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Still Laich-ing A 20-Goal Season?

When Brooks Laich signed his current deal back in July, Caps fans rejoiced at locking up (for a few years, at least), a guy who does some of the dirty work that - let's be honest - few of his teammates are willing to or capable of doing.

Laich is a penalty killer and a crease-crashing power play specialist, strong in the faceoff circle and great with a quote, and his 21-goal 2007-08 season was a revelation.

His scoring is down so far this year [Ed. note: if you missed that link earlier, go read it now - great stuff] and he enters tonight's game against the team that drafted him (and traded him to D.C. for Peter Bondra) with just five goals and on a 14-goal pace.

To be sure, he's doing plenty of other things to help the team win. His shot-blocking on one particular penalty kill in Los Angeles is the stuff of legends, and his versatility - even skating a few shifts on the blueline - has made him invaluable (not as if he wasn't already).

Is his current lack of goal-scoring a surprise? Yes and no. As we discussed back in July, Laich's shooting percentage last season was probably unsustainably high, and I pegged him at 16 goals for is season (many of you took the over). Laich has hit some posts and had at least one goal washed out upon review, so to a degree he's been snake-bitten. The question now is a simple one...

Poll
Will Brooks Laich score 20 goals in 2008-09?
Yes
117 votes
No
77 votes

194 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 9 comments  |  Add comment  |  0 recs  | 

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I had him pegged for 16, primarily because last year he had eight power play goals. He’s not likely to get enough power play time on this year’s version to match that (even though he’s on a pace to do just that). His shooting percentage right now (8.8) is about half what it was last year (17.2). He is, however, on a pace to take almost a third more shots than he took last year.

If you've read this far...seek help.

by ThePeerless on Dec 12, 2008 11:34 AM EST reply actions  

Yes.

Yes. When we are 100% healthy and firing on all cylinders, he will be able to be less “conservative” (responsible? stay-at-home? watchful? Selke-like?) and will be more creative/risk-taking.

by Uncle C on Dec 12, 2008 11:48 AM EST reply actions  

20 seems a little high, especially since he’s going to be a 3rd liner again if the Caps ever get healthy.

But I still think I’d take the over on 16 goals. So I guess I’m thinking 17-19 this year.

by Hooks Orpik on Dec 12, 2008 12:13 PM EST reply actions  

Depends

I think 20 is definitely reachable, since he tends to be a bit streaky, but it will mostly depend on whether he gets some PP time or not. Developing some chemistry with consistent linemates probably wouldn’t hurt, either, unless they’re Bradley and Brash, in which case, he’ll be lucky to score 15.

I think that using shooting % to assess Laich is pretty difficult, given his young age and lack of consistent track record. That being said, his 17% last year was probably a bit high. However, he’ll likely get more playing time and more shots this year. If he can pull off a 12-13% (which I think is doable based on past performance), he’ll need about 167 shots to get to 20 goals. Right now, he’s on pace for 161.

by D'ohboy on Dec 12, 2008 12:21 PM EST reply actions  

Did Laich sore most of his goals last season in the second half?

by Fauxrumors on Dec 12, 2008 2:22 PM EST reply actions  

Pre All-Star break, he had 8 goals and 7 assists in 50 games. Post All-Star break, he had 13 goals and 9 assists in 32 games.

So, yes.

by grapejoos on Dec 12, 2008 6:16 PM EST up reply actions  

when you are talking 20-goal pace, one good week could turn all that round. still, maybe 20 is his ceiling. i’d rather see him finish in high consideration for the selke trophy.

by macvechkin on Dec 12, 2008 3:29 PM EST reply actions  

I agree with all of that. I also think he’s going to have said good week/month and add a bunch to his total in a short period of time.

by grapejoos on Dec 12, 2008 6:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m a big Laich fan; I even got his jersey this year. It’s the first time ever as a Caps fan that I’ve put a players name on the back. (about 18 years)

I think the big problem right now is he’s being asked to do many other things than scoring. They are changing his line mates every game, changing his position, etc.

Once these injury situations settle down and they get him in one position with the same line mates for a few games in a row I think you’re going to see him hit 20 goals or at least make up for the lack of goals by creating some goals through some nice assists.

by zephyr on Dec 12, 2008 4:50 PM EST reply actions  


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