremlin on Jan 30, 2009 1:24 PM EST reply actions  

Canadian flag?

The flag would be confusing against the Habs. I would suggest going with either a Russian flag or the DC flag (white and red stars and stripes).

by Scott in Shaw on Jan 30, 2009 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  


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