Playin' The Odds

by J.P. on Oct 5, 2008 6:34 PM EDT

Bodog's prop bets for the 2008-09 NHL season are up and here are a couple of 'em:

* Over/under on Alex Ovechkin's goal total: 58

* Over/under on Alex Ovechkin's point total: 110

And the futures:

* Caps odds to win the Stanley Cup: 15/1

* Caps odds to win the Eastern Conference Championship: 9/1

* Over/under on Caps total points: 93½

So if you had $1,000 to throw at one of these, which would you play?

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Over on Ovechkin's 110 points. Easily taking that.

by Ogre on Oct 5, 2008 6:45 PM EDT reply actions

Under.

Over.

Too low.

About right.

Over, I guess.

I'll take the under on Ovie's goals for $1,000, Alex.

by bil on Oct 5, 2008 7:00 PM EDT reply actions

Speaking strictly from a gambling perspective, I'd put under on Ovie scoring 58. It's simply too high of a number with too many factors that work against him. It's important to remember that prior to last year, it had been over a decade since someone hit 60.

Speaking from a fan's perspective, here's hoping he hits 75. I was at the Caps-Philly preseason game and it's still amazing to watch him play. He could hit 70 if he stays healthy.

by boz on Oct 5, 2008 7:15 PM EDT reply actions

I'm confident enough to put an imaginary $1000 on the "Over" Caps standings points of 93.5. I think they get at least 95 standings points.

by Eric on Oct 5, 2008 7:23 PM EDT reply actions

over on Point total

by Sombrero guy on Oct 5, 2008 7:28 PM EDT reply actions

Wow, my book only had 52.5 for the goal over/under. I thought that was about right. 58 is way too high, even if he goes over it, the value is in the under.

The Caps had 94 points last year, which as we know in the bizarro NHL world, is a little better than .500. I can't fathom this team regressing.

Absolutely over 93.5 points for a dime.

by MacVechkin, fka JR on Oct 5, 2008 8:05 PM EDT reply actions

I think the 93.5 points is the easiest money of those. That's what I'd say.

by Rage on Oct 5, 2008 8:17 PM EDT reply actions

(Btw, the "over" is the easy money side)

by Rage on Oct 5, 2008 8:18 PM EDT reply actions

I think Ovechkin would hit 58 goals again before he got to 52 assists (as the 110 point over/under suggests).

by Hooks Orpik on Oct 5, 2008 9:03 PM EDT reply actions

Over on the Caps' points.

The line is set at last year's point total, and the Eastern conference doesn't look as strong, top to bottom, as last year.

by The Peerless on Oct 5, 2008 9:08 PM EDT reply actions

Easy bet, $1k on the over for 93.5 pts. That's a big winner right there...they'll get at least 98-104 if healthy.

by wittcap79 on Oct 5, 2008 9:21 PM EDT reply actions

Over on the team's points, under on Ovechkin's points and/or goals. Just figuring that if he sprains an ankle (paging Sidney Crosby) the team could still be fine, but his totals would be shot.

by tg on Oct 5, 2008 9:35 PM EDT reply actions

I'd have to take the point total too. The team played at a 126 point pace with Boudreau behind the bench last year, Clark and Semin are healthy, and Fedorov will be in DC all season.

by DMG on Oct 6, 2008 8:56 AM EDT reply actions

Yep, the points total is the easiest number to reach. The others I wouldn't touch.

by b.orr4 on Oct 6, 2008 9:00 AM EDT reply actions

The easy money is over on the Caps' point total.

But I'll go under (worse odds) on the odds to win the Stanley Cup, just to be different. The Red Wings are going to be a tough team to beat this year. Preseason really doesn't mean all that much, and while 5-1-1 isn't bad, I was not happy with the Bruins game last night. I don't want to see that in the regular season (though I sadly know I probably will sometimes).

by this space for rent on Oct 6, 2008 9:43 AM EDT reply actions