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An Update On Forward Scoring Rates

You may recall back in September when we took a look back at the 2007-08 Caps forwards in terms of their scoring rates. Well, 25 games into the 2008-09 season seems like a decent enough time to check in and see how the group is doing so far this year.

First, five-on-five points per sixty minutes of ice time (minimum ten games played):

5on5per60_medium

The color coding correspond (roughly) to the BoA groupings we used before. Alex Semin? Elite (tops in the NHL, in fact). Chris Clark? An absolute dog. Other than Clark, though, this list isn't horrible (or horribly different from last year's full-season numbers other than Semin, Clark and some better production from Sergei Fedorov), which is to be expected from a team that has been good five-on-five.

Moving on to the power play, here's what we're looking at in terms of points per sixty minutes of ice time:

5on4per60_medium

Again, the color tells the story. Tomas Fleischmann and Nicklas Backstrom? Wow. Viktor Kozlov and Semin? Excellent. Alexander Ovechkin and Brooks Laich? Capable. The others? Not so much. Interestingly, the power play has gone 7-for-28 in Mike Green's absence, so the under-performers here don't have that excuse to fall back on.

So that's more or less a data dump with hardly a surprise in it (other than, perhaps, the power-play prowess of secondary threats Flash and Kozlov and the extra man ineptitude of the elder playmaking pivots). Does anything else jump out at you?

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There seems to be an inverse age correlation in the PP data. Sure, Kozzy skews that a teeny bit, but Clark, Feds and Nyls are at the bottom, and Flash and Backstrom are at the top.

by TylerG on Dec 4, 2008 6:07 PM EST reply actions  

Well, it also argues for more PP time for Flash and Kozzy (which they’ve been getting), and maybe even less for Ovie (though with Green and Poti out, there’s no way in hell that’s happening).

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by J.P. on Dec 4, 2008 6:26 PM EST reply actions  

Well, it also argues for more PP time for Flash and Kozzy (which they’ve been getting), and maybe even less for Ovie (though with Green and Poti out, there’s no way in hell that’s happening).

I don’t know – Ovechkin started slow on the PP with only one point in his first 13 games but since has had six PP points in ten games.

by David Getz on Dec 4, 2008 6:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Ovie on the power play is kind of chicken-or-the-egg – is he going because it is or vice versa?

Upon reflection, suggesting less PP time for AO is moronic. Comment withdrawn.

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by J.P. on Dec 4, 2008 6:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think it’s moronic. I know Ovechkin’s supposed to have amazing recovery time and all, but having a guy out for 1:30, 1:40, or even the full two minutes isn’t a good idea. Even if it’s the powerplay and even if he’s playing the point.

by David Getz on Dec 4, 2008 6:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Or maybe get AO off the point.

by TylerG on Dec 4, 2008 10:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Perhaps a worthwhile experiment, once we have some NHL defensemen back in the lineup.

by grapejoos on Dec 5, 2008 4:13 PM EST up reply actions  

You should have the colors on those charts going from red to blue (like hot to cold, get it?). That would make those charts look SO cash.

P.S. You now have “saaaaved by zeeeerrrr-ooohhh” stuck in your head.

by FuManChewbacca on Dec 4, 2008 6:56 PM EST reply actions  

Nice call. I went with green to red, like “go” to “stop.” Next time…

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by J.P. on Dec 4, 2008 7:03 PM EST up reply actions  

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